2024 NCAA Tournament predictions

Movie quote of the day:

“The visions are clear now. I see possible futures, all at once. Our enemies are all around us, and in so many futures they prevail. But I do see a way, there is a narrow way through.”

— Paul Atreides, “Dune: Part Two” (2024)

It’s time to fill out brackets because March Madness is here. I won’t lie, I haven’t paid much attention to the college basketball regular season. That means that I’m either going to do horribly or get almost every pick correct. I’ve been cramming in research the last 40(ish) hours since the bracket was revealed Sunday. I now wish that my West Virginia Mountaineers had given me a reason to care about this college basketball season.

Two years ago was the worst I’ve ever done when it comes to predicting the NCAA Tournament. I lost two Final Four teams, including my national champion, on the first day of the tournament. I was a little better last year, but still wasn’t great thanks to Arizona and Purdue letting me down on, you guessed it, the first day of the tournament. I feel like my reputation is on the line this year, so I really need a good showing. That’s why I relied pretty heavily on KenPom rankings.

We saw so many upsets in the conference tournaments last week, which is why this was one of the craziest “on the bubble” debates in years. It certainly feels like we’re in for another very unpredictable NCAA tournament. However, the last two tournaments were two of the craziest that I’ve witnessed in my life. I also think we’re due for a tournament where we see mostly chalk.

As always, March Madness is a welcome sight at this point in the sports calendar. I need something to take my attention away from NFL free agency news, which is pretty dry right now. Keep your head on a swivel these next three weeks. I can already feel my bracket being busted.

Colorado Buffaloes forward Tristan da Silva (23) celebrates with guard K.J. Simpson (2) in the first half against the California Golden Bears at the CU Events Center. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

First Four — Dayton, Ohio

No. 16 Wagner (16-15) vs. No. 16 Howard (18-16)

I’ll give the advantage to Howard in this matchup. The Bison not only rank higher in KenPom rankings, but they’ve won nine of their last 11 games. They also have tournament experience after making an appearance last year. I doubt Wagner, which averages just 63.5 points per game, is good enough offensively to win in the tournament.

Winner: Howard

No. 10 Colorado State (24-10) vs. No. 10 Virginia (23-10)

Mountain West teams haven’t performed well in the tournament for the last decade — posting a record of 12-26 since 2013. However, I think Colorado State is an underseeded team. The Rams rank 31 spots higher than Virginia in KenPom rankings. That’s quite a disparity. The Cavaliers also lost five of their last nine games to end the regular season.

Winner: Colorado State

No. 16 Grambling State (20-14) vs. No. 16 Montana State (17-17)

There’s quite a disparity between these teams when it comes to KenPom rankings. Montana State ranks No. 213, whereas Grambling State ranks No. 267. I’ll give the advantage to to the Bobcats. I’m not convinced that the Tigers are good enough offensively — averaging just 67.6 points per game — to score on Montana State’s defense.

Winner: Montana State

No. 10 Colorado (24-10) vs. No. 10 Boise State (22-10)

Colorado is another team that I think is underseeded. The Buffaloes rank in the top 30 in the country, according to KenPom (Boise State ranks No. 39). They also ended the season on a positive note — winning eight of their last nine games. The Broncos have never won a tournament game in program history and I doubt that changes this year.

Winner: Colorado

Round of 64

Connecticut Huskies guard Tristen Newton (2) drives to the basket against St. John’s Red Storm guard Daniss Jenkins (5) during the second half at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

East Regional

No. 16 Stetson (22-12) vs. No. 1 UConn (31-3) — Brooklyn, N.Y.

I have a difficult time seeing UConn getting bounced early in this tournament. The Huskies have too much depth and have been the most consistent team in the country all season. No. 16 seeds have been more competitive against No. 1 seeds in recent years, but I don’t see an upset happening in this matchup. UConn should cruise to the next round.

Winner: UConn

No. 9 Northwestern (21-11) vs. No. 8 Florida Atlantic (25-8) — Brooklyn, N.Y.

Florida Atlantic hasn’t been as consistent this season as last season. The Owls are still a very good team, though. They rank in the top 45 in KenPom, and rank in the top 20 in adjusted offensive efficiency. Northwestern will have a very difficult time defensively in this matchup. I also think Florida Atlantic has the coaching advantage in Dusty May.

Winner: Florida Atlantic

No. 12 UAB (22-11) vs. No. 5 San Diego State (24-10) — Spokane, Wash.

We didn’t get a single No. 12 seed to upset a No. 5 seed last year. In the last 20 years, history says to expect at least two upsets the year after that happens. I’m not convinced there will be an upset in this matchup, though. San Diego State is an elite defensive team and UAB isn’t a great offensive team. I think the Blazers will have a difficult time scoring on the Aztecs.

Winner: San Diego State

No. 13 Yale (22-9) vs. No. 4 Auburn (27-7) — Spokane, Wash.

Ivy League schools are always tricky teams in the tournament. This won’t be an easy game for Auburn. I’m still picking the Tigers to win, though. They rank No. 4 in the country in KenPom rankings, so they might be the most underseeded team in this tournament field. Yale isn’t a terrific defensive team, which should bode well for Auburn, which averages 83.2 points per game.

Winner: Auburn

No. 11 Duquesne (24-11) vs. No. 6 BYU (23-10) — Omaha, Neb.

Duquesne is a hot team right now, but I doubt it’s good enough to pull off the upset in this matchup. BYU ranks No. 16 in the country, according to KenPom, so it’s a very underseeded team. The Cougars are also one of the top offensive teams in the country — ranking No. 11 in adjusted offensive efficiency. I doubt the Dukes will be able to keep up on the scoreboard.

Winner: BYU

No. 14 Morehead State (26-8) vs. No. 3 Illinois (26-8) — Omaha, Neb.

The Big Ten tournament champion hasn’t made it past the first weekend of the NCAA tournament since 2019. I wouldn’t be so quick to pick Illinois to win this game given that track record. I’ll still pick the Fighting Illini to win, though. They’ve been playing well since late January — winning 12 of their last 15 games, including seven of their last eight.

Winner: Illinois

No. 10 Drake (28-6) vs. No. 7 Washington State (24-9) — Omaha, Neb.

The line of this game has shifted quite a bit in favor of Drake since it opened. I think that’s pretty telling to take the Bulldogs seriously in this matchup. Drake will likely have the best player in this game in Tucker DeVries, who averages 21.8 points per game. I think Washington State’s defense will have its hands full with him. The Bulldogs also have more tournament experience.

Winner: Drake

No. 15 South Dakota State (22-12) vs. No. 2 Iowa State (27-7) — Omaha, Neb.

I can’t bring myself to pick against Iowa State in this matchup. The Cyclones are red hot right now after winning 11 of their last 13 games, including winning three Big 12 tournament games by a combined 61 points. This is one of the weaker South Dakota State teams in the last 15 years. I also expect this to essentially be a home game for Iowa State.

Winner: Iowa State

North Carolina Tar Heels guard R.J. Davis (4) shoots the ball against the North Carolina State Wolfpack during the second half at Capital One Arena. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

West Regional

No. 16 Howard vs. No. 1 North Carolina (27-7) — Charlotte, N.C.

North Carolina has played like one of the top teams in the country the last few weeks, even though it might be overseeded a bit. The Tar Heels have won 20 of their last 24 games. If not for an NC State team getting hot at the right time, North Carolina probably would’ve won the ACC tournament. I highly doubt Howard is good enough to pull off a historic upset.

Winner: North Carolina

No. 9 Michigan State (19-14) vs. No. 8 Mississippi State (21-13) — Charlotte, N.C.

Mississippi State is playing well right now, but I’ll give the advantage to Michigan State in this matchup. Tom Izzo has been one-and-done just six times in his previous 25 tournament appearances. I also think the Bulldogs will have a difficult time scoring on the Spartans’ defense, which ranks in the top 10 in adjusted defensive efficiency.

Winner: Michigan State

No. 12 Grand Canyon (29-4) vs. No. 5 Saint Mary’s (26-7) — Spokane, Wash.

I think this is the mostly likely 5/12 matchup to end in an upset. Grand Canyon is the highest ranking No. 12 seed in KenPom (No. 53). The Antelopes have lost only four games all season and they have a head coach with plenty of tournament experience in Bryce Drew. Saint Mary’s is one of those teams that I never trust in the tournament and I won’t start now.

Winner: Grand Canyon

No. 13 Charleston (27-7) vs. No. 4 Alabama (21-11) — Spokane, Wash.

Alabama didn’t end the regular season on a positive note — losing four of its last six games. I wouldn’t rule out a potential upset in this matchup, but I don’t see it happening. Charleston is one of the worst defensive teams in this tournament field. You have to be a great defensive team in order to knock off the Crimson Tide, who average 90.8 points per game.

Winner: Alabama

No. 11 New Mexico (26-9) vs. No. 6 Clemson (21-11) — Memphis, Tenn.

I’ve mostly picked against Mountain West schools so far, but I’ll take the upset here. Clemson isn’t playing well right now. The Tigers have lost four of their last eight games, including two losses to very bad Notre Dame and Boston College teams. New Mexico is surging after winning its conference tournament last week. Vegas also favors the Lobos in this matchup.

Winner: New Mexico

No. 14 Colgate (25-9) vs. No. 3 Baylor (23-10) — Memphis, Tenn.

Even though Colgate will be making its fourth-consecutive tournament appearance, I don’t take it that seriously. The Raiders have been outscored by a combined 44 points during that stretch. Baylor is one of the top offensive teams in this tournament — ranking in the top 10 in adjusted offensive efficiency. I doubt Colgate will be able to keep up on the scoreboard.

Winner: Baylor

No. 10 Nevada (26-7) vs. No. 7 Dayton (24-7) — Salt Lake City

I feel an upset brewing in this matchup. Dayton has to make a long trip west despite being the higher seed, which benefits Nevada. The Wolf Pack played well down the stretch — winning 11 of their last 14 games. I think the Flyers have been too inconsistent defensively all season. Nevada also ranks in the top 40 in the country in both adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency.

Winner: Nevada

No. 15 Long Beach State (21-14) vs. No. 2 Arizona (25-8) — Salt Lake City

I have a difficult time seeing Arizona getting bounced early in back-to-back seasons. The Wildcats shoot the ball very well and rank in the top 20 in the country in offensive rebounds. That ought to bode well in the tournament. Long Beach State is one of the worst defensive teams in this tournament field. I think the Beach will have a difficult time slowing down Arizona’s offense.

Winner: Arizona

Houston Cougars guard L.J. Cryer (4) drives with the ball as Rice Owls guard Alem Huseinovic (23) defends during the second half at Fertitta Center. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

South Regional

No. 16 Longwood (21-13) vs. No. 1 Houston (30-4) — Memphis, Tenn.

I fully expect Houston to bounce back after getting blown out in the Big 12 championship. The Cougars are one of the more talented teams in this tournament and are excellent defensively. This is a very bad matchup for Longwood, which ranks near the bottom among tournament teams offensively. Houston shouldn’t have too many issues in this matchup.

Winner: Houston

No. 9 Texas A&M (20-14) vs. No. 8 Nebraska (23-10) — Memphis, Tenn.

I think this is a terrible matchup for Nebraska. The Cornhuskers rank in the bottom third in the country in offensive rebounds and total rebounds allowed per game. Texas A&M doesn’t shoot the ball that well, but getting second-chance opportunities will only improve its chances of winning. The Aggies are also playing well after winning five of their last six games.

Winner: Texas A&M

No. 12 James Madison (31-3) vs. No. 5 Wisconsin (22-13) — Brooklyn, N.Y.

James Madison poses a lot of problems for Wisconsin. The Dukes rank in the top five in defending 3-pointers. They’ve also won 13 straight games. I’m still picking the Badgers to win, though. They shoot the ball well and take care of the basketball. The difference in the game will likely be which team collects more offensive rebounds, and I give that advantage to Wisconsin.

Winner: Wisconsin

No. 13 Vermont (28-6) vs. No. 4 Duke (24-8) — Brooklyn, N.Y.

I’m to the point that I need to see Vermont pull off an upset in the tournament before I pick it to do so. The Catamounts have never advanced past the Round of 64 under head coach John Becker. That’s why I’ll take Duke to win this game. The Blue Devils will have a significant talent advantage, which will likely be the difference in this matchup.

Winner: Duke

No. 11 NC State (22-14) vs. No. 6 Texas Tech (23-10) — Pittsburgh

I think NC State will be gassed after winning five games in five days in the ACC tournament. The Wolfpack now have a quick turnaround and play on Thursday. I think that bodes well for Texas Tech, which KenPom considers to be a top 25 team in the country. The Red Raiders have been the far more consistent team all season. I like them to advance to the next round.

Winner: Texas Tech

No. 14 Oakland (23-11) vs. No. 3 Kentucky (23-9) — Pittsburgh

Kentucky has been very inconsistent defensively, but I still expect it to win this game. Oakland isn’t a very good offensive team — ranking in the bottom 15 among tournament teams in adjusted offensive efficiency. I highly doubt that’ll be good enough to knock off the Wildcats. I expect Kentucky to advance to the Round of 32.

Winner: Kentucky

No. 10 Colorado vs. No. 7 Florida (24-11) — Indianapolis

This is a dangerous matchup for Florida. The Gators aren’t a great defensive team and will be shorthanded, and Colorado is a good offensive team. This will likely be a very high-scoring game, but I’ll still give the advantage to Florida. The Gators are elite offensively — ranking in the top 15 in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency, points per game, and offensive rebounding.

Winner: Florida

No. 15 Western Kentucky (22-11) vs. No. 2 Marquette (25-9) — Indianapolis

I think this is a very bad matchup for Western Kentucky, which struggles on the offensive end of the court. Marquette is one of the better defensive teams in this tournament — ranking in the top 20 in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency. Points will be hard to come by for the Hilltoppers, which will make it incredibly difficult to pull off the upset.

Winner: Marquette

Purdue Boilermakers center Zach Edey (15) shoots the ball while Indiana Hoosiers center Kel’el Ware (1) defends in the second half at Mackey Arena. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

Midwest Regional

No. 16 Montana State vs. No. 1 Purdue (29-4) — Indianapolis

I highly doubt Purdue will overlook its opponent this year. I fully expect last year’s loss to No. 16-seeded Fairleigh Dickinson to be in the back of its mind. The Boilermakers might have the best player in the tournament in Zach Edey, who averages 24.4 points per game. Like Arizona, I don’t think Purdue will be bounced early in back-to-back seasons.

Winner: Purdue

No. 9 TCU (21-12) vs. No. 8 Utah State (27-6) — Indianapolis

Given the Mountain West’s recent history in the tournament, there’s no way I’m picking against TCU. The Horned Frogs rank 15 spots ahead of Utah State in KenPom rankings, and in the top 50 in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and offensive rebounds. This feels like a very bad matchup for the Aggies.

Winner: TCU

No. 12 McNeese State (30-3) vs. No. 5 Gonzaga (25-7) — Salt Lake City

McNeese State will be a trendy pick because it’s one of the most improved teams in the country from last year, and this isn’t a great Gonzaga team. However, I’m not picking against Mark Few. He hasn’t been eliminated in the Round of 64 since 2008. KenPom also considers Gonzaga to be a top 15 team in the country, so it feels like a very underseeded team.

Winner: Gonzaga

No. 13 Samford (29-5) vs. No. 4 Kansas (22-10) — Salt Lake City

I actually came close to picking the upset in this game. Kansas was hobbling at the end of the regular season — losing six of its last 10 games, including back-to-back losses by a combined 50 points. The Jayhawks have also sustained injuries to some of their better players. I still think Kansas has what it takes to beat Samford, which struggles on the defensive end of the court.

Winner: Kansas

No. 11 Oregon (23-11) vs. No. 6 South Carolina (26-7) — Pittsburgh

I’m not doubting Dana Altman in the tournament. He’s never lost in the Round of 64 as Oregon’s head coach. Altman has even made it past the first weekend five times in the last seven tournament appearances with the Ducks. South Carolina has been a good story to get to this point. I just think the Gamecocks are catching Oregon at the wrong time.

Winner: Oregon

No. 14 Akron (24-10) vs. No. 3 Creighton (23-9) — Pittsburgh

Akron managed to win the MAC tournament, but I’m not convinced it’s good enough to pull off the upset in this matchup. The Zips have been too inconsistent on both ends of the court all season. Creighton is an excellent offensive team — averaging 80.5 points per game. I have more trust in the Bluejays, who haven’t lost in the Round of 64 since 2018.

Winner: Creighton

No. 10 Colorado State vs. No. 7 Texas (20-12) — Charlotte, N.C.

I think Texas is a better team than what its record would indicate. The Longhorns had bad luck in Big 12 play (losing six games by fewer than 10 points). They should benefit by getting out of conference play. Texas will also have a significant talent advantage in this matchup. Colorado State struggles to defend 3-pointers and the Longhorns rank in the top 60 in 3-point shooting.

Winner: Texas

No. 15 Saint Peter’s (19-13) vs. No. 2 Tennessee (24-8) — Charlotte, N.C.

Don’t be so quick to rule out Saint Peter’s. The Peacocks have caught fire the last few weeks — winning eight of their last 10 games. I expect Tennessee to win this game comfortably, though. The Volunteers are one of the best defensive teams in this tournament. I think Saint Peter’s will have a difficult time scoring enough points to pull off the upset.

Winner: Tennessee

Round of 32

Iowa State Cyclones guard Keshon Gilbert (10) drives around Houston Cougars guard Ramon Walker Jr. (3) during the second half at T-Mobile Center. Mandatory Credit: William Purnell-USA TODAY Sports

East Regional

No. 8 Florida Atlantic vs. No. 1 UConn — Brooklyn, N.Y.

Florida Atlantic’s defense is the main reason why I doubt it can make another deep run like last year. The Owls rank No. 109 in adjusted defensive efficiency. They also allow 10.8 offensive rebounds per game, which puts them in the bottom half of the country. This feels like a mismatch in favor of UConn. The Huskies have plenty of scoring depth and too much size in the post.

Winner: UConn

No. 5 San Diego State vs. No. 4 Auburn — Spokane, Wash.

I actually think Auburn matches up well against San Diego State’s defense. The Tigers shoot the ball well and do a good job collecting offensive rebounds. They also have scoring depth, with six different players averaging at least 7.1 points per game, and 11 different players to play in at least 28 games. I don’t think the Aztecs have the depth to keep up with Auburn.

Winner: Auburn

No. 6 BYU vs. No. 3 Illinois — Omaha, Neb.

This will likely be a difficult matchup for BYU to pull off the upset. Illinois has a lot of depth, with nine different players appearing in at least 24 games, and one of the best guards in the country in Terrence Shannon Jr. The Fighting Illini can also win in a variety of ways, which is always valuable in the tournament. I also think Brad Underwood is a better coach than Mark Pope.

Winner: Illinois

No. 10 Drake vs. No. 2 Iowa State — Omaha, Neb.

Having DeVries might be good enough to beat Washington State, but I doubt it’ll be enough to upset Iowa State. The Cyclones are arguably the best defensive team in the country — ranking in the top five in adjusted defensive efficiency and points allowed per game. I think the Bulldogs will have a difficult time winning if DeVries has limited scoring chances.

Winner: Iowa State

Arizona Wildcats guard Caleb Love (2) celebrates against the Southern California Trojans in the second half at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

West Regional

No. 9 Michigan State vs. No. 1 North Carolina — Charlotte, N.C.

I have a ton of respect for Izzo, but this feels like the end of the road for Michigan State. The Spartans have been too inconsistent all season. I don’t think they’re good enough offensively to upset North Carolina, which ranks No. 6 in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Tar Heels are the more talented team, so I expect them to take care of business and advance to the next round.

Winner: North Carolina

No. 12 Grand Canyon vs. No. 4 Alabama — Spokane, Wash.

Grand Canyon might be good enough to upset Saint Mary’s, but I doubt that it can knock off Alabama. The Crimson Tide are one of the best offensive teams in the tournament. The Antelopes aren’t a great defensive team — ranking No. 51 in adjusted defensive efficiency and No. 106 in 3-point defense. I like Alabama to get to the Sweet 16 for a second-consecutive year.

Winner: Alabama

No. 11 New Mexico vs. No. 3 Baylor — Memphis, Tenn.

New Mexico is a good defensive team, but it’ll have a difficult time defending Baylor’s offense. The Bears rank in the top 10 in adjusted offensive efficiency and 3-point shooting. They’re also a very physical team and do a good job of getting offensive rebounds. That’ll likely be a significant disadvantage for the Lobos. New Mexico ranks No. 153 in offensive rebounds allowed per game.

Winner: Baylor

No. 10 Nevada vs. No. 2 Arizona — Salt Lake City

I don’t think Nevada is good enough on the glass to upset Arizona. The Wildcats average 13.2 offensive rebounds per game, and the Wolf Pack rank No. 106 in offensive rebounds allowed per game. I don’t think that matchup bodes well for Nevada because Arizona is an elite offensive team. If the Wildcats get second-chance opportunities, I don’t see how they lose this game.

Winner: Arizona

Marquette Golden Eagles head coach Shaka Smart talks to guard Stevie Mitchell (4) as he coaches against the Providence Friars during the first half at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

South Regional

No. 9 Texas A&M vs. No. 1 Houston — Memphis, Tenn.

This is a dangerous matchup for Houston. Texas A&M is one of the hottest teams in the country right now. The Aggies also played the Cougars very tough back in December. I think that’ll be in the back of Kelvin Sampson’s mind, though. Houston is an excellent defensive team — allowing just 57 points per game. I think Texas A&M will have a difficult time making shots.

Winner: Houston

No. 5 Wisconsin vs. No. 4 Duke — Brooklyn, N.Y.

I didn’t like the way that Duke ended the regular season. The Blue Devils lost their last two games, including a pretty embarrassing loss to North Carolina on their own home court. This is a much different Wisconsin team than we’ve seen since the Bo Ryan era. The Badgers rank No. 13 in adjusted offensive efficiency and shoot nearly 35% from 3-point territory.

Winner: Wisconsin

No. 6 Texas Tech vs. No. 3 Kentucky — Pittsburgh

Since 2008, only seven teams ranked outside the top 200 in defensive efficiency made it to the Sweet 16. That doesn’t bode well for Kentucky, which allows 79.7 points per game and 12 offensive rebounds per game. I think Texas Tech is good enough defensively to slow down the Wildcats’ offense. I also don’t have much trust in John Calipari, who hasn’t made it past the Round of 32 since 2019.

Winner: Texas Tech

No. 7 Florida vs. No. 2 Marquette — Indianapolis

I actually think this is a favorable matchup for Florida. Marquette ranks in the bottom half of the country in 3-point defense and offensive rebounds allowed per game. The Gators are so good offensively. They’ll make the Golden Eagles pay if given second-chance opportunities. Lastly, I don’t trust Shaka Smart in the tournament. He hasn’t made it past the Round of 32 since 2011.

Winner: Florida

Tennessee Volunteers head coach Rick Barnes during the second half against the South Carolina Gamecocks at Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center. Mandatory Credit: Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports

Midwest Regional

No. 9 TCU vs. No. 1 Purdue — Indianapolis

This could be a problematic matchup for Purdue. TCU wants to speed the game up, whereas Purdue wants to slow the game down. Press defense gave the Boilermakers trouble last year, but they’ve done a better job taking care of the ball this year. Purdue is more experienced in the backcourt this year than it was last year, too. I also don’t have much trust in Jamie Dixon in the tournament.

Winner: Purdue

No. 5 Gonzaga vs. No. 4 Kansas — Salt Lake City

If Kansas was healthy, I’d probably pick the Jayhawks to win this game. I don’t know how effective Kevin McCullar Jr. and Hunter Dickinson will be, even though they’re expected to be available. I’ll give the advantage to Gonzaga. Few has made it to the Sweet 16 in eight straight tournament appearances. Him and the Bulldogs are a safe bet in the first two rounds.

Winner: Gonzaga

No. 11 Oregon vs. No. 3 Creighton — Pittsburgh

Creighton should win this game and advance to the next round. Oregon has been too inconsistent on both ends of the court. The Ducks rank No. 70 in adjusted defensive efficiency and No. 240 in 3-point defense. The Bluejays are one of the top offensive teams in the tournament — averaging 80.5 points per game. I expect Creighton will take advantage of that mismatch.

Winner: Creighton

No. 7 Texas vs. No. 2 Tennessee — Charlotte, N.C.

I’m not looking too much into the way Tennessee performed in the SEC tournament. KenPom has the Volunteers ranked in the top 10, and No. 3 in adjusted defensive efficiency. I think it’ll be difficult for Texas to make shots against in this matchup. The Longhorns have been too inconsistent on the defensive end of the court. I like the Volunteers to advance.

Winner: Tennessee

Sweet 16

Illinois Fighting Illini guard Terrence Shannon Jr. (0) dunks against the Ohio State Buckeyes during the first half at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports

East Regional semifinals — Boston

No. 4 Auburn vs. No. 1 UConn

If Auburn was in the West or Midwest regionals, I’d pick it to get to the Final Four. If any team can knock off UConn before the Elite Eight, I think it’s the Tigers. They match up very well with the Huskies. The problem is that UConn is really good, especially offensively. This will essentially be a home game for UConn, too. With almost a week to prepare, I give the advantage to Dan Hurley.

Winner: UConn

No. 3 Illinois vs. No. 2 Iowa State

Since 2000, Iowa State has won the Big 12 tournament five times and advanced to the Elite Eight just once after doing so. The Cyclones typically get up for the Big 12 tournament, but not the big dance. That’s part of the reason why I like Illinois in this matchup. I also think the Fighting Illini’s offense, which averages 84.4 points per game, poses a lot of problems for Iowa State’s defense.

Winner: Illinois

Baylor Bears forward Jalen Bridges (11) reacts after a made basket with guard Ja’Kobe Walter (4) against the TCU Horned Frogs during the first half at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports

West Regional semifinals — Los Angeles

No. 4 Alabama vs. No. 1 North Carolina

As always, my biggest concern with Alabama is its defense. The Crimson Tide are one of the worst defensive teams in the tournament — ranking No. 112 in adjusted defensive efficiency and allowing 81.1 points per game. That’s not good enough. North Carolina is one of the top defensive teams in the country and I think it’ll be able to slow down Alabama’s offense.

Winner: North Carolina

No. 3 Baylor vs. No. 2 Arizona

I’ve been burned by Arizona too many times over the years. At this point, I need to see the Wildcats make a deep tournament run before I predict them to do so. I think Baylor poses trouble for Arizona. The Bears are a very good offensive team and won’t be afraid of Arizona’s size. With almost a week to prepare, I’ll give the advantage to the better head coach in Scott Drew.

Winner: Baylor

Texas Tech Red Raiders head coach Grant McCasland reacts during the second half against the Iowa State Cyclones at James H. Hilton Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Reese Strickland-USA TODAY Sports

South Regional semifinals — Dallas

No. 5 Wisconsin vs. No. 1 Houston

Wisconsin is a great offensive team, but scoring points on Houston’s defense will be a tall order. The Cougars rank in the top 20 in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency, points allowed per game, 3-point defense, and turnovers forced. Houston will also have a significant talent advantage. A lot of things will have to break the Badgers’ way in order to pull off the upset.

Winner: Houston

No. 7 Florida vs. No. 6 Texas Tech

I think this matchup favors Texas Tech. Florida’s porous defense, which ranks No. 83 in adjusted defensive efficiency and allows 78.5 points per game, will likely prevent it from getting past the Sweet 16. The Red Raiders are solid offensive team and should be able to make shots against the Gators. I also think Grant McCasland is an ascending head coach, which benefits Texas Tech.

Winner: Texas Tech

Gonzaga Bulldogs head coach Mark Few looks on against the Santa Clara Broncos in the second half at McCarthey Athletic Center. Mandatory Credit: James Snook-USA TODAY Sports

Midwest Regional semifinals — Detroit

No. 5 Gonzaga vs. No. 1 Purdue

This might be the weakest Gonzaga team that we’ve seen in recent years, but I’ll still take the upset. The Bulldogs have the coaching advantage with Few, who’ll have almost a week to prepare for this game. I also don’t trust Matt Painter and Purdue. The Boilermakers have made it to the Elite Eight just once in the previous 14 tournament appearances under Painter.

Winner: Gonzaga

No. 3 Creighton vs. No. 2 Tennessee

Death, taxes, and Rick Barnes not getting past the Sweet 16. I just don’t trust Tennessee to make a deep tournament run, even though it’s an excellent defensive team. Creighton shoots the ball well, takes care of the ball, and should get second-chance opportunities against Tennessee. I think the Bluejays get back to the Elite 8 for a second-consecutive season.

Winner: Creighton

Elite Eight

Connecticut Huskies head coach Dan Hurley coaches against the Xavier Musketeers during the first half at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

East Regional final — Boston

No. 3 Illinois vs. No. 1 UConn

I think this is a very favorable matchup for UConn. Illinois has struggled on the defensive end of the court — ranking No. 93 in adjusted defensive efficiency and No. 236 in 3-point defense. I doubt that’ll be good enough to knock off the Huskies, who might be the best offensive team in the tournament. The Fighting Illini will have a very difficult time defending UConn.

Winner: UConn

North Carolina Tar Heels head coach Hubert Davis reacts during the second half against the Duke Blue Devils at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports

West Regional final — Los Angeles

No. 3 Baylor vs. No. 1 North Carolina

Baylor’s inconsistent defense will likely be its downfall in the tournament. The Bears rank No. 64 in adjusted defensive efficiency and No. 189 in 3-point defense. North Carolina shoots the ball well and is just as aggressive as Baylor on the glass (maybe more so). The Tar Heels are also an elite defensive team. I don’t think they’re getting enough credit from the pundits.

Winner: North Carolina

Houston Cougars guard Jamal Shead (1) brings the ball up court during the first half against the Texas Tech Red Raiders at T-Mobile Center. Mandatory Credit: William Purnell-USA TODAY Sports

South Regional final — Dallas

No. 6 Texas Tech vs. No. 1 Houston

These teams played twice in the regular season and Houston won both meetings by a combined 46 points. I expect the Cougars to win a third meeting. I don’t think Texas Tech has the horses to keep up with Houston. The Cougars might be the most athletic team in the tournament. They also have an experienced backcourt, which they didn’t have last year.

Winner: Houston

Creighton Bluejays guard Baylor Scheierman (55) controls the ball against Villanova Wildcats guard Jordan Longino (15) in the first half at Wells Fargo Center. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports

Midwest Regional final — Detroit

No. 5 Gonzaga vs. No. 3 Creighton

I’m not crazy about any of the higher seeds in this regional, but one of them is likely going to win it. I’m not confident in it, but I’ll pick Creighton. I think the Bluejays have the least amount of baggage and they showed last year they can make a deep tournament run. Gonzaga’s defense, which has been good but not great, will have a difficult time slowing down Creighton’s offense.

Winner: Creighton

Final Four — Glendale, Ariz.

No. 1 North Carolina vs. No. 1 UConn

North Carolina is certainly capable of knocking off UConn. The Tar Heels are good enough defensively to contain the Huskies’ offense — holding opponents to shoot just 40.7% from the field and limiting second-chance opportunities. I’m not sure North Carolina is consistent enough offensively, though. I also think UConn has the more complete team and a better head coach.

Winner: UConn

No. 3 Creighton vs. No. 1 Houston

I expect Creighton’s run to come to an end in this game. The Bluejays will have a difficult time scoring against Houston’s defense, which holds its opponents to shoot just 37.9% from the field. I don’t know where Creighton’s points will come from if it can’t make shots because it’s not a great offensive rebounding team. I like the Cougars to advance to the national championship.

Winner: Houston

The NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball National Championship Trophy. Mandatory credit: Getty Images.

National Championship — Glendale, Ariz.

No. 1 Houston vs. No. 1 UConn

These just feel like the most complete teams in the tournament. They’re both athletic, talented, and well coached. My readers know how much I hate picking defending champions, but I think UConn is a wagon. The Huskies have won 21 of their last 22 games and have shown no sign of slowing down. That’s why I think UConn is the most likely team to defend its title since Florida in 2007.

I also think the Huskies can be effective offensively on Houston’s stout defense. UConn had six different players lead the team in scoring in a game in the regular season, including five different players to score at least 20 points in a game. That typically bodes well in the tournament. The Huskies are also aggressive on the boards and play great defense. I think they cut down the nets again.

Winner: UConn

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Price’s 2024 Pro Football Hall of Fame ballot

Movie quote of the day:

“Sanity’s not a choice, Marshal. You can’t just choose to get over it.”

— Dr. John Cawley, “Shutter Island” (2010)

A general overall view of the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

During my days as a newspaper copy editor, I was told that something doesn’t become an annual thing until it’s taken place at least three years in a row. Going by that logic, my Pro Football Hall of Fame ballot has now become an annual thing. I published my personal ballots in 2022 and 2023. I’ve been a fan of the NFL for a long time and I’ve always enjoyed watching players be immortalized in Canton, Ohio.

The Pro Football Hall of Fame voting procedure is pretty different than the National Baseball Hall of Fame. Instead of the writers exclusively controlling the vote, football has a 48-member committee comprised of media representatives for each team/city, along with former players, executives, contributors, etc. The committee determines a list of finalists in three different categories: Modern-Era, Senior, and Coach/Contributor.

The committee must also choose at least four finalists but no more than eight, and no more than five Modern-Era finalists can be chosen. Finalists must receive at least 80% of the vote in order to be enshrined. Unlike baseball, the numbers of players that the committee can vote for isn’t limited. This can be a grueling process, which is why some players have to wait 20 years on the ballot or even slip through the cracks and get in as a Senior finalist.

Remember, this isn’t a prediction of which players I think will get to Canton this year. I’m going to pretend as if I’m a member of the committee and cast my vote for which of the 19 finalists should be enshrined in the Hall of Fame.

Modern-Era Finalists:

Eric Allen spent 14 seasons in the NFL with the Philadelphia Eagles, New Orleans Saints, and Oakland Raiders. He was an All-Pro cornerback and ranks in the top 25 in league history in career interceptions. Mandatory credit: Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images

CB Eric Allen (1988-2001)
Stats: 787 tackles, 54 interceptions, 40 passes defended, six forced fumbles, three sacks, eight defensive touchdowns
Accolades: First-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 6x Pro Bowl

Allen has been waiting to get in the Hall of Fame for almost 20 years. He deserves to be in Canton, though. Allen was one of the top cornerbacks of his time. He ranks in the top 25 in NFL history in career interceptions. Allen’s career passes defended are low, but you have to remember that that stat wasn’t tracked before 1999. Before this past season, he also shared the record for the most defensive touchdowns by a player in a single season.

Jared Allen retired as a member of the Minnesota Vikings in 2016 (Getty Images).

Edge Jared Allen (2004-15) 
Stats: 648 tackles, 136 sacks, 58 passes defended, 32 forced fumbles, six interceptions
Accolades: 4x first-team All-Pro, 5x Pro Bowl, 2x single-season sacks leader

I don’t remember Allen being as good as his numbers would indicate. Between 2007-13, he was a dominant pass rusher. During that seven-year stretch, Allen collected 101 sacks and almost broke the single-season sacks record in 2011. He also ranks No. 12 in NFL history in career sacks. There are only two players that rank ahead of Allen who aren’t in the Hall of Fame. One isn’t eligible and the other is a finalist for the first time this year.

New Orleans Saints guard Jahri Evans (73) against the Arizona Cardinals at University of Phoenix Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

G Jahri Evans (2006-17)
Stats: 183 starts
Accolades: Super Bowl champion, 4x first-team All-Pro, second-team All-Pro, 6x Pro Bowl, 2010s All-Decade team

There weren’t many interior offensive linemen better than Evans in the last 15 years. He was consistently one of the best at the position during his career, which is why he was named an All-Pro five times in 12 seasons. Evans played a crucial role in New Orleans winning Super Bowl XLIV by keeping quarterback Drew Brees upright. I doubt it’ll be this year, but I expect Evans to be the first interior offensive lineman to be enshrined since Steve Hutchinson in 2020.

Dwight Freeney played in the NFL for 16 seasons, primarily with the Indianapolis Colts. Freeney helped Indianapolis win Super Bowl XLI. Mandatory credit: Getty Images

Edge Dwight Freeney (2002-17)
Stats: 350 tackles, 125.5 sacks, 47 forced fumbles, 16 passes defended
Accolades: Super Bowl champion, 3x first-team All-Pro, second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowler, single-season sacks leader (2004), 2000s All-Decade team

In the 2000s, Indianapolis was known for its offensive players: Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, etc. Freeney was often overshadowed during his career, but he was one of the NFL’s best pass rushers for a number of years. That’s why he made the 2000s All-Decade team and ranks in the top 30 in league history in career sacks. Freeney also helped Manning and the Colts get over the hump to win Super Bowl XLI.

Los Angeles Chargers tight end Antonio Gates (85) catches a pass against the Kansas City Chiefs in the first half at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

TE Antonio Gates (2003-18)
Stats: 955 receptions, 11,841 yards (12.3 yards per catch), 116 touchdowns
Accolades: 4x first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 8x Pro Bowl, 2000s All-Decade team

The Hall of Fame committee typically doesn’t give much credit to pass catchers, but I expect Gates to be enshrined this year. There was about a five-year stretch when he was one of the best tight ends in the game, maybe even the best. Gates ranks third in career yards and first in touchdowns among tight ends, and in the top 35 among all pass catchers in both categories. He should be considered one of the best tight ends to play in the NFL.

New England Patriots safety Rodney Harrison (37) celebrates his late-game interception that sealed the Patriots 24-21 win over the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl XXXIX at Alltel Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Photo by Dilip Vishwanat-USA TODAY Sports

S Rodney Harrison (1994-2008)
Stats: 1,206 tackles, 34 interceptions, 78, passes defended, 15 forced fumbles, 30.5 sacks
Accolades: 2x Super Bowl champion, 2x first-team All-Pro, second-team All-Pro, 2x Pro Bowl,

There have been a few safeties to be enshrined in the Hall of Fame in recent years, and I think Harrison’s career stacks up with each of them. He ranks in the top 40 in league history in tackles, which is impressive for a defensive back. Harrison’s career interceptions and passes defended are low, but he played closer to the line of scrimmage. Harrison was also one of the defensive leaders of the first phase of New England’s dynasty in the early 2000s.

Torry Holt was a key component to the St. Louis Rams – or “The Greatest Show on Turf” – winning Super Bowl XXXIV, and then retired with the team in 2012 (Getty Images).

WR Torry Holt (1999-2009) 
Stats: 920 receptions, 13,382 yards (14.5 yards per catch), 74 touchdowns
Accolades: Super Bowl champion, first-team All-Pro, second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowl, 2x single-season receiving yards leader, single-season receptions leader

Every other key contributor on the “The Greatest Show in Turf” is in the Hall of Fame. It’s time for Holt to join them in Canton. Even though he was overshadowed by Kurt Warner, Marshall Faulk, and Isaac Bruce, Holt was one of the best wide receivers of his time. He even put up good numbers after each of those players left St. Louis. When he retired, he ranked in the top 15 in league history in career receptions and receiving yards.

Andre Johnson played 12 seasons with the Houston Texans, and retired with the team in 2017 (USA TODAY Sports).

WR Andre Johnson (2003-16) 
Stats: 1,062 receptions, 14,185 yards (13.4 yards per catch), 70 touchdowns
Accolades: 3x first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowl, 2x single-season receptions leader, 2x single-season receiving yards leader

I’m very surprised that Johnson hasn’t heard his name called yet. He’s had an incredible career, but it’s even more impressive when you consider Johnson had the likes of David Carr, Matt Schaub, and Ryan Fitzpatrick throwing him the ball. He ranks in the top 12 in NFL history in career receptions and yards. There was also a three- to five-year stretch when Johnson was arguably the best wide receiver in the NFL. He’s waited long enough.

Carolina Panthers defensive end Julius Peppers (90) points against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second half at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Edge Julius Peppers (2002-18)
Stats: 719 tackles, 159.5 sacks, 82 passes defended, 11 interceptions, 52 forced fumbles, six defensive touchdowns
Accolades: 3x first-team All-Pro, 3x second-team All-Pro, 9x Pro Bowl, 2000s All-Decade team, 2010s All-Decade team

Peppers is a finalist in his first year of eligibility and I expect him to hear his name called. There weren’t many edge rushers, if any, that were more dominant than him during his career. Peppers ranks in the top five in league history in career sacks and has numerous accolades, including being on two different All-Decade teams, which is typically awarded to quarterbacks. I’m not sure there’s been a better player to suit up for Carolina, either.

Jacksonville Jaguars running back Fred Taylor (28) runs with the ball during the first quarter at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

RB Fred Taylor (1998-2010)
Stats: 2,534 attempts, 11,695 yards (4.6 yards per carry), 66 touchdowns, 290 receptions, 2,384 yards, eight touchdowns
Accolades: Second-team All-Pro, Pro Bowl

Some people might not consider Taylor to be a Hall of Famer because he doesn’t have the accolades, but I think he deserves consideration. Taylor was one of Jacksonville’s first star players. I’m surprised that he never got more credit in his career. Taylor rushed for over 1,000 yards seven times in his first 10 seasons in the NFL. He also ranks in the top 45 in NFL history in rushing yards and touchdowns. I think there’s a spot for him in Canton.

Reggie Wayne played 14 seasons with the Indianapolis Colts and retired in 2016 (AP photo).

WR Reggie Wayne (2001-14) 
Stats: 1,070 receptions, 14,345 yards (13.4 yards per catch), 82 touchdowns
Accolades: Super Bowl champion, first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 6x Pro Bowl, single-season receiving yards leader

Wayne is one of the reasons why Indianapolis had so much success in the 2000s. He has a strong case to make it to Canton. Wayne ranks in the top 10 in NFL history in both receptions and yards, and in the top 30 in touchdowns. He went on to become the No. 1 wide receiver in the Colts’ offense for years after Marvin Harrison retired. There was also a six-year stretch where Wayne tallied a minimum of 77 receptions and 1,000 yards in a single season.

Patrick Willis was named first-team All-Pro five times in only eight seasons in the NFL, all with the San Francisco 49ers (AP photo).

LB Patrick Willis (2007-14) 
Stats: 950 tackles, 20.5 sacks, 53 passes defended, 16 forced fumbles, eight interceptions
Accolades: 5x first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowl, 2x single-season tackles leader

Willis might’ve been in the conversation as one of the best linebackers in NFL history if he didn’t retire early. It’s pretty astounding that Willis tallied almost 1,000 total tackles and was named an All-Pro seven times in just eight seasons. He has a similar argument as Tony Boselli, who was enshrined to the Hall of Fame in 2022. Willis was also the leader of San Francisco’s defense in the early 2010s, which was one of the best I’ve ever seen.

Darren Woodson played 13 seasons for the Dallas Cowboys and helped them win three Super Bowls in the 1990s. Mandatory credit: Ronald Martinez/Allsport/Getty Images

S Darren Woodson (1992-2004)
Stats: 967 tackles, 23 interceptions, 36 passes defended, 12 forced fumbles, 11 sacks
Accolades: 3x Super Bowl champion, 4x first-team All-Pro, 5x Pro Bowl

Dallas was so successful in the 1990s mostly because of its star players on the offensive side of the ball, but Woodson was excellent defensively. He was named first-team All-Pro three straight seasons. His career interceptions and passes defended are low, but Woodson played closer to the line of scrimmage like Harrison. Woodson has been on and off the list of Modern-Era Finalists in recent years, but he should hear his name called in the near future.

Senior Finalist(s):

Randy Grandishar spent 10 seasons in the NFL with the Denver Broncos. He was the centerpiece of the infamous “Orange Crush Defense,” winning Defensive Player of the Year in 1978. Mandatory credit: Getty Images

LB Randy Gradishar (1974-83)
Stats: 19.5 sacks, 20 interceptions, 13 fumble recoveries
Accolades: Defensive Player of the Year, 2x first-team All-Pro, 3x second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowl

Gradishar had quite the career despite only playing 10 seasons. He made seven Pro Bowls, won Defensive Player of the Year in 1978, and was the centerpiece of Denver’s “Orange Crush Defense.” I’m not sure what’s prevented Gradishar from getting enshrined in the Hall of Fame. My guess is because the NFL didn’t officially keep track of tackles until 2001. He’s credited with over 2,000 career tackles, though, which would put him in the top five in NFL history.

Steve McMichael spent 15 seasons in the NFL with the New England Patriots, Chicago Bears, and Green Bay Packers. He helped the Bears win their only Super Bowl in 1985. Mandatory credit: Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

DL Steve McMichael (1980-94)
Stats: 847 tackles, 95 sacks, 13 forced fumbles
Accolades: Super Bowl champion, 2x first-team All-Pro, 3x second-team All-Pro, 2x Pro Bowl, Top 100 greatest Bears of All-Time

There have been several interior defensive linemen to be enshrined in the Hall of Fame with worse numbers and fewer accolades than McMichael. He has a pretty strong case to make it to Canton. McMichael was one of the leaders of the infamous 1985 Chicago Bears defense, which led the organization to its only Super Bowl in 1985. He was also named an All-Pro five times, which tells me he was one of the top players of his time.

Art Powell is one of just a few players to play in the Canadian Football League, AFL, and NFL. He primarily played in the AFL, where he led the league in receiving yards and touchdowns twice. Mandatory credit: Las Vegas Raiders

WR Art Powell (1959-68)
Stats: 479 receptions, 8,046 yards (16.7 yards per catch), 81 touchdowns
Accolades: 2x first-team All-AFL, 4x second-team All-AFL, 4x AFL All-Star, 2x AFL receiving yards leader, 2x AFL receiving touchdowns leader, All-Time All-AFL Team

The reason why Powell isn’t in the Hall of Fame might be because he played in the NFL for only two seasons. The bulk of Powell’s career was spent in the AFL, where he led the league in receiving yards and touchdowns twice and was named an All-Pro six times. Powell ranks in the top 35 in football history in touchdowns, so he was one of the most dynamic wide receivers of his time. When you consider the era Powell played in, he was way ahead of his time.

Contributor/Coach:

Buddy Parker was a head coach in the NFL for 15 seasons between 1949-64. He won back-to-back championships with the Detroit Lions in 1952 and 1953. Mandatory credit: George Gelatly/Getty Images

Coach Buddy Parker (1949, 1951-64)
Stats: 104-75-9 (3-1 in the postseason)
Accolades: 2x NFL champion

If the Hall of Fame is meant to tell the story of football, I’m not sure you can tell it without Parker. He’s arguably Detroit’s most successful head coach. Parker won 47 games in six seasons with the Lions, including three-straight appearances in the NFL championship, and winning it all twice. He’s also one of just 13 head coaches in league history to win back-to-back championships, and eight of them are enshrined in the Hall of Fame.

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Price’s 2023 Pro Football Hall of Fame ballot

Movie quote of the day:

“I’m going to find moral redemption at the roulette table.”

– Mark Baum, “The Big Short” (2015)

A general overall view of the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

I’ve been looking forward to this post since I wrote my first Pro Football Hall of Fame ballot last year. Check out my first National Baseball Hall of Fame ballot that I posted a few weeks ago while you’re at it. Football is my favorite sport and I’ve always been fascinated by the Hall of Fame procedures in professional sports, specifically football and baseball. So, I love this topic.

There are differences between the way football and baseball handle their Hall of Fame voting procedures, though. In football, there’s a 48-member committee comprised of media representatives for each team/city and former players, executives, contributors, etc. The committee determines which finalists will be inducted that year. Those finalists are split up into categories: Modern-Era, Senior, and Coach/Contributor.

The committee must choose at least four finalists but no more than eight across those categories, and no more than five Modern-Era finalists can be chosen. Finalists must receive at least 80% of the vote from the committee in order to be inducted. Unlike baseball, there’s no limit of the number of players the members of the committee can vote for.

The way this post is going to work is that I’m going to pretend to be a member of that committee and I’m going to break down which of the 19 finalists I’d vote for. Remember, this isn’t a prediction of what I think the ballot will look like.

Modern-Era Finalists:

Jared Allen retired as a member of the Minnesota Vikings in 2016 (Getty Images).

Edge Jared Allen (2004-15) 
Stats: 648 tackles, 136 sacks, 58 pass deflections, 32 forced fumbles, six interceptions
Accolades: 4x first-team All-Pro, 5x Pro Bowl, 2x single-season sacks leader

I don’t remember Allen being as good as his numbers would indicate. Between 2007-13, Allen was a dominant pass rusher. During that seven-year stretch, he collected 101 sacks and almost broke the single-season sacks record in 2011. Allen also ranks No. 12 in NFL history in career sacks. Only three players rank ahead of him on that list who aren’t in the Hall of Fame and two of them aren’t eligible.

Ronde Barber played 16 seasons in the NFL, all with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Getty Images).

CB Ronde Barber (1997-2012)
Stats: 1,251 tackles, 197 pass deflections, 47 interceptions, 15 forced fumbles, 28 sacks
Accolades: Super Bowl champion, 3x first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 5x Pro Bowl, single-season interceptions co-leader

While I wouldn’t call him one of the all-time great cornerbacks, Barber was an excellent player at the position for several years. He holds the record for most consecutive starts by a defensive back and by a cornerback. Barber is the only player in NFL history with more than 45 interceptions and 25 sacks in a career. He was also a big reason why Tampa Bay won the Super Bowl in 2002.

Dwight Freeney played in the NFL for 16 seasons, primarily with the Indianapolis Colts. Freeney helped Indianapolis win Super Bowl XLI. Mandatory credit: Getty Images

Edge Dwight Freeney (2002-17)
Stats: 332 tackles, 125.5 sacks, 47 forced fumbles
Accolades: Super Bowl champion, 3x first-team All-Pro, second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowler, single-season sacks leader (2004), 2000s All-Decade team

In the 2000s, Indianapolis was known for its offensive players – Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, etc. Freeney was often overshadowed during his tenure with the Colts, but he was one of the NFL’s best pass rushers for years. That’s why he made the 2000s All-Decade team. Freeney also helped Manning and the Colts get over the hump to win Super Bowl XLI.

Torry Holt was a key component to the St. Louis Rams – or “The Greatest Show on Turf” – winning Super Bowl XXXIV, and then retired with the team in 2012 (Getty Images).

WR Torry Holt (1999-2009) 
Stats: 920 receptions, 13,382 yards (14.5 yards per catch), 74 touchdowns
Accolades: Super Bowl champion, first-team All-Pro, second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowl, 2x single-season receiving yards leader, single-season receptions leader

Every other key contributor to the “The Greatest Show in Turf” is in the Hall of Fame. It’s time for Holt to join them in Canton. He was overshadowed by Kurt Warner, Marshall Faulk, and Isaac Bruce, but Holt became one of the best wide receivers in the NFL even after those players left St. Louis. When he retired, he ranked in the top 15 in league history in career receptions and receiving yards.

Andre Johnson played 12 seasons with the Houston Texans, and retired with the team in 2017 (USA TODAY Sports).

WR Andre Johnson (2003-16) 
Stats: 1,062 receptions, 14,185 yards (13.4 yards per catch), 70 touchdowns
Accolades: 3x first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowl, 2x single-season receptions leader, 2x single-season receiving yards leader

The fact that Johnson had the career that he did is already an impressive feat, but even more so when you consider he had the likes of David Carr, Matt Schaub, and Ryan Fitzpatrick throwing him the ball. Johnson ranks in the top 12 in NFL history in career receptions and yards. There was about a three-year stretch when he was arguably the best wide receiver in the league, too.

Darrelle Revis played in the NFL for 11 seasons, primarily with the New York Jets. He is best known for his nickname “Revis Island,” and helping the New England Patriots win Super Bowl XLIX. Mandatory credit: Getty Images

CB Darrelle Revis (2007-17)
Stats: 497 tackles, 29 interceptions, six forced fumbles, 139 pass deflections
Accolades: Super Bowl champion, 4x first-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowler, 2010s All-Decade team

I’m not as convinced as others that Revis is going to be a first-ballot Hall of Famer. I didn’t think he was the same player when he left the Jets the first time in 2012. Revis’ first stint with the Jets was a historic run by a non-quarterback. There was a three-year stretch where he was the best cornerback in the league by a large margin, which led to his excellent nickname, “Revis Island.”

Joe Thomas played each of his 11 seasons in the NFL with the Cleveland Browns. He was invited to the Pro Bowl in each of his first 10 seasons and didn’t miss a snap until 2017, which broke a record for consecutive snaps played. Mandatory credit: Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

T Joe Thomas (2007-17)
Stats: 167 starts
Accolades: 6x first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 10x Pro Bowler, 2010s All-Decade team, most consecutive snaps played (10,363)

I consider Thomas to be a first-ballot Hall of Famer. He was a formidable left tackle in Cleveland and holds the record for the most consecutive snaps played in NFL history. The only time Thomas didn’t make the Pro Bowl in his career was his rookie year. I don’t think Thomas gets the credit he deserves because he played on some terrible teams. They should already be working on his Hall of Fame bust, though.

Zach Thomas played 13 seasons in the NFL and ranks in the top five in league history in tackles (Getty Images).

LB Zach Thomas (1996-2008) 
Stats: 1,734 tackles, 20.5 sacks, 48 pass deflections, 17 interceptions, 16 forced fumbles
Accolades: 5x first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowl

I feel like Thomas often gets overshadowed because he played at the same time as other Hall of Fame linebackers like Ray Lewis, Derrick Brooks, and Brian Urlacher. It also probably doesn’t help that Miami was terrible while he was with the team. I consider Thomas to be one of the best linebackers of his era, though. He ranks in the top five in NFL history in both solo and combined tackles.

DeMarcus Ware ranks in the top 10 in NFL history in sacks (Getty Images).

Edge DeMarcus Ware (2005-16) 
Stats: 657 tackles, 138.5 sacks, 229 quarterback hits, 35 forced fumbles, 25 pass deflections, three interceptions
Accolades: Super Bowl champion, 4x first-team All-Pro, 3x second-team All-Pro, 9x Pro Bowl, 2x single-season sacks leader

I consider Ware to be one of the best pass rushers in NFL history – ranking No. 9 in career sacks and tallying 229 quarterback hits. In his nine seasons with the Cowboys, he recorded double-digit sacks in a single season seven times, and recorded a minimum of 15 sacks three times. Ware also played a critical role in Denver winning Super Bowl 50. I’m still very surprised he wasn’t inducted last year.

Reggie Wayne played 14 seasons with the Indianapolis Colts and retired in 2016 (AP photo).

WR Reggie Wayne (2001-14) 
Stats: 1,070 receptions, 14,345 yards (13.4 yards per catch), 82 touchdowns
Accolades: Super Bowl champion, first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 6x Pro Bowl, single-season receiving yards leader

Freeney and Wayne are the key contributors from those Indianapolis teams in the 2000s who aren’t in the Hall of Fame. Wayne’s numbers make him an easy choice for Canton. He ranks top 30 in league history in career receptions, yards, and touchdowns (top 10 in receptions and yards). There was also a six-year stretch where Wayne tallied at least 77 receptions and 1,000 yards in a single season.

Patrick Willis was named first-team All-Pro five times in only eight seasons in the NFL, all with the San Francisco 49ers (AP photo).

LB Patrick Willis (2007-14) 
Stats: 950 tackles, 20.5 sacks, 16 forced fumbles, eight interceptions
Accolades: 5x first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowl, 2x single-season tackles leader

Willis might’ve gone down as one of the best linebackers in NFL history if he hadn’t retired early. In only eight seasons, he tallied nearly 1,000 combined tackles and was named first-team All-Pro five times. Willis has a similar case as Tony Boselli, who had a similar career and was inducted last year. Willis was also the leader of San Francisco’s defense in the early 2010s, which were some of the best defenses I’ve ever seen.

Darren Woodson played 13 seasons for the Dallas Cowboys and helped them win three Super Bowls in the 1990s. Mandatory credit: Ronald Martinez/Allsport/Getty Images

S Darren Woodson (1992-2004)
Stats: 1,350 tackles, 23 interceptions, 17 forced fumbles, 11 sacks
Accolades: 3x Super Bowl champion, 4x first-team All-Pro, 5x Pro Bowl

The committee has inducted several safeties to the Hall of Fame in recent years and I’d argue that Woodson’s numbers put him on par with each of them. Those Cowboys teams in the ’90s were known for their offensive star players, but Woodson was the leader of the defense during that historic stretch. He’s been on and off the list of Modern-Era Finalists over the years, but he’s waited long enough.

Senior Finalists:

Chuck Howley played in the NFL for 15 seasons, primarily with the Dallas Cowboys. He helped Dallas win Super Bowl V and won MVP in that game. Mandatory credit: Getty Images

LB Chuck Howley (1958-73)
Stats: 25 interceptions, 18 fumble recoveries
Accolades: Super Bowl champion, Super Bowl MVP (V), 5x first-team All-Pro, second-team All-Pro, 6x Pro Bowler

My readers should know that I’m going to flock to any player with a Green Bay or West Virginia connection. Howley is from West Virginia and played at WVU. Tackles didn’t become an official stat until the ’80s, so we don’t know just how good he was because he played in an era that didn’t keep track of tackles. A five-time first-team All-Pro and Super Bowl MVP is deserving of a spot in Canton.

Joe Klecko played 12 seasons in the NFL, primarily with the New York Jets. Klecko was one of the leaders of the “New York Sack Exchange” defensive line for the Jets in the early 1980s. Mandatory credit: Getty Images

DL Joe Klecko (1977-87)
Stats: 78 sacks, nine fumble recoveries
Accolades: 2x first-team All-Pro, second-team All-Pro, 4x Pro Bowler, sacks leader (1981)

Klecko’s numbers aren’t that impressive, but interior defensive linemen typically don’t get many sacks. He played in an era that didn’t throw the ball as much as today’s game, too. There are four interior defensive linemen currently in the Hall of Fame with fewer sacks that had longer careers than Klecko. He was also the face of the infamous “New York Sack Exchange” defensive front in the ’70s.

Ken Riley played in both the AFL and NFL and spent his entire career with the Cincinnati Bengals. He’s tied for fifth in NFL history in career interceptions with 65. Mandatory credit: Getty Images

CB Ken Riley (1969-83)
Stats: 65 interceptions, five touchdowns
Accolades: First-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro

Riley has been overlooked for decades – between not getting much recognition in his playing career to waiting 34 years to be inducted to the Hall of Fame. It’s a shame that Riley has had to wait this long because he was the definition of a “ballhawk” – ranking in the top five in NFL history in career interceptions. Every other player in the top five is already in the Hall of Fame.

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Price’s 2022 Pro Football Hall of Fame ballot

Movie quote of the day:

“What we do in life echos in eternity.”

– Maximus Decimus Meridius, “Gladiator” (2000)

A general overall view of the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

This idea came to me as a result of the recent National Baseball Hall of Fame induction process. I’m going to start publishing my own Hall of Fame ballots for both baseball and football on this blog. What do I mean by that? Well, I’m basically going to pretend like I have a vote and give my opinion on which players deserve to make their respective Hall of Fames each year. I have no idea why it took me so long to come up with this idea, because I closely follow the Hall of Fame induction process for both baseball and football.

Now, it’s too late to give my baseball ballot this year, so I’ll do that one for the first time next year (I already have the post saved in my drafts). However, the NFL will announce its Pro Football Hall of Fame inductees this week. The football Hall of Fame induction process is quite different from the way the baseball Hall of Fame does it:

• there are anywhere between 15-20 total finalists on the ballot
• there’s a 48-person selection committee (largely made up of media members)
• there’s no limit on the number of finalists you can vote for when casting your ballot
• finalists must receive at least 80% of the vote to be inducted
• the committee has to induct a minimum of four finalists, but no more than eight

The way that this is going to go is that I’m going to pretend to be a member of that 48-person selection committee and vote for the finalists that I think should be in the Hall of Fame. Keep in mind, this is NOT a prediction, this is only a list of the players I’d send to Canton, Ohio, if I was a member of the selection committee.

Modern-era finalists:

Jared Allen retired as a member of the Minnesota Vikings in 2016 (Getty Images).

Edge Jared Allen (2004-15) 

Stats: 648 tackles, 136 sacks, 58 pass deflections, 32 forced fumbles, six interceptions

Accolades: 4x first-team All-Pro, 5x Pro Bowl, 2x single-season sacks leader

I’ll admit, I originally scoffed at the idea of Allen being inducted into the Hall of Fame. My immediate thought was “He was good, but he wasn’t that good.” I maintained that opinion until I saw his career stats. He ranks No. 12 in NFL history in all-time sacks. Once I saw that, I opinion immediately changed. Eight of the players that rank ahead of Allen on the all-time sacks list are already in the Hall of Fame, and the other three are going to get in one day (one of those three will likely get in this year).

Ronde Barber played 16 seasons in the NFL, all with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Getty Images).

CB Ronde Barber (1997-2012)

Stats: 1,251 tackles, 197 pass deflections, 47 interceptions, 15 forced fumbles, 28 sacks

Accolades: Super Bowl champion, 3x first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 5x Pro Bowl, single-season interceptions co-leader

I’m surprised that Barber has waited this long to be inducted into the Hall of Fame. I wouldn’t call him one of the all-time great cornerbacks, but he was a well above-average player at his position for several years. He holds the record for most consecutive starts by a defensive back (224 including playoffs) and most consecutive starts by a cornerback (209 including playoffs). Barber is also the only player in NFL history with more than 45 interceptions and 25 sacks in a career. Oh, and he helped Tampa Bay win its first Super Bowl.

Tony Boselli retired from the NFL after only playing eight seasons, seven of those seasons with the Jacksonville Jaguars (AP photo).

T Tony Boselli (1995-2002) 

Stats: 90 starts

Accolades: 3x first-team All-Pro, 5x Pro Bowl

I bet most people don’t even know who Boselli is (I didn’t when I first heard his name). Some of that can be attributed to his position, but more likely because he didn’t play very long in the NFL. Despite only playing for eight seasons, Boselli established himself as one of the best offensive tackles during his time in the league. He was Jacksonville’s first ever draft pick and was the first player to be inducted into the Jaguars’ Hall of Fame. Boselli was also Houston’s first pick in the 2002 Expansion Draft. If the Pro Football Hall of Fame is supposed to tell the story of the history of the NFL, I think you have to include Boselli. It’s time that Jacksonville finally gets representation in the Hall of Fame.

LeRoy Butler played 12 seasons with the Green Bay Packers, and helped the team win Super Bowl XXXI (AP photo).

S LeRoy Butler (1990-2001) 

Stats: 889 tackles, 38 interceptions, 15 pass deflections, 13 forced fumbles, 20.5 sacks

Accolades: Super Bowl champion, 4x first-team All-Pro, 4x Pro Bowl

You know that if a former Green Bay player is a finalist, I’m going to argue that he should be in the Hall of Fame. In all seriousness, Butler deserves to be in Canton. He’s the only member of the NFL’s 1990s All-Decade first team to not be enshrined. It’s laughable that both Steve Atwater and John Lynch were inducted before him the last two years. Butler has more interceptions and sacks than both of them. Another reason why he should be in the Hall of Fame is because he’s the inventor of the iconic Lambeau Leap celebration, which is an important part of the league’s history. 

Torry Holt was a key component to the St. Louis Rams – or “The Greatest Show on Turf” – winning Super Bowl XXXIV, and then retired with the team in 2012 (Getty Images).

WR Torry Holt (1999-2009) 

Stats: 920 receptions, 13,382 yards (14.5 yards per catch), 74 touchdowns

Accolades: Super Bowl champion, first-team All-Pro, second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowl, 2x single-season receiving yards leader, single-season receptions leader

Holt has waited long enough. I believe this is his sixth year to be eligible for the Hall of Fame. I have no idea why it’s taken him so long to even become a finalist. I assume it’s because his former teammate Isaac Bruce was getting more attention the last few years. When Holt retired in 2012, he ranked in the top 15 in league history in career receptions and receiving yards. Every other key contributor to “The Greatest Show on Turf” team (Kurt Warner, Marshall Faulk, Bruce, Orlando Pace) is already enshrined in Canton, and it’s time for Holt to join them. 

Andre Johnson played 12 seasons with the Houston Texans, and retired with the team in 2017 (USA TODAY Sports).

WR Andre Johnson (2003-16) 

Stats: 1,062 receptions, 14,185 yards (13.4 yards per catch), 70 touchdowns

Accolades: 3x first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowl, 2x single-season receptions leader, 2x single-season receiving yards leader

This is Johnson’s first year on the ballot, which I consider to be a bit of a curse for wide receivers. There have only been seven first-ballot receivers to be inducted into the Hall of Fame. The thing going for Johnson, though, is that two have come in the last few years (Randy Moss and Calvin Johnson). I still wouldn’t hesitate to vote for Andre. There was a stretch where he was arguably the best receiver in the game. He also ranks in the top 12 in NFL history in career receptions and yards.

Sam Mills spent 12 seasons in the NFL with the New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers (AP photo).

LB Sam Mills (1986-97) 

Stats: 1,265 tackles, 20.5 sacks, 22 forced fumbles, 11 interceptions

Accolades: First-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 5x Pro Bowl

If you only looked at Mills’ accolades, I think it’d be fair to question why I think he deserves a spot in Canton. However, you have to remember that he spent the first five seasons of his career on NFL and CFL practice squads, and then in the USFL. I don’t think many people knew who he was for the first few years he was in the NFL, which might explain why most of his accolades came later in his career. Mills averaged over 100 tackles per season during his time in the league, which I think is extremely impressive. He’s also honored by both New Orleans and Carolina. 

Richard Seymour helped the New England Patriots win three Super Bowls from 2001-04 (AP photo).

DL Richard Seymour (2001-12)

Stats: 498 tackles, 91 tackles for loss, 57.5 sacks, four forced fumbles

Accolades: 3x Super Bowl champion, 3x first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowl

I think Seymour often gets overshadowed. I think people forget just how good he was with the Patriots because he played alongside greats like Tom Brady, Tedy Bruschi, Ty Law, and Rodney Harrison. As an interior defensive lineman, I think he doesn’t get as much attention because he played at the same time as Warren Sapp. In his prime, Seymour was one of the best defensive linemen in the league. He was named to the NFL’s 2000s All-Decade first team. If Seymour played during a different time and with a different team, he might’ve been in Canton much sooner. 

Zach Thomas played 13 seasons in the NFL and ranks in the top five in league history in tackles (Getty Images).

LB Zach Thomas (1996-2008) 

Stats: 1,734 tackles, 20.5 sacks, 48 pass deflections, 17 interceptions, 16 forced fumbles

Accolades: 5x first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowl

Thomas is another player that often gets overshadowed. I think he gets forgotten as one of the best linebackers of the 2000s because he played at the same time as Hall of Famers like Ray Lewis, Derrick Brooks, and Brian Urlacher. It probably doesn’t help that the teams he played for only made five playoff appearances in his career, and didn’t make an appearance at all in his last seven seasons. However, it’s now Thomas’ turn to be enshrined in Canton. He ranks in the top five in NFL history in both solo and combined tackles. You couldn’t ask for much more from a linebacker. 

DeMarcus Ware ranks in the top 10 in NFL history in sacks (Getty Images).

Edge DeMarcus Ware (2005-16) 

Stats: 657 tackles, 138.5 sacks, 229 quarterback hits, 35 forced fumbles, 25 pass deflections, three interceptions

Accolades: Super Bowl champion, 4x first-team All-Pro, 3x second-team All-Pro, 9x Pro Bowl, 2x single-season sacks leader

Even though this is his first year as a finalist, I think inducting Ware into the Hall of Fame is a no-brainer. He was one of the best pass rushers in NFL history – ranking No. 9 in career sacks and tallying 229 quarterback hits in 12 seasons. Ware played a crucial role in Denver winning Super Bowl 50, but he made a much larger impact in Dallas. In his nine seasons with the Cowboys, he recorded double-digit sacks in a single season seven times, and recorded a minimum of 15 sacks three times.

Reggie Wayne played 14 seasons with the Indianapolis Colts and retired in 2016 (AP photo).

WR Reggie Wayne (2001-14) 

Stats: 1,070 receptions, 14,345 yards (13.4 yards per catch), 82 touchdowns

Accolades: Super Bowl champion, first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 6x Pro Bowl, single-season receiving yards leader

This is another one who’s a no-brainer to me. There was a stretch in the 2000s when Wayne was arguably the best receiver – top five at a minimum – in the NFL. Granted, it helps having Peyton Manning throwing him the ball and Marvin Harrison on the other side of the field. Regardless, Wayne’s stats make him an easy to choice for the Hall of Fame. He currently ranks top 30 in league history in career receptions, yards, and touchdowns (top 10 in receptions and yards). I’m shocked Wayne didn’t receive more major accolades throughout his career. 

Patrick Willis was named first-team All-Pro five times in only eight seasons in the NFL, all with the San Francisco 49ers (AP photo).

LB Patrick Willis (2007-14) 

Stats: 950 tackles, 20.5 sacks, 16 forced fumbles, eight interceptions

Accolades: 5x first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowl, 2x single-season tackles leader

Who knows what kind of career Willis was going to have if he didn’t retire early. He tallied nearly 1,000 combined tackles and was named a first-team All-Pro five times in just eight seasons. Willis also ranks in the top 50 in NFL history in solo tackles. That’s incredible. As a Green Bay fan, I always hated playing San Francisco’s defense in the years between 2011-14 because of Willis. I argue that he was the baddest dude on that defense. Once you factor in that Willis retired early because his “football tank was on empty”, I don’t think there’s any doubt that he’s a Hall of Famer. 

Bryant Young played 14 seasons with the San Francisco 49ers (USA TODAY photo).

DL Bryant Young (1994-2007) 

Stats: 627 tackles, 93 tackles for loss, 89.5 sacks, 20 pass deflections, 12 forced fumbles

Accolades: Super Bowl champion, first-team All-Pro, 3x second-team All-Pro, 4x Pro Bowl

I went back and forth on whether or not to give Young the nod. He’s certainly waited a long time to be enshrined. After doing some research, I decided to give him my vote. Young helped San Francisco win Super Bowl XXIX and was on the NFL’s 1990s All-Decade second team, behind fellow Hall of Famers Cortez Kennedy and John Randle. Another reason why I’m voting for Young is because his sack numbers are pretty high for his position. He had two seasons recording more than 10 sacks, which is fairly uncommon for an interior defensive lineman. 

Senior finalists:

Cliff Branch averaged 17.3 yards per reception as a member of the Oakland/Los Angeles Raiders from 1972-85 (Getty Images).

WR Cliff Branch (1972-85) – Oakland/Los Angeles Raiders

Stats: 501 receptions, 8,685 yards (17.3 yards per catch), 67 touchdowns

Accolades: 3x Super Bowl champion, 3x first-team All-Pro, 4x Pro Bowl, single-season receiving yards leader, 2x single-season receiving touchdowns leader

It’s so hard for a millennial like myself to evaluate players who played almost 50 years ago, but I’m going to argue Branch’s case for the Hall of Fame. I think you have to consider the style of play when he was in the NFL. Teams didn’t throw the ball that much in the ’70s and ’80s, and quarterback play wasn’t that good when teams did throw. Branch still managed to average 17.3 yards per reception despite that. He ranks ahead of a few Hall of Famers who played in his era in career receptions, yards, and touchdowns. Branch is also considered to be one of the fastest players of his era, and maybe in league history. 

Dick Vermeil (center) was a head coach in the NFL for 15 seasons. He won Super Bowl XXXIV with the St. Louis Rams, and led three different teams to the playoffs (AP photo).

Coach Dick Vermeil (1976-82, 1997-99, 2001-05)

Stats: 120-109 overall record (6-5 in the postseason)

Accolades: Super Bowl champion, AP NFL Coach of the Year, 2x Pro Football Weekly NFL Coach of the Year, 2x Sporting News NFL Coach of the Year

If you didn’t tell me that Vermeil was one of the senior finalists on the ballot this year, I would’ve assumed that he was already in the Hall of Fame. He not only led the Rams to victory in Super Bowl XXXIV, but he took Philadelphia to its first Super Bowl appearance in 1980. He’s also one of six head coaches to lead three different teams to the playoffs. I know Vermeil’s record isn’t that impressive, but I think you have to factor in that he was a head coach for only 15 seasons across three decades, and that he built up each team he coached through a rebuild.

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