“Nah, man! You can’t quote Rocky on me like that!”
— Colt Seavers, “The Fall Guy” (2024)
Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) celebrates a touchdown with teammates during the fourth quarter against the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
I finally had the motivation to compile my own NFL strength of schedule rankings last year. For years, I’ve been annoyed when pundits base strength of schedule rankings off win percentages from the previous season, which is meaningless now that we’re entering a new season. The NFL is much deeper than that and I’ve done my best to shine a light on it on this blog. There are several data-driven variables that need to be accounted, and I think these are the most important ones:
Projected win totals of opponents
Net travel (miles and time zones)
Net rest
Road games coming off a short week
Sets of back-to-back road games
Games against high-caliber quarterbacks (based on EPA last year).
With the league releasing its 18-week, 272-game regular season slate earlier this week, I had to do deep dive into each team’s schedule. I ranked where each team stands in those seven variables listed above from most favorable to least favorable. Then, I took where each team ranked in each variable, added the numbers, and used the total as a “final score” to determine my rankings. So, if a team finished No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, No. 4, No. 5, No. 6, and No. 7 across the variables, that’d give it a “final score” of 28 (1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 7 = 28). The “final scores” were then ranked from lowest to highest.
Think of the “final scores” like golf rankings. Lower numbers are better.
The 2024 NFL Draft is barely in the rearview mirror and I’m already looking ahead to next year. I say it annually, despite what the title of this post says, it’s never too early to see which players will enter the league this time next year. I’m one of the sickos that thoroughly enjoys watching the scouting process and how teams construct their rosters. Plus, next year’s draft will be held in Green Bay, Wis., and I plan on being in attendance if I can make it work.
This is always a fun exercise because the prospects have barely been scouted. Players are going to rise and fall on the board based on how they play this season. I expect the board to change quite a bit in these next few months. The 2024 draft class was talented, but very top heavy. I still think that we’re due for a class that’s deep with quality players, which we haven’t had in a while.
My first impression of the 2025 draft class is that there are a lot more quality defensive players at the top of the board as opposed to this year. It appears that there will be plenty of great pass catchers, too. As for the quarterback position, there’s a lot of uncertainty. I don’t think there’s a definitive top prospect at the position. That doesn’t happen too often.
The draft order is based on current Super Bowl LIX odds. I reserved the last 14 spots for teams that would be playoff teams going by those odds.
First round:
Georgia Bulldogs quarterback Carson Beck (15) throws a pass against the Alabama Crimson Tide in the third quarter of the SEC Championship at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
1. Carolina Panthers — QB Carson Beck, Georgia
It’s not fair to be overly critical of Bryce Young’s rookie season. However, he didn’t show any reason to think that he’s Carolina’s future franchise quarterback. If the Panthers have the No. 1 overall pick again next year, I think they’ll draft another quarterback. Beck has the traits to be successful at the next level. It’ll be difficult for Carolina to pass on him.
LSU Tigers offensive linemen Will Campbell (66) waits for the snap during the first half against the Mississippi Rebels at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-USA TODAY Sports
2. New England Patriots — T Will Campbell, LSU
New England has to keep Drake Maye upright. The days of Dante Scarnecchia putting together a great offensive line with scraps are over for the Patriots. I’m not sure they’ve had a great offensive tackle since Matt Light, who was with the team over a decade ago. Campbell is considered the top offensive tackle prospect in this draft class. He can play left tackle right away for New England.
Tennessee Volunteers defensive lineman James Pearce Jr. (27) sacks Akron Zips quarterback DJ Irons (0) during the second half at Neyland Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bryan Lynn-USA TODAY Sports
3. Denver Broncos — Edge James Pearce Jr., Tennessee
Denver’s pass rush hasn’t been the same since it traded away Von Miller. The Broncos have struggled to consistently get pressure on opposing quarterbacks in recent years. If they draft this high, I have a hard seeing them pass on a player like Pearce. A lot of pundits consider him to be the best player in this draft class. Pearce would be make an immediate impact in Denver.
Texas Longhorns offensive lineman Kelvin Banks Jr. (78) in action during the game between the Texas Longhorns and the Oklahoma Sooners at the Cotton Bowl. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
4. Washington Commanders — T Kelvin Banks Jr., Texas
I’m still surprised that Washington neglected the offensive tackle position in this year’s draft. The Commanders had one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL in 2023. They must keep Jayden Daniels upright. I think this pick has to be Banks. He’s one of the top offensive tackle prospects in this draft class. Banks can likely start immediately at left tackle, too.
Colorado Buffaloes quarterback Shedeur Sanders (2) looks to throw during the second half against the Oregon Ducks at Autzen Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports
Tennessee will give Will Levis a chance to prove himself this season, but it’s unclear if he’s the long-term answer at quarterback. If Levis doesn’t perform somewhat well, there’s a good chance that the Titans will be looking for a new franchise quarterback in 2025. Sanders is the top prospect at the position still on the board. He might even turn into the best quarterback in this draft class.
Michigan Wolverines defensive lineman Mason Graham (55) tackles Alabama Crimson Tide running back Jase McClellan (2) during overtime in the 2024 Rose Bowl college football playoff semifinal game at Rose Bowl. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
6. New York Giants — DL Mason Graham, Michigan
With the top quarterbacks off the board, I doubt the Giants would reach for one when they already have Daniel Jones. The Giants could use help in the interior of their defensive front, which took a hit after trading away Leonard Williams. Adding Graham would make the Giants’ defensive front even more menacing, and he’ll also take some pressure off Dexter Lawrence.
Clemson Tigers quarterback Cade Klubnik (2) is brought down by Kentucky Wildcats defensive lineman Deone Walker (0) in the third quarter during the Gator Bowl at EverBank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports
7. Arizona Cardinals — DL Deone Walker, Kentucky
I’m still surprised that Arizona didn’t put more of an emphasis on the interior of its defensive front in this year’s draft. That position is still a weakness for the Cardinals, even after taking Darius Robinson in the first round. If Arizona drafts this high, picking Walker would be a smart decision. He not only fills a need for the Cardinals, but he’s also one of the top players still on the board.
Penn State Nittany Lions quarterback Drew Allar (15) throws a pass against the Michigan Wolverines during the second quarter at Beaver Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew O’Haren-USA TODAY Sports
8. Las Vegas Raiders — QB Drew Allar, Penn State
I expect Las Vegas to be in the market for a new franchise quarterback in 2025. The Raiders haven’t had a long-term answer at the position in years. They can’t keep trotting out the likes of Jimmy Garoppolo and Gardner Minshew. It’s unclear which quarterback prospects will emerge after Beck and Sanders, but I think Allar is a good bet. He has the physical traits to succeed at the next level.
Michigan Wolverines defensive back Will Johnson (2) celebrates with defensive back Keon Sabb (3) after a turnover against the Washington Huskies during the third quarter in the 2024 College Football Playoff national championship game at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports
9. Minnesota Vikings — CB Will Johnson, Michigan
Minnesota will need to address the cornerback position next year. Byron Murphy, along with five other cornerbacks, are slated to be free agents. The Vikings must improve at the position now that quarterback play is improving in the NFC North division. Johnson is the early favorite to be the top cornerback prospect in this draft class. Minnesota could use him in its secondary.
Purdue Boilermakers linebacker Nic Scourton (5) reacts after bringing down Indiana Hoosiers quarterback Brendan Sorsby (15) during the second half at Ross-Ade Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Goddin-USA TODAY Sports
10. New Orleans Saints — Edge Nic Scourton, Texas A&M
New Orleans will likely need to add to its pass rush next year, specifically at edge rusher. The Saints currently have four players at the position slated to be free agents, including Chase Young, Payton Turner, and Tanoh Kpassagnon. Cameron Jordan also isn’t getting any younger. Scourton is a great fit for New Orleans’ defense. He could also be a defensive building block for the future.
Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback Jalen Milroe (4) passes in the first quarter against Michigan Wolverines in the 2024 Rose Bowl college football playoff semifinal game at Rose Bowl. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
11. Seattle Seahawks — QB Jalen Milroe, Alabama
Geno Smith has exceeded expectations at quarterback, but it’s time for Seattle to look ahead. Milroe is more of a project than a prospect, but he has the physical traits to succeed at the next level. Milroe needs time to develop, which is why the Seahawks are a good spot for him. Milroe can learn from a proven veteran like Smith until he’s ready to be the starter.
Missouri Tigers wide receiver Luther Burden III (3) catches a pass for a touchdown against the Ohio State Buckeyes during the fourth quarter at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers — WR Luther Burden III, Missouri
It’s arguably time for Tampa Bay to get younger at the wide receiver position. The Buccaneers have neglected the position for years. Plus, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are getting older, and they’re both slated to be free agents the next two years. I think Tampa Bay will have a difficult time passing on a player like Burden, who’s considered the top pass catcher in this draft class.
Southern California Trojans wide receiver Jordan Addison (3) runs the ball against Notre Dame Fighting Irish cornerback Benjamin Morrison (20) during the first half at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
13. Indianapolis Colts — CB Benjamin Morrison, Notre Dame
I’m still surprised that Indianapolis waited until the sixth round to draft a cornerback. I think that’s arguably the Colts’ biggest weakness right now. They haven’t had a difference maker at the position since Vontae Davis was with the team in 2017. Morrison is one of the top cornerback prospects in this draft class. He’d make a solid pair opposite of JuJu Brents in Indianapolis’ secondary.
An Arizona State Sun Devils player reflects in the helmet visor of Arizona Wildcats cornerback Tacario Davis (23) in the first half of the Territorial Cup at Mountain America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
Pittsburgh hasn’t had much luck when it comes to drafting and developing cornerbacks in recent years. However, the Steelers can’t keep neglecting the position. They have seven cornerbacks slated to be free agents next year, including veteran Donte Jackson. Pittsburgh must get younger at the position and get someone opposite Joey Porter Jr., and Davis can be that player.
Penn State Nittany Lions linebacker Abdul Carter (11) celebrates after sacking Maryland Terrapins quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa (3) dung the first half at SECU Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
15. Los Angeles Chargers — Edge Abdul Carter, Penn State
Khalil Mack isn’t getting any younger. It’s also unclear if Joey Bosa, who’s played in just 14 games the last two years, will be with the Chargers for much longer. The Chargers will likely need to revamp their pass rush next year, especially if they move on from Bosa. Carter is a bit undersized, but he’s capable of getting after opposing quarterbacks. I think Jim Harbaugh will want a player like him.
Arizona Wildcats offensive lineman Jonah Savaiinaea (71) blocks California Golden Bears nose guard Ricky Correia (91) during the first quarter at FTX Field at California Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports
16. Jacksonville Jaguars — T Jonah Savaiinaea, Arizona
Jacksonville already doesn’t have a great offensive line, and it might need to address the tackle position next year. Cam Robinson and Walker Little are slated to be free agents. The Jaguars must keep Trevor Lawrence upright if they want to be competitive in the AFC. Savaiinaea will likely be a guard in the NFL, but he can still contribute immediately in some capacity.
Ohio State Buckeyes defensive end Jack Sawyer (33) in action during the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes and the Missouri Tigers at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
17. Chicago Bears — Edge Jack Sawyer, Ohio State
Chicago’s pass rush improved after acquiring Montez Sweat. I still think the Bears could use more help on their defensive front, though. They also have four edge rushers slated to be free agents the next two years. Chicago could use a player like Sawyer to have opposite of Sweat. He can provide immediate depth, and potentially develop into an adequate starter.
Arizona Wildcats wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan (4) runs the ball against the Mississippi State Bulldogs during the second half at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports
With the way the board has fallen, Cleveland would have a hard time passing on a wide receiver. A few of the top prospects are still available and it’ll likely be a position of need next year. Amari Cooper and Elijah Moore are both slated to be free agents. McMillan (6’5”, 210 pounds) is a prototypical receiver. He’ll give the Browns size on the perimeter that it hasn’t had in years.
Colorado Buffaloes cornerback Travis Hunter (12) carries the ball away from Stanford Cardinal linebacker Spencer Jorgensen (10) in the second quarter at Folsom Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
19. Los Angeles Rams — CB/WR Travis Hunter, Colorado
I doubt that Hunter falls this far next year. There’s a chance he develops into a quality player in the NFL at either wide receiver or cornerback. The Rams could use help at both positions. They have several receivers about to be free agents, and they don’t have many difference makers at cornerback. Hunter will make an immediate impact in some capacity.
Georgia Bulldogs defensive back Malaki Starks (24) against the Florida Gators during the first half at EverBank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports
20. New York Jets — S Malaki Starks, Georgia
Everyone likely gets fired if things don’t go well for the Jets this season. That’s why it’s hard to gauge what the Jets will do next year. Safety will be a need, though. The Jets have three players at the position slated to be free agents. Starks is one of the best players still on the board, and he’ll fill that need. The Jets could use Starks in their secondary.
Ohio State Buckeyes defensive end JT Tuimoloau (44) tackles Missouri Tigers running back Cody Schrader (7) on run in the first quarter during the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Robertson-USA TODAY Sports
21. Atlanta Falcons — Edge JT Tuimoloau, Ohio State
Atlanta must bolster its pass rush. The Falcons have ranked near the bottom of the NFL in either pressure rate or sacks for years. Atlanta hasn’t had a good edge rusher for a long time, so that’s the position it needs to prioritize. Tuimoloau will be one of the top edge rushers in this draft class. He might’ve been a first-round pick this year if Tuimoloau didn’t elect to stay at Ohio State.
Washington Huskies cornerback Jabbar Muhammad (1) celebrates after making a play against the Oregon Ducks during the second quarter at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports
22. Miami Dolphins — CB Jabbar Muhammad, Oregon
Quarterback could be Miami’s top need next year, but there’s not one to take with this pick. With Jalen Ramsey and Kendall Fuller slated to be free agents soon, the Dolphins should prioritize the cornerback position. Their secondary will take a hit if they lose either of those players. Muhammad is one of the top cornerback prospects in this draft class.
Ohio State Buckeyes cornerback Denzel Burke (10) celebrates a tackle of Missouri Tigers quarterback Brady Cook (12) on a run in the first quarter during the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Robertson-USA TODAY Sports
23. Green Bay Packers — CB Denzel Burke, Ohio State
Green Bay will likely need to use an early draft pick on a cornerback next year. Two of their top cornerbacks are slated to be free agents, including Eric Stokes. Jaire Alexander has also played in just 27 games the last three seasons. The Packers will need to add to the position, and Burks is the top prospect available. He’ll provide depth and potentially develop into a starter.
Ohio State Buckeyes wide receiver Emeka Egbuka (2) runs the ball after the catch during the second half against the Youngstown State Penguins at Ohio Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports
24. Houston Texans — WR Emeka Egbuka, Ohio State
Adding pass catchers for C.J. Stroud wouldn’t be a bad idea. Stefon Diggs, Robert Woods, and Nico Collins will be free agents next year. The Texans need more dynamic offensive playmakers. Egbuka would be a great addition to Houston’s offense. He’s one of the top wide receivers in college football. Plus, Egbuka played with Stroud at Ohio State, so they’ll have chemistry.
Mississippi Rebels wide receiver Tre Harris (9) runs after a catch during the first half against the Arkansas Razorbacks at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-USA TODAY Sports
25. Dallas Cowboys — WR Tre Harris, Ole Miss
Like Miami, quarterback could be a need for Dallas, but there’s not one to take with this pick. Wide receiver should be a priority next year because CeeDee Lamb and Brandin Cooks are slated to be free agents. The Cowboys will need to add to their receiver room. Harris would provide some size (6’2”, 205 pounds) on the perimeter and be a great addition to Dallas’ offense.
Louisville Cardinals defensive lineman Ashton Gillotte (9) sacks Kentucky Wildcats quarterback Devin Leary (13) during the second half at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports
26. Philadelphia Eagles — Edge Ashton Gillotte, Louisville
Philadelphia has been preparing the last few years for life after Jason Kelce and Fletcher Cox. Now, the Eagles need to do the same at the edge rusher position. Josh Sweat and Brandon Graham will be free agents next year. Plus, we know general manager Howie Roseman likes drafting defensive linemen. Gillotte would be a great fit in Philadelphia’s defensive scheme.
Penn State Nittany Lions safety Kevin Winston Jr. (21) tackles Illinois Fighting Illini running back Josh McCray (0) after McCray caught a short pass during the second half at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
27. Buffalo Bills — S Kevin Winston Jr., Penn State
Buffalo depleted its secondary this offseason. The Bills still have a lot of holes to fill and it won’t get any easier with Rasul Douglas, Damar Hamlin, and Kaiir Elam about to be free agents the next two years. Buffalo needs to keep adding to its secondary, and safety is the top priority. Winston is considered the top prospect at the position. He’d contribute immediately with the Bills.
Michigan Wolverines tight end Colston Loveland (18) against the Washington Huskies during the 2024 College Football Playoff national championship game at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
28. Cincinnati Bengals — TE Colston Loveland, Michigan
Cincinnati drafted two tight ends this year, but it’s a position that’ll still be a need next year. Mike Gesicki and Tanner Hudson are both slated to be free agents. The Bengals need to give Joe Burrow a reliable pass catcher in the middle of the field. Loveland fills that need and is one of the best players on the board. Loveland would be a great addition to Cincinnati’s offense.
Florida Gators defensive lineman Princely Umanmielen (33) sacks Missouri Tigers quarterback Brady Cook (12) during the second half at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
29. Detroit Lions — Edge Princely Umanmielen, Ole Miss
It wouldn’t have been a bad idea for Detroit to add to its pass rush this year. It’ll likely be a need next year. Marcus Davenport, John Cominsky, and Josh Paschal are slated to be free agents the next two years. Umanmielen might’ve been a high draft pick this year if he hadn’t elected to stay in college. Umanmielen has the length that NFL teams like in edge rushers.
Oklahoma State Cowboys running back Ollie Gordon II (0) runs with the ball as Texas A&M Aggies linebacker Chris Russell Jr. (24) attempts to make a tackle during the first quarter at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
30. Baltimore Ravens — RB Ollie Gordon II, Oklahoma State
Baltimore might have the best backfield in the NFL with Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry, and Justice Hill. I don’t know if it’s realistic in the long-term future, though. Hill and Henry will be free agents the next two years. The Ravens could use a change-of-pace running back who can also develop into a potential starter. I think Gordon can fill that role in Baltimore’s offense.
Michigan Wolverines defensive lineman Kenneth Grant (78) sakes Washington Huskies quarterback Michael Penix Jr. (9) during the second quarter in the 2024 College Football Playoff national championship game at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
31. Kansas City Chiefs — DL Kenneth Grant, Michigan
Kansas City extended Chris Jones this offseason, but it needs to get younger in the interior of its defensive front. The Chiefs also have three players at the position slated to be free agents the next two years, including Derrick Nnadi. Grant was one of the leaders of Michigan’s defense in 2023. Kansas City could use someone with his body type (6’3”, 339 pounds) next to Jones.
West Virginia Mountaineers offensive lineman Wyatt Milum (64) during a play during the third quarter against the Kansas State Wildcats at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports
32. San Francisco 49ers — T Wyatt Milum, West Virginia
Addressing the offensive tackle position needs to be on San Francisco’s radar. The 49ers have six tackles slated to be free agents the next two years, including starting right tackle Colton McKivitz. Starting left tackle Trent Williams will also be 36 years old at the start of this season. Milum has developed into a solid player, and has experience playing both left and right tackle.
Biggest riser: Los Angeles Chargers (+16) Biggest faller: Cleveland, Tampa Bay (-10)
Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid celebrates with the Vince Lombardi Trophy after defeating the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl LVIII at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
1. Kansas City Chiefs Previous: 1
I see no reason to drop the back-to-back reigning champions in my power rankings. I still consider the Chiefs to be the best team in the league. As long as Patrick Mahomes is healthy, they’ll be one of the contenders.
Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews (89) celebrates with quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) after scoring a touchdown against the Detroit Lions at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
2. Baltimore Ravens Previous: 3 (+1)
I still view Baltimore as one of the top teams in the AFC. The Ravens have the reigning MVP in Lamar Jackson and a great head coach in John Harbaugh. Baltimore also added some good players to its roster this offseason.
Detroit Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown (14) celebrates in the end zone with wide receiver Kalif Raymond (11) and wide receiver Jameson Williams (9) after scoring a touchdown against the Denver Broncos in the second quarter at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports
3. Detroit Lions Previous: 4 (+1)
I doubt Detroit will regress. The Lions have one of the best rosters in the league. They also improved their secondary this offseason, which was a big weakness last year. Detroit might be the best team in the NFC right now.
San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (13) celebrates after a touchdown during the second quarter against the Arizona Cardinals at Levi’s Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sergio Estrada-USA TODAY Sports
4. San Francisco 49ers Previous: 2 (-2)
It feels like this season will be San Francisco’s last chance to win a Super Bowl with its current core. The 49ers will likely have some cap casualties next year. We’ll see if San Francisco can avoid a Super Bowl hangover.
Cincinnati Bengals head coach Zac Taylor and Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) talk during the first half of the game against the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
5. Cincinnati Bengals Previous: 15 (+10)
With Joe Burrow back healthy, I expect Cincinnati to be in the mix to win the Super Bowl. The Bengals have one of the better rosters and head coaches in the league. Cincinnati also had a great offseason.
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) hands the ball off to running back James Cook (4) in the first half against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports
6. Buffalo Bills Previous: 5 (-1)
I expect Buffalo to pull back a bit after having so much roster turnover this offseason. I doubt the Bills are as good as we’ve seen them the last four years. As long as Josh Allen is healthy, though, Buffalo will be in the mix.
Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver DeVonta Smith (6) and wide receiver A.J. Brown (11) celebrate a touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys during the third quarter at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
7. Philadelphia Eagles Previous: 12 (+5)
I’m not ready to give up on Philadelphia. We’re just one year removed from the Eagles nearly winning the Super Bowl. I thought this team improved this offseason. There’s a lot of pressure on Nick Sirianni to get things right.
Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) high fives head coach Matt LaFleur after throwing a touchdown pass during the second quarter of their game against the Chicago Bear at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark Hoffman-USA TODAY Sports
8. Green Bay Packers Previous: 7 (-1)
I don’t think Green Bay is going anywhere. The Packers added some quality players to their roster, which is one of the youngest in the NFL. If Jordan Love plays like he did at the end of last year, Green Bay can win the Super Bowl.
Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) celebrates his touchdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the fourth quarter at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports
9. Houston Texans Previous: 8 (-1)
Like Green Bay, I don’t think Houston is going anywhere. The Texans are a young team with an ascending quarterback in C.J. Stroud. DeMeco Ryans also proved himself as one of the better head coaches in the league.
Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) celebrates a touchdown with teammates during the fourth quarter against the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
10. Dallas Cowboys Previous: 9 (-1)
Dak Prescott and Mike McCarthy are both entering the final year of their contracts. There’s a lot of pressure on Dallas this season, more so than usual. The Cowboys will still be good, but I think they pull back.
Los Angeles Rams head coach Sean McVay watches game action against the Philadelphia Eagles during the second half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
11. Los Angeles Rams Previous: 10 (-1)
It’s hard to tell just how good the Rams will be without Aaron Donald. Losing a player of that caliber will likely have a negative impact on the Rams. They still have Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay to lead them, though.
Los Angeles Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh speaks at an introductory press conference at YouTube Theater at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
12. Los Angeles Chargers Previous: 28 (+16)
The Chargers had a lot of roster turnover this offseason. I still expect them to be one of the better teams in the league because of Jim Harbaugh, though. The Chargers will have a chance to win a lot of games because of him.
Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) talks with Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel (right) during a timeout against the Washington Commanders during the second quarter at FedExField. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
13. Miami Dolphins Previous: 13
I don’t see Miami being as good this year as it’s been the last few years. The Dolphins regressed quite a bit this offseason. It’s unclear if Tua Tagovailoa will be with the team after this year. I’d sell stock in this team.
Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson (7) runs against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second half at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
14. Atlanta Falcons Previous: 27 (+13)
Atlanta became a playoff team this offseason. The Falcons already had a decent roster. They just needed a quarterback, and they signed Kirk Cousins. Atlanta should be considered the favorite to win the NFC South division.
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) calls a play at the line against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the first quarter at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports
15. Jacksonville Jaguars Previous: 17 (+2)
Remember, Jacksonville made the playoffs in 2022 and won eight of its first 11 games last year. Trevor Lawrence’s injury derailed the team’s season. The Jaguars have question marks, but I still think they’re a good team.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) drops back to pass against the San Francisco 49ers during the first quarter at Levi’s Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports
16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Previous: 6 (-10)
Tampa Bay was a great story last year, but I don’t think it’ll replicate that success. The Buccaneers are getting older and we know Baker Mayfield is limited as a quarterback. The NFC South also got better this offseason.
Indianapolis Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson (5) passes the ball against the Philadelphia Eagles during the second quarter at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
17. Indianapolis Colts Previous: 19 (+2)
The future could be bright in Indianapolis. Shane Steichen did great things with the Colts last year. I need to see how Anthony Richardson performs before I start thinking this team can compete in the AFC, though.
Pittsburgh Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin during the game against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
18. Pittsburgh Steelers Previous: 14 (-4)
I actually think Pittsburgh improved quite a bit this offseason. Russell Wilson and Justin Fields are both upgrades over Kenny Pickett. The Steelers also had a great draft. We’ll see if Mike Tomlin can get this team back on track.
Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray (1) signals to his team against the Chicago Bears during the first half at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports
19. Arizona Cardinals Previous: 23 (+4)
Arizona has a legitimate chance to be a playoff team in the NFC this year. The Cardinals were kind of competitive last year and they improved this offseason. Having Kyler Murray for a full season should help, too.
Southern California Trojans quarterback Caleb Williams poses with NFL commissioner Roger Goodell after being selected by the Chicago Bears as the No. 1 pick in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft at Campus Martius Park and Hart Plaza. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
20. Chicago Bears Previous: 20
I don’t know if any team improved more than Chicago this offseason. The Bears added to their roster during free agency, and then got their next franchise quarterback in Caleb Williams. This team might make the playoffs.
Cleveland Browns defensive end Myles Garrett (95) celebrates after making a tackle during the second half against the Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports
21. Cleveland Browns Previous: 11 (-10)
I doubt Cleveland will be as good as last year. The Browns were 6-2 in one-possession games. That kind of luck likely won’t happen in back-to-back seasons. I’m also not convinced Deshaun Watson is good anymore.
New Orleans Saints quarterback Derek Carr (4) reacts to quarterback Taysom Hill (7) making a touchdown against the Chicago Bears during the first half at the Caesars Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports
22. New Orleans Saints Previous: 18 (-4)
New Orleans could be a playoff team or finish with a losing record. The Saints have talent on their roster, but their head coach/quarterback combination is one of the worst in the NFL. This team needs to enter a true rebuild.
Seattle Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith (7) and wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba (11) celebrate after Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught a pass for a touchdown against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the first half at Lumen Field. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports
23. Seattle Seahawks Previous: 16 (-7)
I originally had Seattle higher in my power rankings. I had to remind myself that Pete Carroll isn’t with the Seahawks anymore. I think it’s fair to assume Seattle will regress under rookie head coach Mike Macdonald.
New York Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers (8) throws a pass against the New York Giants during the first half at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ed Mulholland-USA TODAY Sports
24. New York Jets Previous: 29 (+5)
There’s a good chance that this season will be a disaster for the Jets. Aaron Rodgers is 40 years old and coming off a torn Achilles. I also think Robert Saleh is in over his head as head coach. I’m not buying the hype this year.
Minnesota Vikings head coach Kevin O’Connell looks up at the scoreboard in the second half against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Jamie Sabau-USA TODAY Sports
25. Minnesota Vikings Previous: 25
Minnesota will likely take a step back after losing Kirk Cousins. The Vikings have talent on their roster, but they’ll have a difficult time being competitive with either Sam Darnold or J.J. McCarthy starting under center.
Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton watches play against the Kansas City Chiefs during the first half at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
26. Denver Broncos Previous: 24 (-2)
I’m not convinced that Bo Nix is an upgrade at quarterback over Russell Wilson. Sean Payton moved on from some other good players this offseason, too. I have a hard time seeing the Broncos being competitive this year.
LSU Tigers quarterback Jayden Daniels poses with NFL commissioner Roger Goodell after being selected by the Washington Commanders as the No. 2 pick in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft at Campus Martius Park and Hart Plaza. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
27. Washington Commanders Previous: 31 (+4)
I doubt Washington will be competitive this season, but it should be improved. The Commanders made an upgrade at both head coach and quarterback. New owner Josh Harris has brought excitement to this team.
Las Vegas Raiders coach Antionio Pierce (left) talks with defensive end Maxx Crosby (98) n the first half against the Minnesota Vikings at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
28. Las Vegas Raiders Previous: 21 (-7)
This could be a long season for Las Vegas. I don’t know if Antonio Pierce was the right coaching hire, even though the Raiders played well for him last year. They also have one of the worst quarterback situations in the AFC.
New York Giants head coach Brian Daboll signals against the San Francisco 49ers during the second quarter at Levi’s Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
29. New York Giants Previous: 22 (-7)
The Giants should improve in the win column with a healthy Daniel Jones. I still don’t think they have the same success they had in 2022, though. Brian Daboll might be in over his head. The Giants also lost some good players this offseason.
Tennessee Titans quarterback Will Levis (8) drops back to pass against the Jacksonville Jaguars in the second quarter at EverBank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports
30. Tennessee Titans Previous: 26 (-4)
It wasn’t the best offseason for Tennessee. The Titans moved on from some good players, even parting ways with Mike Vrabel. There aren’t many teams worse than the Titans right now. It’ll likely be a long season for them.
New England Patriots linebackers coach Jerod Mayo against the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
31. New England Patriots Previous: 30 (-1)
I’ll be surprised if New England doesn’t finish last in the AFC East. The Patriots just don’t have enough talent on either side of the ball to be competitive. Not having Bill Belichick as head coach will hurt this team quite a bit.
Carolina Panthers quarterback Bryce Young (9) attempts a pass against the Miami Dophins during the first half at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports
32. Carolina Panthers Previous: 32
I’ll give Carolina credit. The Panthers did a good job improving the situation around Bryce Young. Carolina added some quality players through free agency and the draft. I need to see this team get out of the cellar, though.
— Ron Burgundy, “Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy” (2004)
Members of the NFL are setting up the main theater area on Tuesday, April 23, 2024 for the NFL DRAFT that will be held in Detroit later this week. Mandatory credit: USA TODAY
It feels like the 2024 NFL Draft ended just as quickly as it came. I did pretty well in my own mock draft. I finished with eight correct picks in the first round, which was a new personal best, and the same result as NFL Network’s Daniel Jeremiah and a better result than ESPN’s Matt Miller. I even posted a new personal best when it comes to correctly predicting the position teams would draft (17) and tied my record for the correct number of players selected in the first round (28). I was on a heater, to say the least. It’s even more impressive when you consider that I’m not as plugged in as those guys.
My biggest takeaway from this draft is just how offensively driven the game is becoming. That’s nothing I didn’t already know, but it feels like this was the first time to see it come to fruition through the draft. The first 14 picks of the first round were used on offensive players, including six quarterbacks in the top 12. There were also 23 offensive players taken in the first round, which is a new record. I think that speaks volumes to how the game is being played at the collegiate level.
I’m intrigued to see how the players in this draft class pan out in the NFL, maybe even more so than usual. This draft class was historically great on the offensive side of the ball, particularly at quarterback, wide receiver, and offensive line. I want to see if these players live up to the hype at the next level. I also want to see if the defensive players can exceed expectations, because this class wasn’t highly regarded on that side of the ball.
This is the eighth year in a row that I’ve given draft grades for every team. I think I’m finally figuring out to evaluate the way these teams construct their rosters. It’s still pretty subjective, though.
Draft grades:
Ohio State Buckeyes wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. poses with NFL commissioner Roger Goodell after being selected by the Arizona Cardinals as the No. 4 pick in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft at Campus Martius Park and Hart Plaza. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Arizona Cardinals Selections: WR Marvin Harrison Jr. (Round: 1 Pick: 4), DL Darius Robinson (Round: 1 Pick: 27), CB Max Melton (Round: 2 Pick: 43), RB Trey Benson (Round: 3 Pick: 66), IOL Isaiah Adams (Round: 3 Pick: 71), TE Tip Reiman (Round: 3 Pick: 82), CB Elijah Jones (Round: 3 Pick: 90), S Dadrion Taylor-Demerson (Round: 4 Pick: 104), Edge Xavier Thomas (Round: 5 Pick: 138), T Christian Jones (Round: 5 Pick: 162), WR Tejhaun Palmer (Round: 6 Pick: 194), CB Jaden Davis (Round: 7 Pick: 226)
Despite having 12 picks, I’m a little underwhelmed with Arizona’s draft. I wasn’t crazy about Robinson as a prospect, so drafting him in the first round felt like a reach. I also didn’t think the value was there for Adams and Reiman in the third round. The Cardinals still managed to get good players in the second round and on Day 3, along with arguably the best player of the draft in Harrison.
Grade: B+
Washington Huskies quarterback Michael Penix Jr. (9) passes against the Stanford Cardinal during the first quarter at Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
Atlanta Falcons Selections: QB Michael Penix Jr. (Round: 1 Pick: 8), DL Ruke Orhorhoro (Round: 1 Pick: 35), Edge Bralen Trice (Round: 3 Pick: 74), DL Brandon Dorlus (Round: 4 Pick: 109), LB JD Bertrand (Round: 5 Pick: 143), RB Jase McClellan (Round: 6 Pick: 186), WR Casey Washington (Round: 6 Pick: 187), DL Zion Logue (Round: 6 Pick: 197)
I actually don’t hate Atlanta’s decision to draft Penix. Having a succession plan at quarterback is never a bad thing. However, I’m not crazy about an almost 24-year-old sitting the bench for the next few years. The Falcons did a great job bolstering their defensive front in selecting Orhorhoro, Trice, and Dorlus. Atlanta really could’ve used some help at cornerback, though.
Grade: C+
Clemson cornerback Nate Wiggins (2) returns an interception for a touchdown during the first quarter against Florida Atlantic at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ken Ruinard-USA TODAY NETWORK
Baltimore Ravens Selections: CB Nate Wiggins (Round: 1 Pick: 30), T Roger Rosengarten (Round: 2 Pick: 62), Edge Adisa Isaac (Round: 3 Pick: 93), WR Devontez Walker (Round: 4 Pick: 113), CB T.J. Tampa (Round: 4 Pick: 130), RB Rasheen Ali (Round: 5 Pick: 165), QB Devin Leary (Round: 6 Pick: 218), IOL Nick Samac (Round: 7 Pick: 228), S Sanoussi Kane (Round: 7 Pick: 250)
Baltimore went in a different direction than what I thought it’d go in the draft. The Ravens have needed depth at cornerback and offensive tackle for years, and they used three of their first five picks on those positions. Wiggins might turn into the best cornerback in this draft class. Baltimore also got great value by selecting Isaac, Walker, and Tampa in the third and fourth rounds.
Grade: A-
Florida State Seminoles wide receiver Keon Coleman (4) avoids a tackle by Syracuse Orange linebacker Kadin Bailey (45) during the first quarter at Doak S. Campbell Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Melina Myers-USA TODAY Sports
For the most part, I have zero issue with Buffalo’s decision to trade back so many times. The Bills needed to round out their roster. They’re getting good players in Coleman, Bishop, Carter, and Davis. Van Pran-Granger might compete for the starting center spot, too. My issue with Buffalo is its decision to trade with Kansas City in the first round, which knocks this grade down a bit.
Grade: B
South Carolina Gamecocks wide receiver Xavier Legette (17) makes a reception against Vanderbilt Commodores cornerback Trudell Berry (30) in the first quarter at Williams-Brice Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Blake-USA TODAY Sports
Despite not having many picks, I thought Carolina came away with some good players. Legette gives the Panthers a No. 1 receiver on the perimeter. Brooks will immediately be in the running back rotation. Sanders gives Carolina a presence in the middle of the field. I’m still surprised that the Panthers didn’t draft an edge rusher to replace Brian Burns. That dings their grade a bit.
Grade: C+
Southern California Trojans quarterback Caleb Williams poses with NFL commissioner Roger Goodell after being selected by the Chicago Bears as the No. 1 pick in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft at Campus Martius Park and Hart Plaza. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Chicago Bears Selections: QB Caleb Williams (Round: 1 Pick: 1), WR Rome Odunze (Round: 1 Pick: 9), T Kiran Amegadjie (Round: 3 Pick: 75), P Tory Taylor (Round: 4 Pick: 122), Edge Austin Booker (Round: 5 Pick: 144)
It’s hard to not do well in the draft when you have two picks in the top 10. Williams has a chance to be the best quarterback Chicago has ever had. I think Odunze could be the best wide receiver in this draft class. Amegadjie and Booker were solid picks after the first round. I loathe drafting specialists before the sixth round, though. I have to knock the Bears for that.
Grade: B+
Georgia Bulldogs offensive lineman Amarius Mims (65) against the TCU Horned Frogs during the CFP national championship game at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
Cincinnati Bengals Selections: T Amarius Mims (Round: 1 Pick: 18), DL Kris Jenkins (Round: 2 Pick: 49), WR Jermaine Burton (Round: 3 Pick: 80), DL McKinnley Jackson (Round: 3 Pick: 97), TE Erick All (Round: 4 Pick: 115), CB Josh Newton (Round: 5 Pick: 149), TE Tanner McLachlan (Round: 6 Pick: 194), Edge Cedric Johnson (Round: 6 Pick: 214), S Daijahn Anthony (Round: 7 Pick: 224), IOL Matt Lee (Round: 7 Pick: 237)
I thought Cincinnati did a great job of hitting on its needs. Mims is a project at offensive tackle, but the Bengals are a good spot for him because he won’t be asked to start right away. I love Cincinnati’s decision to beef up the interior of its defensive front by drafting Jenkins and Jackson. Burton gives them a needed No. 3 receiver. All and Newton are worth taking a chance on, too.
Grade: B+
Ohio State Buckeyes defensive tackle Michael Hall Jr. (51) attempts to sack Indiana Hoosiers quarterback Brendan Sorsby (15) before a pass during the second half at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports
I don’t know what to make of Cleveland’s draft. The Browns didn’t have many picks, which I try not to hold against a team when giving grades. I like the Hall and Thrash selections, but this draft still leaves a lot to be desired. It’s unclear if Zinter will play this season after breaking his tibia and fibula back in November, so using a third-round pick on him was unnecessary.
Grade: C+
Oklahoma Sooners offensive lineman Tyler Guyton (60) at the line of scrimmage against the Kansas Jayhawks during the game at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Drafting a project like Guyton tells me that Dallas plans to move Tyler Smith to left tackle, and Beebe will take Smith’s spot at guard. That’s a smart move by the Cowboys. Kneeland will provide immediate depth along the defensive front. Carson might be a gem in the fifth round. I also think people are overreacting to Dallas not picking a running back. I think the Cowboys had a pretty good draft.
Grade: B-
Oregon Ducks quarterback Bo Nix (10) looks to throw during the first half against the Colorado Buffaloes at Autzen Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports
Denver addressed its biggest needs with its first four picks, but I don’t like the players it drafted. Nix, Elliss, Franklin, and Abrams-Draine are all undersized players with low ceilings. I just don’t think their physical limitations mesh well in a cold weather city like Denver. My favorite pick by the Broncos was probably Estimé, who came in the fifth round. I’m not crazy about this draft.
Grade: C
Alabama Crimson Tide defensive back Terrion Arnold poses after being selected by the Detroit Lions as the No. 24 pick of the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft at Campus Martius Park and Hart Plaza. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Detroit Lions Selections: CB Terrion Arnold (Round: 1 Pick: 24), CB Ennis Rakestraw Jr. (Round: 2 Pick: 61), T Giovanni Manu (Round: 4 Pick: 126), S/RB Sione Vaki (Round: 4 Pick: 132), DL Mekhi Wingo (Round: 6 Pick: 189), IOL Christian Mahogany (Round: 6 Pick: 210)
Detroit doubled down at cornerback, which was its biggest need. The Lions moved up to get arguably the best cornerback in this draft class in Arnold, and even Rakestraw is a good player despite not testing well. Detroit also found maulers of offensive linemen in Manu and Mahogany. Wingo was a steal in the sixth round. I thought this was another terrific draft by Brad Holmes.
Grade: A-
Arizona Wildcats offensive lineman Jordan Morgan (77) against the Arizona State Sun Devils during the Territorial Cup at Mountain America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
Green Bay Packers Selections: T Jordan Morgan (Round: 1 Pick: 25), LB Edgerrin Cooper (Round: 2 Pick: 45), S Javon Bullard (Round: 2 Pick: 58), RB MarShawn Lloyd (Round: 3 Pick: 88), LB Ty’Ron Hopper (Round: 3 Pick: 91), S Evan Williams (Round: 4 Pick: 111), IOL Jacob Monk (Round: 5 Pick: 163), S Kitan Oladapo (Round: 5 Pick: 169), T Travis Glover (Round: 6 Pick: 202), QB Michael Pratt (Round: 7 Pick: 245), CB Kalen King (Round: 7 Pick: 255)
Brian Gutekunst did an excellent job bolstering the middle of Green Bay’s defense, which was the team’s biggest weakness. The Packers got two immediate starters in the second round in Cooper and Bullard. First-round pick Morgan should provide depth at offensive tackle. I didn’t think Green Bay got great value with some of its Day 3 picks. That’s why this grade isn’t higher.
Grade: B
Vanderbilt Commodores wide receiver Quincy Skinner Jr. (3) catches a pass as he is defended by Georgia Bulldogs defensive back Kamari Lassiter (3) during the first half at FirstBank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports
For a young team that could’ve used a great draft, I didn’t think Houston did that well. In hindsight, I think the Texans should’ve kept their first-round pick. I think Lassiter is more of a nickel than a boundary cornerback at the next level. Bullock is an undersized safety that can’t tackle. I like the Fisher pick, but he’s a project. I don’t know how much Houston improved after this draft.
Grade: C
UCLA Bruins defensive lineman Laiatu Latu poses with NFL commissioner Roger Goodell after being selected by the Indianapolis Colts as the No. 15 pick in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft at Campus Martius Park and Hart Plaza. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Indianapolis Colts Selections: Edge Laiatu Latu (Round: 1 Pick: 15), WR Adonai Mitchell (Round: 2 Pick: 52), T Matt Goncalves (Round: 3 Pick: 79), IOL Tanor Bortolini (Round: 4 Pick: 117), WR Anthony Gould (Round: 5 Pick: 142), LB Jaylon Carlies (Round: 5 Pick: 151), S Jaylin Simpson (Round: 5 Pick: 164), CB Micah Abraham (Round: 6 Pick: 201), DL Jonah Laulu (Round: 7 Pick: 234)
Chris Ballard put together another solid draft for Indianapolis. The Colts have needed to bolster their pass rush for years and it got Latu, who might be the best edge rusher in this draft class. Mitchell was a steal in the second round. The Colts added depth to their offensive line by picking Goncalves and Bortolini. My issue is that Indianapolis waited until the sixth round to draft a cornerback.
Grade: B+
LSU Tigers wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. poses after being selected by the Jacksonville Jaguars as the No. 23 pick during the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft at Campus Martius Park and Hart Plaza. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Jacksonville Jaguars Selections: WR Brian Thomas Jr. (Round: 1 Pick: 23), DL Maason Smith (Round: 2 Pick: 48), CB Jarrian Jones (Round: 3 Pick: 96), T Javon Foster (Round: 4 Pick: 114), DL Jordan Jefferson (Round: 4 Pick: 116), CB Deantre Prince (Round: 5 Pick: 153), RB Keilan Robinson (Round: 5 Pick: 167), K Cam Little (Round: 6 Pick: 212), Edge Myles Cole (Round: 7 Pick: 236)
Jacksonville got off to a good start by trading back and still getting a great player in Thomas. However, I don’t think the value was there for Smith in the second round. Jones is likely a nickel in the NFL and not a boundary cornerback, which is what the Jaguars needed. I don’t know if Foster or Jefferson will be difference makers. This draft feels like a mixed bag for Jacksonville.
Grade: C+
Texas Longhorns wide receiver Xavier Worthy (1) carries the ball in the first half of the Longhorns’ game against the Iowa State Cyclones at Jack Trice Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sara Diggins-USA TODAY Sports
Kansas City Chiefs Selections: WR Xavier Worthy (Round: 1 Pick: 28), T Kingsley Suamataia (Round: 2 Pick: 63), TE Jared Wiley (Round: 4 Pick: 131), S Jaden Hicks (Round: 4 Pick: 133), IOL Hunter Nourzad (Round: 5 Pick: 159), QB Kamal Hadden (Round: 6 Pick: 211), IOL C.J. Hanson (Round: 7 Pick: 248)
I’m actually don’t love Kansas City’s decision to trade up to get Worthy. He should fit in well with the Chiefs’ offense, but I worry about his frame (165 pounds) in cold weather. I thought Kansas City’s next three picks were outstanding, though. Suamataia has a ton of upside at offensive tackle. Wiley could develop into a solid tight end. Hicks was also a steal in the fourth round.
Grade: B+
Georgia Bulldogs tight end Brock Bowers (19) carries a touchdown reception against the Auburn Tigers during the fourth quarter at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
Las Vegas Raiders Selections: TE Brock Bowers (Round: 1 Pick: 13), IOL Jackson Powers-Johnson (Round: 2 Pick: 44), T Delmar Glaze (Round: 3 Pick: 77), CB Decamerion Richardson (Round: 4 Pick: 112), LB Tommy Eichenberg (Round: 5 Pick: 148), RB Dylan Laube (Round: 6 Pick: 208), S Trey Taylor (Round: 7 Pick: 223), CB M.J. Devonshire (Round: 7 Pick: 229)
Tight end wasn’t a need, but I’ll never fault a team for drafting the best player available. Bowers will make an impact with the Raiders. Powers-Johnson can start right away in the interior of their offensive line. Richardson, Eichenberg, and Devonshire are Day 3 picks that fill needs. I’m surprised that Las Vegas didn’t draft a quarterback. That puts a lot of pressure on Gardner Minshew.
Grade: B-
Notre Dame Fighting Irish offensive lineman Joe Alt (76) blocks Stanford Cardinal linebacker Jordan Fox (10) during the fourth quarter at Stanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports
Los Angeles Chargers Selections: T Joe Alt (Round: 1 Pick: 5), WR Ladd McConkey (Round: 2 Pick: 34), LB Junior Colson (Round: 3 Pick: 69), DL Justin Eboigbe (Round: 4 Pick: 105), CB Tarheeb Still (Round: 5 Pick: 137), CB Cam Hart (Round: 5 Pick: 140), RB Kimani Vidal (Round: 6 Pick: 181), WR Brenden Rice (Round: 7 Pick: 225), WR Cornelius Johnson (Round: 7 Pick: 253)
I really like what the Chargers did over the weekend. After getting Alt, they probably have the best offensive tackle duo in the league. McConkey will be a favorite target for Justin Herbert, with his separation ability. Colson, Eboigbe, Still, Hart, and Vidal fill roster needs that have been neglected for years. Getting Rice and Johnson in the seventh round were steals, too.
Grade: A
Florida State Seminoles defensive end Jared Verse (5) against the Syracuse Orange during the first half at Doak S. Campbell Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Melina Myers-USA TODAY Sports
Los Angeles Rams Selections: Edge Jared Verse (Round: 1 Pick: 19), DL Braden Fiske (Round: 2 Pick: 39), RB Blake Corum (Round: 3 Pick: 83), S Kamren Kinchens (Round: 3 Pick: 99), Edge Brennan Jackson (Round: 5 Pick: 154), DL Tyler Davis (Round: 6 Pick: 196), K Joshua Karty (Round: 6 Pick: 209), WR Jordan Whittington (Round: 6 Pick: 213), IOL Beaux Limmer (Round: 6 Pick: 217), T KT Leveston (Round: 7 Pick: 254)
I thought the Rams crushed it in the draft. After losing Aaron Donald this offseason, they focused on improving their defensive front by taking Verse, Fiske, Jackson, and Davis. Corum will be a great pair with Kyren Williams in the backfield. Kinchens didn’t test well, but he’s worth taking a chance on in the third round. The Rams also got terrific value for Limmer in the sixth round.
Grade: A
Penn State defensive end Chop Robinson (44) celebrates after sacking Massachusetts quarterback Taisun Phommachanh in the first half of a NCAA football game Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in State College, Pa. Mandatory credit: Hanover Evening Sun
Miami Dolphins Selections: Edge Chop Robinson (Round: 1 Pick: 21), T Patrick Paul (Round: 2 Pick: 55), RB Jaylen Wright (Round: 4 Pick: 120), Edge Mohamed Kamara (Round: 5 Pick: 158), WR Malik Washington (Round: 6 Pick: 184), S Patrick McMorris (Round: 6 Pick: 198), WR Tahj Washington (Round: 7 Pick: 241)
Miami did well despite not having many picks. The Dolphins added some depth to their pass rush by getting Robinson. Paul will provide depth at left tackle behind Terron Armstead, who’s struggled to stay healthy. Raheem Mostert could be a free agent next year, so drafting Wright in the fourth round makes sense. Miami even got some depth at wide receiver on Day 3.
Grade: B+
Michigan Wolverines quarterback J.J. McCarthy (9) throws against the Bowling Green Falcons in the first half at Michigan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
Minnesota Vikings Selections: QB J.J. McCarthy (Round: 1 Pick: 10), Edge Dallas Turner (Round: 1 Pick: 17), CB Khyree Jackson (Round: 4 Pick: 108), T Walter Rouse (Round: 6 Pick: 177), K Will Reichard (Round: 6 Pick: 203), IOL Michael Jurgens (Round: 7 Pick: 230), DL Levi Drake Rodriguez (Round: 7 Pick: 232)
Minnesota traded nine total draft picks (three of them in the second and third rounds this year and next year) to get McCarthy and Turner. That’s a lot of draft capital for a project at quarterback and an edge rusher with a low ceiling. This team that already didn’t have much depth and now it won’t have enough picks to change that. I like the Jackson pick in the fourth round, though.
Grade: C+
North Carolina Tar Heels quarterback Drake Maye poses with NFL commissioner Roger Goodell after being selected by the New England Patriots as the No. 3 pick in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft at Campus Martius Park and Hart Plaza. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
New England Patriots Selections: QB Drake Maye (Round: 1 Pick: 3), WR Ja’Lynn Polk (Round: 2 Pick: 37), T Caedan Wallace (Round: 3 Pick: 68), IOL Layden Robinson (Round: 4 Pick: 103), WR Javon Baker (Round: 4 Pick: 110), CB Marcellas Dial (Round: 6 Pick: 180), QB Joe Milton (Round: 6 Pick: 193), TE Jaheim Bell (Round: 7 Pick: 231)
New England emphasized the offensive side of the ball, which was needed. I don’t think Maye is ready to start right now, but he has a high ceiling and has the traits to be a franchise quarterback. Polk and Baker should make an immediate impact as pass catchers. I think Wallace is an underrated prospect. There was a lot of pressure on New England and I think it did pretty well.
Grade: B+
Oregon State Beavers offensive lineman Taliese Fuaga (75) blocks Stanford Cardinal linebacker Levani Damuni (3) during the first quarter at Stanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports
New Orleans had a glaring need at offensive tackle and it drafted Fuaga, who might kick inside to guard. The Saints probably should’ve drafted another tackle before the seventh round. There’s a lot riding on Fuaga to acclimate quickly. I like the rest of New Orleans’ draft, though. McKinstry will provide depth at cornerback and Rattler is worth the risk in the fifth round.
Grade: B
LSU Tigers wide receiver Malik Nabers poses with NFL commissioner Roger Goodell after being selected by the New York Giants as the No. 6 pick in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft at Campus Martius Park and Hart Plaza. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
New York Giants Selections: WR Malik Nabers (Round: 1 Pick: 6), S Tyler Nubin (Round: 2 Pick: 47), CB Andru Phillips (Round: 3 Pick: 70), TE Theo Johnson (Round: 4 Pick: 107), RB Tyrone Tracy Jr. (Round: 5 Pick: 166), LB Darius Muasau (Round: 6 Pick: 183)
The Giants focused on patching up their roster after losing quality players this offseason. Nubin, Johnson, and Tracy will serve as replacements for Xavier McKinney, Darren Waller, and Saquon Barkley. Drafting Nabers finally gives the Giants a dynamic pass catcher. I even like the Phillips pick in the third round. My only issue with this draft is that the Giants neglected the offensive line.
Grade: B+
Ohio State Buckeyes defensive end JT Tuimoloau (44) goes up against Penn State Nittany Lions offensive lineman Olumuyiwa Fashanu (74) during the third quarter of their game at Ohio Stadium. Mandatory credit: The Columbus Dispatch
New York Jets Selections: T Olu Fashanu (Round: 1 Pick: 11), WR Malachi Corley (Round: 3 Pick: 65), RB Braelon Allen (Round: 4 Pick: 134), QB Jordan Travis (Round: 5 Pick: 173), RB Isaiah Davis (Round: 5 Pick: 173), CB Qwan’tez Stiggers (Round: 5 Pick: 176), S Jaylen Key (Round: 7 Pick: 257)
Joe Douglas hit on the Jets’ biggest needs early in the draft. Fashanu will be a long-term answer at left or right tackle, and can learn from Tyron Smith. Corley is a versatile wide receiver. I was surprised that the Jets drafted two running backs, considering Breece Hall still has two years on his rookie contract. I also think they could’ve used more help along the offensive line.
Grade: B-
Toledo Rockets cornerback Quinyon Mitchell poses after being selected by the Philadelphia Eagles as the No. 22 pick in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft at Campus Martius Park and Hart Plaza. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Philadelphia Eagles Selections: CB Quinyon Mitchell (Round: 1 Pick: 22), CB Cooper DeJean (Round: 2 Pick: 40), Edge Jalyx Hunt (Round: 3 Pick: 94), RB Will Shipley (Round: 4 Pick: 127), WR Ainias Smith (Round: 5 Pick: 152), LB Jeremiah Trotter Jr. (Round: 5 Pick: 155), IOL Trevor Keegan (Round: 5 Pick: 172), WR Johnny Wilson (Round: 6 Pick: 185), IOL Dylan McMahon (Round: 6 Pick: 190)
Howie Roseman did Howie Roseman things once again in the draft. Philadelphia needed to improve its secondary and it did that by selecting Mitchell and DeJean, who were two of the top cornerbacks in this draft class. Hunt could turn into an adequate replacement for Haason Reddick. Getting Smith, Trotter, and Keegan in the fifth round was great value, too.
Grade: A
Washington Huskies offensive lineman Troy Fautanu (55) against the Michigan Wolverines during the 2024 College Football Playoff national championship game at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
Pittsburgh Steelers Selections: T Troy Fautanu (Round: 1 Pick: 20), IOL Zach Frazier (Round: 2 Pick: 51), WR Roman Wilson (Round: 3 Pick: 84), LB Payton Wilson (Round: 3 Pick: 98), IOL Mason McCormick (Round: 4 Pick: 119), DL Logan Lee (Round: 6 Pick: 178), CB Ryan Watts (Round: 6 Pick: 195)
I thought Pittsburgh nailed the draft despite not having that many picks. The Steelers needed to improve their offensive line and they drafted three prospects that might start right away in Fautanu, Frazier, and McCormick. Roman Wilson and Payton Wilson filled needs on Pittsburgh’s roster and were great value in the third round. This is back-to-back great drafts by Omar Khan.
Grade: A
Florida Gators wide receiver Ricky Pearsall (1) runs with the ball away from Florida Gators cornerback Aaron Gates (13) during the first half at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matt Pendleton-USA TODAY Sports
San Francisco 49ers Selections: WR Ricky Pearsall (Round: 1 Pick: 31), CB Renardo Green (Round: 2 Pick: 64), IOL Dominick Puni (Round: 3 Pick: 86), S Malik Mustapha (Round: 4 Pick: 124), RB Isaac Guerendo (Round: 4 Pick: 129), WR Jacob Cowing (Round: 4 Pick: 135), IOL Jarrett Kingston (Round: 6 Pick: 215), LB Tatum Bethune (Round: 7 Pick: 251)
With the uncertainty surrounding Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel, it makes sense for San Francisco to draft Pearsall and Cowing. The 49ers needed a cornerback opposite of Charvarius Ward and Green can fill that role. Mustapha might be a hidden gem. Guerendo will be a great pair with Christian McCaffrey. San Francisco did much better in the draft this year than it did last year.
Grade: B
Texas Longhorns defensive lineman Byron Murphy II (90) celebrates after a sack against TCU Horned Frogs quarterback Josh Hoover (10) in the second quarter of an NCAA college football game at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ricardo B. Brazziell-USA TODAY Sports
Seattle Seahawks Selections: DL Byron Murphy II (Round: 1 Pick: 16), IOL Christian Haynes (Round: 3 Pick: 81), LB Tyrice Knight (Round: 4 Pick: 118), TE AJ Barner (Round: 4 Pick: 121), CB Nehemiah Pritchett (Round: 5 Pick: 136), IOL Sataoa Laumea (Round: 6 Pick: 179), CB D.J. James (Round: 6 Pick: 192), T Michael Jerrell (Round: 6 Pick: 207)
Seattle addressed two of its biggest needs with its first two picks. Murphy will be a difference maker in the interior of the defensive line and Haynes will start right away at guard. Barner will be a good blocking tight end, too. However, I’m not crazy about the rest of the Seahawks’ draft. I don’t think the value was there for Knight. I also don’t like that Seattle neglected an edge rusher.
Grade: B
Duke offensive lineman Graham Barton gets lined up before a play. Mandatory credit: Duke Athletics
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Selections: IOL Graham Barton (Round: 1 Pick: 26), Edge Chris Braswell (Round: 2 Pick: 57), S Tykee Smith (Round: 3 Pick: 89), WR Jalen McMillan (Round: 3 Pick: 92), RB Bucky Irving (Round: 4 Pick: 125), IOL Elijah Klein (Round: 6 Pick: 220), TE Devin Culp (Round: 7 Pick: 246)
Teams typically don’t draft centers in the first round, but it makes sense for Tampa Bay after losing Ryan Jensen this offseason. Braswell will make provide depth at edge rusher, which was needed. Smith, McMillan, and Irving are good players that fill both immediate and future roster needs. I think Jason Licht did a good job, but I’m surprised that he neglected the cornerback position.
Grade: B+
Alabama Crimson Tide offensive lineman JC Latham poses after being selected by the Tennessee Titans as the No. 7 pick in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft at Campus Martius Park and Hart Plaza. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Despite having a top 10 pick, I don’t like what Tennessee did this past weekend. Latham felt like a reach in the top 10, and he’s likely going to be a guard or right tackle in the NFL. There were a ton of red flags surrounding Sweat throughout the draft process and the value wasn’t there to pick him early in the second round. I think the Titans are the biggest loser of the draft.
Grade: C-
LSU Tigers quarterback Jayden Daniels poses with NFL commissioner Roger Goodell after being selected by the Washington Commanders as the No. 2 pick in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft at Campus Martius Park and Hart Plaza. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Washington Commanders Selections: QB Jayden Daniels (Round: 1 Pick: 2), DL Jer’Zhan Newton (Round: 2 Pick: 36), CB Mike Sainristil (Round: 2 Pick: 50), TE Ben Sinnott (Round: 2 Pick: 53), IOL Brandon Coleman (Round: 3 Pick: 67), WR Luke McCaffrey (Round: 3 Pick: 100), LB Jordan Magee (Round: 5 Pick: 139), S Dominique Hampton (Round: 5 Pick: 161), Edge Javontae Jean-Baptiste (Round: 7 Pick: 222)
I thought this was a fine draft by Washington, but I didn’t think it was great. Daniels was my least favorite quarterback in this draft class. Sinnott is probably more of an H-back than a tight end, and the value wasn’t great for him. I really like the Newton and Sainristil selections, though. I’m also surprised that the Commanders didn’t use more draft capital to get better in the trenches.
— Gandalf, “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” (2003)
The NFL equivalent to Christmas Day is upon us. I couldn’t be more excited about it. For the first time in years, I’m not stressed about what Green Bay plans to do in the draft. With the Packers being so young, they could go in a variety of different directions and whoever they pick will likely make an impact.
This is easily the best draft class that we’ve seen in the last three or four years. It’s loaded with talent on the offensive side of the ball, specifically at quarterback, wide receiver, and offensive line. That’s not to say that there aren’t good defensive players in this draft class. I think that side of the ball is deep at cornerback and interior defensive line. If your team is looking for a good linebacker, safety, edge rusher, tight end, or running back, it’ll have to draft one early because there’s not much depth at those positions.
There’s still so much uncertainty with what’s going to happen in the first round when it comes to the quarterback position. I feel strongly about which quarterback Chicago will draft with the No. 1 overall pick, but I don’t know about the rest. Does Minnesota or the Giants move up for a quarterback, or another team that we’re not anticipating? There will be no shortage of entertainment on that front. I’m pretty confident that this draft will break the record for most offensive players taken in the first round, which is currently 19.
I’d be lying if I said that I didn’t change this mock draft at least twice this week. My mock draft last year was the best I’ve ever filled out, with seven correct picks. There’s a lot of pressure for me to replicate that success. Remember, this is what I think the teams will do not what I’d do. I also don’t incorporate trades in my mock drafts.
First round:
Southern California Trojans quarterback Caleb Williams (13) throws the ball against the Utah Utes in the second half at United Airlines Field at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
1. Chicago Bears (from Carolina) — QB Caleb Williams, USC
All signs are pointing to Chicago using this pick on Williams. He’s currently a heavy favorite (-20000) to be the No. 1 overall pick. There’s lot to like about Williams. He’s the best quarterback prospect to come through the draft since Trevor Lawrence, and has the highest ceiling of the prospects at the position in this draft class. Williams can also start right away for the Bears.
LSU Tigers quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) looks to pass the ball during the game against the Florida State Seminoles at Camping World Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Melina Myers-USA TODAY Sports
2. Washington Commanders (4-13) — QB Jayden Daniels, LSU
It’s clear that Washington is picking a quarterback with this pick. I’m just not convinced which one. I’m giving the nod to Daniels because the odds have continued to shift in his favor the closer we get to the draft. I don’t think Daniels has a particularly high ceiling, but he’s a dynamic playmaker. That’s something that Washington hasn’t had at the position since the Robert Griffin III era.
North Carolina Tar Heels quarterback Drake Maye (10) throws a pass against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in the first half at Bobby Dodd Stadium at Hyundai Field. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports
3. New England Patriots (4-13) — QB Drake Maye, North Carolina
It seems like New England wants to trade out of this pick. I’m not convinced that it’ll be able to do that, though. If the Patriots stay, I think they have to take a quarterback. New England can’t go into the season with just Jacoby Brissett and Bailey Zappe. Drafting Maye makes too much sense. I think he might have the second-highest ceiling of the quarterback prospects in this draft class.
Ohio State Buckeyes wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. (18) scores a touchdown against the Penn State Nittany Lions during the fourth quarter at Ohio Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports
4. Arizona Cardinals (4-13) — WR Marvin Harrison Jr., Ohio State
Arizona will likely listen to trade offers, but I doubt it’ll get out of this pick. The Cardinals moved on from Marquise Brown and Rondale Moore this offseason, which tells me that they’re honing in on Harrison. He’s considered to be the best wide receiver prospect to come through the draft since Ja’Marr Chase. I think Harrison would make an immediate impact as a rookie.
Alabama Crimson Tide offensive lineman J.C. Latham (65) blocks against the Miami Hurricanes at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
5. Los Angeles Chargers (5-12) — T JC Latham, Alabama
I realize that the Chargers need pass catchers, but I think drafting one this early goes against Jim Harbaugh and Joe Hortiz’s DNA. If the Chargers keep this pick, I fully expect them to draft an offensive lineman. However, I think it’ll be Latham. He’s a better fit for right tackle, which is what the Chargers need. Latham’s play style is also perfect for what Harbaugh likes to do offensively.
LSU Tigers wide receiver Malik Nabers (8) hauls in a 46 yard pass for a touchdown against the Alabama Crimson Tide during the first quarter at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
6. New York Giants (6-11) — WR Malik Nabers, LSU
I wouldn’t rule out the Giants trading up for a quarterback. That buzz has only picked up recently, but I need to see it happen. The Giants could use a No. 1 pass catcher, which they haven’t had since trading away Odell Beckham Jr. in 2019. Nabers hasn’t turned 21 yet, so it might take him time to develop. However, Nabers has a high ceiling and could be a great weapon for the Giants.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish offensive lineman Joe Alt (76) blocks Stanford Cardinal linebacker Jordan Fox (10) during the fourth quarter at Stanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports
7. Tennessee Titans (6-11) — T Joe Alt, Notre Dame
If this is the way the board falls, I don’t think Tennessee will waste any time getting this pick into commissioner Roger Goodell. The Titans have regressed along the offensive line in recent years and could really use a left tackle. Alt is considered the best offensive lineman in this draft class and can start right away at left tackle. I think this is a no-brainer decision for Tennessee.
Alabama Crimson Tide linebacker Dallas Turner (15) celebrates after a sack against the LSU Tigers during the second half at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Butch Dill-USA TODAY Sports
8. Atlanta Falcons (7-10) — Edge Dallas Turner, Alabama
Atlanta has ranked in the bottom half of the league in sacks and/or pressure rate for the last few years. It seems like the Falcons are finally going to use a first-round pick to bolster their pass rush, which they haven’t done since 2017. It’s unclear which pass rusher Atlanta will target with this pick, but I think it’ll be Turner. He’s a better fit for Raheem Morris’ defensive scheme.
Texas Longhorns defensive lineman Byron Murphy II (90) celebrates after a sack against TCU Horned Frogs quarterback Josh Hoover (10) in the second quarter of an NCAA college football game at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ricardo B. Brazziell-USA TODAY Sports
9. Chicago Bears (7-10) — DL Byron Murphy II, Texas
I actually think Chicago could go Murphy even if one of the top three pass catchers is still on the board. The Bears need more difference makers along their defensive front besides Montez Sweat, specifically in the interior. Murphy is a little undersized (6’0″, 297 pounds), but he’s twitchy and could be a problem as a pass rusher. Murphy could also contribute immediately in Chicago.
Washington Huskies wide receiver Rome Odunze (1) signals for a first down after catching a pass against the Stanford Cardinal during the first quarter at Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
10. New York Jets (7-10) — WR Rome Odunze, Washington
If you believe the article by The Athletic that Aaron Rodgers is the De facto general manager of the Jets, I think you can expect this pick to be used on a pass catcher. I have a difficult time believing the Jets will pass on Odunze. They don’t have many quality perimeter wide receivers besides Mike Williams, who can’t stay healthy. Having Odunze will open up the Jets’ passing attack.
Michigan Wolverines quarterback J.J. McCarthy (9) throws against the Bowling Green Falcons in the first half at Michigan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
It’s clear that Minnesota is targeting a quarterback early in the draft. After acquiring Houston’s first-round pick, I expect the Vikings to use that extra capital to trade up to get their next long-term starter. I think McCarthy will be their choice. He’s a project that will have to sit for one season (maybe even two), but the Vikings seem to like him a lot. I think this is a good spot for McCarthy.
Oregon Ducks quarterback Bo Nix (10) looks to throw during the first half against the Colorado Buffaloes at Autzen Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports
12. Denver Broncos (8-9) — QB Bo Nix, Oregon
The acquisition of Zach Wilson doesn’t change my opinion of Denver’s quarterback situation. The Broncos still don’t have a starter, and are basically in a position where they have to draft one with this pick. If not, Denver will have to wait until the third round, which I don’t see happening. Nix makes the most sense for the Broncos. He’d be a great fit in Sean Payton’s offense.
Washington Huskies quarterback Michael Penix Jr. (9) passes against the Stanford Cardinal during the first quarter at Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
13. Las Vegas Raiders (8-9) — QB Michael Penix Jr., Washington
There have been rumors the last few weeks that Las Vegas has been eyeballing a quarterback, allegedly even trying to trade up to No. 2 to pick one. If this is the way the board falls, I think the Raiders would take Penix. He has the physical traits to succeed at the next level. The odds have also steadily shifted in Penix’s favor recently for him to be drafted in the first round.
Ohio State Buckeyes defensive end JT Tuimoloau (44) goes up against Penn State Nittany Lions offensive lineman Olumuyiwa Fashanu (74) during the third quarter of their game at Ohio Stadium. Mandatory credit: The Columbus Dispatch
14. New Orleans Saints (9-8) — T Olu Fashanu, Penn State
New Orleans typically doesn’t look to the future when it comes to roster needs. I expect it to draft its most immediate need with this pick, which is offensive tackle. Andrus Peat remains a free agent, Ryan Ramczyk is dealing with a knee injury, and Trevor Penning has struggled since entering the NFL. Fashanu can play immediately and has a lot of experience playing left tackle.
Georgia Bulldogs tight end Brock Bowers (19) carries a touchdown reception against the Auburn Tigers during the fourth quarter at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
15. Indianapolis Colts (9-8) — TE Brock Bowers, Georgia
This isn’t an immediate need for Indianapolis, but it’s been linked to pass catchers all offseason. If Bowers falls this far, I doubt the Colts will pass on him. Bowers is a versatile player and is also an effective blocker. Having him will give Indianapolis a presence in the middle of the field that it probably hasn’t had since Coby Fleener. This will really help Anthony Richardson’s development.
Oregon State Beavers offensive lineman Taliese Fuaga (75) blocks Stanford Cardinal linebacker Levani Damuni (3) during the first quarter at Stanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports
16. Seattle Seahawks (9-8) — T Taliese Fuaga, Oregon State
The interior of Seattle’s offensive line was already a need prior to Damien Lewis leaving during free agency. The Seahawks currently have four guards on their roster that had an average Pro Football Focus grade of just 51.1 last year, which is well below average. Drafting Fuaga makes too much sense for Seattle. He can easily slide inside to guard and contribute immediately.
Toledo Rockets cornerback Quinyon Mitchell (27) breaks up a pass intended for Miami (OH) Redhawks wide receiver Gage Larvadain (10) in the third quarter at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports
Jacksonville bolstered its defensive front this offseason by extending Josh Allen and acquiring Arik Armstead. That makes me think that the Jaguars will target a cornerback with this pick. Jacksonville doesn’t really have a playmaker in its secondary besides Tyson Campbell. Mitchell might need some time to develop, but his physical traits typically translate well to the NFL.
Illinois Fighting Illini defensive tackle Jer’Zhan Newton (4) tackles Wisconsin Badgers running back Braelon Allen (0) during the first half at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
I’m to the point that I need to see Cincinnati draft an offensive lineman in the first round. After losing D.J. Reader this offseason, I think the Bengals might prioritize the interior defensive line with this pick. Newton is an underrated prospect. He can be a force against the run and pass. I’m not confident that Newton will be taken in the top 20, but Cincinnati could really use him.
Washington State Cougars running back Nakia Watson (25) is brought down by UCLA Bruins defensive lineman Carl Jones Jr. (4) and defensive lineman Laiatu Latu (15) during the second half at Rose Bowl. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
19. Los Angeles Rams (10-7) — Edge Laiatu Latu, UCLA
The Rams have to address their defensive front in the draft. They already didn’t have much of a pass rush and Aaron Donald retired this offseason. I’m not convinced that Latu falls this far, but I think the Rams will take him with this pick if he’s still on the board. Latu (6’5”, 265 pounds) is more of a prototypical edge rusher. He also would likely be a top 10 pick if he didn’t have medical concerns.
Washington Huskies offensive lineman Troy Fautanu (55) against the Michigan Wolverines during the 2024 College Football Playoff national championship game at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
20. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7) — T Troy Fautanu, Washington
I think Pittsburgh has something in Broderick Jones, who was the organization’s first-round pick last year. The Steelers could still use more help along their offensive line, and it feels like that’s the position they’ll target with this pick. It’s unclear if Fautanu is a tackle or guard, but he’s versatile enough to play both positions. Either way, he’ll likely help Pittsburgh in some capacity.
Georgia Bulldogs offensive lineman Amarius Mims (65) against the TCU Horned Frogs during the CFP national championship game at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
21. Miami Dolphins (11-6) — T Amarius Mims, Georgia
Miami’s offensive line already wasn’t great and it took a hit this offseason after losing Robert Hunt, and Connor Williams is still a free agent. Plus, Terron Armstead has struggled to stay healthy and even flirted with retirement. The Dolphins have to beef up their offensive line. Mims can play left or right tackle and he could learn behind Armstead. This is a good spot for Mims.
Alabama Crimson Tide defensive back Terrion Arnold (3) defends against a pass intended for Texas A&M Aggies wide receiver Ainias Smith (0) during the fourth quarter at Kyle Field. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
22. Philadelphia Eagles (11-6) — CB Terrion Arnold, Alabama
Philadelphia has to get younger at the cornerback position. Darius Slay and James Bradberry are both well into their 30s. Plus, one of the reasons why the Eagles struggled so much defensively last year was because their secondary was porous. Arnold might have the best coverage skills of the cornerbacks in this draft class. GM Howie Roseman also likes to draft players from the SEC.
Florida State Seminoles defensive end Jared Verse (5) against the Syracuse Orange during the first half at Doak S. Campbell Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Melina Myers-USA TODAY Sports
23. Minnesota Vikings (from Cleveland via Houston) — Edge Jared Verse, Florida State
I genuinely have no idea what Minnesota will do if it keeps this pick, but it could afford to bolster its pass rush. Verse fills that need and he’s easily the best player still on the board. I think Verse is a very underrated prospect, and I’ll be surprised if he ends up falling this far. Having Verse, Jonathan Greenard, and Andrew Van Ginkel will give the Vikings plenty of depth coming off the edge.
Duke offensive lineman Graham Barton gets lined up before a play. Mandatory credit: Duke Athletics
24. Dallas Cowboys (12-5) — T Graham Barton, Duke
Dallas could go in several different directions with this pick. I keep going back to offensive line, which was already a need even before left tackle Tyron Smith signed with the Jets during free agency. The Cowboys need to add to the position. I think they could have their eyes on a player like Barton, who’s versatile enough to play tackle or guard. Dallas could really use him up front.
Iowa Hawkeyes defensive back Cooper DeJean (3) returns a punt against the Western Michigan Broncos during the second quarter at Kinnick Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports
25. Green Bay Packers (9-8) — CB Cooper DeJean, Iowa
I’m not sure there’s a player in this draft class that’s a better fit for Green Bay than DeJean. The Packers need help in the secondary and he’s versatile enough to play multiple positions. DeJean also checks Green Bay’s boxes when it comes to athleticism and physical traits, and he’s from the Midwest. I actually wouldn’t be surprised if GM Brian Gutekunst moves up to get DeJean.
Penn State defensive end Chop Robinson (44) celebrates after sacking Massachusetts quarterback Taisun Phommachanh in the first half of a NCAA football game Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in State College, Pa. Mandatory credit: Hanover Evening Sun
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) — Edge Chop Robinson, Penn State
I don’t know if Robinson will be who Tampa Bay selects with this pick. However, he tested so well that I’m pretty confident that he’ll be taken in the first round. I just don’t know where. Tampa Bay could use more pass rushers. The Buccaneers moved on from Shaquil Barrett this offseason, and Joe Tryon-Shoyinka hasn’t been the player they thought he’d be. This is a good landing spot for Robinson.
Clemson cornerback Nate Wiggins (2) returns an interception for a touchdown during the first quarter against Florida Atlantic at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ken Ruinard-USA TODAY NETWORK
If the board falls this way, I expect Arizona to draft the best player available. I think that’s Wiggins right now. He also fills a need for the Cardinals, who need a playmaker at cornerback. I have reservations about Wiggins because of his weight (173 pounds). However, Wiggins has excellent coverage skills and I think it’s likely that a team takes a chance on him in the first round.
LSU Tigers wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. (11) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against Army Black Knights defensive back Cameron Jones (10) during the first quarter at Tiger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Hinton-USA TODAY Sports
28. Buffalo Bills (11-6) — WR Brian Thomas Jr., LSU
I’ll be surprised if Buffalo doesn’t use this pick on a wide receiver. The Bills don’t have many playmakers at the position after moving on from Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis this offseason. Plus, Thomas is easily the best player still on the board. I doubt he’ll end up falling this far, but I’m not sure which team will draft him. Thomas would likely be the immediate No. 1 receiver in Buffalo’s offense.
Alabama Crimson Tide defensive back Kool-Aid McKinstry (1) celebrates after a missed field goal by LSU at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary Cosby Jr.-USA TODAY Sports
29. Detroit Lions (12-5) — CB Kool-Aid McKinstry, Alabama
Don’t be surprised if Detroit trades out of this pick. However, I don’t think the Lions will pass on a player like McKinstry. Detroit struggled to defend the pass last year. The Lions improved in that area after acquiring Carlton Davis, but there’s more work to be done. I don’t know if Detroit will consider McKinstry a fit, but he has incredible instincts and would pair well with Davis.
Texas Longhorns wide receiver Adonai Mitchell (5) catches a ball for a touchdown against Alabama at Bryant-Denny Stadium on Saturday, Sep. 9, 2023 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Mandatory Credit: Aaron E. Martinez-USA TODAY NETWORK
Baltimore is currently favored to pick an offensive lineman with its first pick, but I don’t know if it can pass on Mitchell. I feel strongly that he’ll be picked in the first round after the way he tested. The Ravens don’t have a perimeter wide receiver on their roster. With Mitchell on the outside, and Mark Andrews and Zay Flowers up the seam, Baltimore’s passing attack could open up.
Texas Longhorns wide receiver Xavier Worthy (1) carries the ball in the first half of the Longhorns’ game against the Iowa State Cyclones at Jack Trice Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sara Diggins-USA TODAY Sports
31. San Francisco 49ers (12-5) — WR Xavier Worthy, Texas
Since 2014, there have been five wide receivers, including Worthy, to run a sub-4.27 40-yard dash. Three of them were picked in the first round. Worthy broke the 40-yard dash record at the combine, so I feel strongly that he’ll be selected in the first round. I just don’t know where. If the rumors are true that San Francisco could trade Brandon Aiyuk, this becomes a possible spot for Worthy.
Oklahoma Sooners offensive lineman Tyler Guyton (60) at the line of scrimmage against the Kansas Jayhawks during the game at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
32. Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) — T Tyler Guyton, Oklahoma
The narrative being pushed is that Kansas City will target a wide receiver with this pick. I’ll believe it when I see it. The Chiefs must continue to keep Patrick Mahomes upright, and they have a glaring hole at left tackle that needs to be filled. Guyton is a bit of a project and will need some time to develop, but he’s worth the risk. Drafting him at this point is also pretty good value.
South Carolina Gamecocks wide receiver Xavier Legette (17) makes a reception against Vanderbilt Commodores cornerback Trudell Berry (30) in the first quarter at Williams-Brice Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Blake-USA TODAY Sports
Second round:
Pick
Player
33. Carolina Panthers (2-15)
WR Xavier Legette, South Carolina
34. New England Patriots
WR Ladd McConkey, Georgia
35. Arizona Cardinals
IOL Jackson Powers-Johnson, Oregon
36. Washington Commanders
T Jordan Morgan, Arizona
37. Los Angeles Chargers
WR Keon Coleman, Florida State
38. Tennessee Titans
WR Ja’Lynn Polk, Washington
39. Carolina Panthers (from New York Giants)
Edge Darius Robinson, Missouri
40. Washington Commanders (from Chicago)
Edge Marshawn Kneeland, Western Michigan
41. Green Bay Packers (from New York Jets)
T Kingsley Suamataia, BYU
42. Houston Texans (from Minnesota)
DL Braden Fiske, Florida State
43. Atlanta Falcons
CB Ennis Rakestraw Jr., Missouri
44. Las Vegas Raiders
T Patrick Paul, Houston
45. New Orleans Saints (from Denver)
DL Kris Jenkins, Michigan
46. Indianapolis Colts
CB Mike Sainristil, Michigan
47. New York Giants (from Seattle)
S Tyler Nubin, Minnesota
48. Jacksonville Jaguars
WR Troy Franklin, Oregon
49. Cincinnati Bengals
T Roger Rosengarten, Washington
50. Philadelphia Eagles (from New Orleans)
WR Ricky Pearsall, Florida
51. Pittsburgh Steelers
IOL Zach Frazier, West Virginia
52. Los Angeles Rams
QB Spencer Rattler, South Carolina
53. Philadelphia Eagles
T Kiran Amegadjie, Yale
54. Cleveland Browns (11-6)
DL Michael Hall Jr., Ohio State
55. Miami Dolphins
DL Ruke Orhorhoro, Clemson
56. Dallas Cowboys
LB Payton Wilson, NC State
57. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
CB TJ Tampa, Iowa State
58. Green Bay Packers
LB Edgerrin Cooper, Texas A&M
59. Houston Texans (10-7)
LB Junior Colson, Michigan
60. Buffalo Bills
CB Andru Phillips, Kentucky
61. Detroit Lions
Edge Adisa Isaac, Penn State
62. Baltimore Ravens
IOL Christian Haynes, UConn
63. San Francisco 49ers
IOL Cooper Beebe, Kansas State
64. Kansas City Chiefs
WR Roman Wilson, Michigan
Kansas State Wildcats tight end Ben Sinnott (34) runs with the ball against Missouri Tigers linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper (8) during the first half at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
Third round:
Pick
Player
65. Carolina Panthers
TE Ben Sinnott, Kansas State
66. Arizona Cardinals
DL T’Vondre Sweat, Texas
67. Washington Commanders
S Javon Bullard, Georgia
68. New England Patriots
T Blake Fisher, Notre Dame
69. Los Angeles Chargers
RB Blake Corum, Michigan
70. New York Giants
DL Brandon Dorlus, Oregon
71. Arizona Cardinals (from Tennessee)
IOL Sedrick Van Pran, Georgia
72. New York Jets
T Brandon Coleman, TCU
73. Detroit Lions (from Minnesota)
IOL Mason McCormick, South Dakota State
74. Atlanta Falcons
WR Johnny Wilson, Florida State
75. Chicago Bears
WR Jermaine Burton, Alabama
76. Denver Broncos
WR Malachi Corley, Western Kentucky
77. Las Vegas Raiders
CB Max Melton, Rutgers
78. Washington Commanders (from Seattle)
TE Ja’Tavion Sanders, Texas
79. Atlanta Falcons (from Jacksonville)
DL Leonard Taylor III, Miami
80. Cincinnati Bengals
CB Khyree Jackson, Oregon
81. Seattle Seahawks (from New Orleans via Denver)
S Jaden Hicks, Washington State
82. Indianapolis Colts
WR Devontez Walker, North Carolina
83. Los Angeles Rams
CB Kamari Lassiter, Georgia
84. Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Javon Baker, UCF
85. Cleveland Browns
LB Jeremiah Trotter Jr., Clemson
Miami Dolphins
Pick Forfeited
86. Houston Texans (from Philadelphia)
WR Jalen McMillan, Washington
87. Dallas Cowboys
RB Jonathan Brooks, Texas
88. Green Bay Packers
IOL Trevor Keegan, Michigan
89. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
IOL Christian Mahogany, Boston College
90. Arizona Cardinals (from Houston)
Edge Jonah Elliss, Utah
91. Green Bay Packers (from Buffalo)
S Cole Bishop, Utah
92. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (from Detroit)
RB Jaylen Wright, Tennessee
93. Baltimore Ravens
Edge Chris Braswell, Alabama
94. San Francisco 49ers
T Matt Goncalves, Pitt
95. Kansas City Chiefs
WR Malik Washington, Virginia
96. Jacksonville Jaguars (compensatory pick)
Edge Austin Booker, Kansas
97. Cincinnati Bengals (compensatory pick)
TE Cade Stover, Ohio State
98. Pittsburgh Steelers (compensatory pick; from Philadelphia)
CB Renardo Green, Florida State
99. Los Angeles Rams (Resolution JC-2A pick)
T Dominick Puni, Kansas
100. Washington Commanders (Resolution JC-2A pick; from San Francisco)
“Close your eyes and pretend it’s all a bad dream. That’s how I get by.”
— Captain Jack Sparrow, “Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End” (2007)
It feels like this offseason has flown by. Maybe it’s because I’ve had other adult duties or because it’s been a relatively uneventful offseason. Regardless, it’s hard to believe that we’re a little over three weeks removed from the start of the 2024 NFL Draft.
Just because it was a relatively uneventful offseason doesn’t mean that there weren’t any moves made. We saw plenty of player movement and we now have an understanding of which positions teams might be targeting in the draft. That’s why I like to publish a mock draft around this time, even though I think I’m a little late with it this year, but it could also just be the way the calendar fell.
I think the biggest storylines heading into this draft aren’t necessarily involving players or positions, but the uncertainty at the top of the draft board. With this being a very good quarterback draft class, I feel like you’ve seen more smokescreens the last few weeks than we’ve seen in recent years. Who knows what to believe? There are also so many questions still to be answered in regards to potential trades: Which team, if any, in the top three will trade back? What is Minnesota’s plan? Is Denver going to remain idle?
I genuinely don’t think we’ll get any answers to those questions before April 25. I think teams want to keep their cards close to their chest, which makes this draft more unpredictable than we’re used to seeing. It’s hard to tell what the board will look like until we get some answers, which is maddening for someone like me who enjoys doing mock drafts. I gave it my best shot, though.
First round:
Southern California Trojans quarterback Caleb Williams (13) throws the ball against the Utah Utes in the second half at United Airlines Field at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
1. Chicago Bears (from Carolina) — QB Caleb Williams, USC
Chicago might’ve entertained trade offers for this pick earlier this offseason, but I doubt that’s the case now. The Bears are likely to draft Williams, especially after they traded Justin Fields. Chicago needs to hit the reset button at quarterback, so picking Williams makes too much sense. He’s arguably the best quarterback prospect to come through the draft in years.
LSU Tigers quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) looks to pass the ball during the game against the Florida State Seminoles at Camping World Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Melina Myers-USA TODAY Sports
2. Washington Commanders (4-13) — QB Jayden Daniels, LSU
I wouldn’t rule out Washington trading back if it can’t get Williams, but I doubt that happens. The Commanders traded away Sam Howell, which means their quarterback room is down to Marcus Mariota and Jake Fromm. Washington must add to that position in the draft. Daniels has emerged as the second-best quarterback prospect in this draft class. I think he could start right away.
North Carolina Tar Heels quarterback Drake Maye (10) looks to pass in the first quarter at Kenan Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports
3. New England Patriots (4-13) — QB Drake Maye, North Carolina
Of the teams with a top three pick, I think New England is the most likely to trade back. I don’t know if the Patriots are that high on these quarterbacks and they might choose to round out their roster. However, New England can’t go into this season without a long-term answer at quarterback. The Patriots have to look to the future at the position and Maye is the best option on the board.
Ohio State Buckeyes wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. (18) scores a touchdown against the Penn State Nittany Lions during the fourth quarter at Ohio Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports
4. Arizona Cardinals (4-13) — WR Marvin Harrison Jr., Ohio State
Don’t rule out Arizona trading out of this pick. I doubt the Cardinals want to draft a wide receiver this high. They’d probably prefer to acquire more picks instead. If Arizona can’t get the value it wants, though, it’s likely picking Harrison. Many draft analysts consider him to be the best prospect in this draft class. Harrison would make an immediate impact with the Cardinals.
LSU Tigers wide receiver Malik Nabers (8) hauls in a 46 yard pass for a touchdown against the Alabama Crimson Tide during the first quarter at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
5. Los Angeles Chargers (5-12) — WR Malik Nabers, LSU
I still expect the Chargers to trade out of this pick. If they don’t, I think they’ll use it on a wide receiver. The Chargers overhauled the position by moving on from Mike Williams and Keenan Allen. They really need add a playmaker for Justin Herbert. I don’t know if they can trust Quentin Johnston to step up. Nabers not only fills that need, but he’s arguably the best player on the board.
Washington Huskies wide receiver Rome Odunze (1) signals for a first down after catching a pass against the Stanford Cardinal during the first quarter at Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
6. New York Giants (6-11) — WR Rome Odunze, Washington
I actually think the Giants could draft a quarterback with this pick. I think the organization wants to move on from Daniel Jones. If the Giants don’t pull the trigger on a quarterback, which I don’t expect to happen right now, I think they’ll target a pass catcher. Drafting Odunze makes too much sense. The Giants could use someone of his size (6-foot-3, 212 pounds) on the perimeter.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish offensive lineman Joe Alt (76) blocks Stanford Cardinal linebacker Jordan Fox (10) during the fourth quarter at Stanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports
7. Tennessee Titans (6-11) — T Joe Alt, Notre Dame
After signing Calvin Ridley, I think that rules out Tennessee using this pick on a pass catcher. You just don’t use a top 10 pick on a fourth wide receiver. I expect the Titans to beef up their offensive line, which has been a problem the last few years, by picking Alt. He’s a highly regarded prospect and could start right away at left tackle for Tennessee. He’ll help keep Will Levis upright.
Texas Longhorns tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders (0) is tackled by Alabama linebacker Dallas Turner (15) during the game at Bryant-Denny Stadium on Saturday, Sep. 9, 2023 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Mandatory Credit: Aaron E. Martinez-USA TODAY NETWORK
8. Atlanta Falcons (7-10) — Edge Dallas Turner, Alabama
Atlanta might end up being the only team in the top 10 to target a defensive player. The Falcons need to bolster their pass rush, which has struggled getting pressure on opposing quarterbacks for years. I think Atlanta will value Turner more than the other edge rushers in this draft class because of his combination of twitch and speed. He’ll make an impact in the Falcons’ defense.
LSU Tigers wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. (11) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against Army Black Knights defensive back Cameron Jones (10) during the first quarter at Tiger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Hinton-USA TODAY Sports
9. Chicago Bears (7-10) — WR Brian Thomas Jr., LSU
This might be considered a bit of a reach, but I think Chicago would pull the trigger on a player like Thomas. The Bears just lost Darnell Mooney, who was their best deep threat, this offseason. Thomas was one of the fastest players at the combine and could replace Mooney very well as the vertical playmaker in Chicago’s offense. He’d also make a nice complement to Allen and D.J. Moore.
Georgia Bulldogs tight end Brock Bowers (19) carries a touchdown reception against the Auburn Tigers during the fourth quarter at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
10. New York Jets (7-10) — TE Brock Bowers, Georgia
The Jets have done a great job patching up their offensive line this offseason after signing Tyron Smith and Morgan Moses. I doubt the Jets are done up front, but they can draft best player available with this pick. Bowers isn’t only the best player still on the board, but he fills a need. The Jets lack a tight end that can stretch opposing defenses, so Bowers would be a great addition.
Michigan Wolverines quarterback J.J. McCarthy (9) throws against the Bowling Green Falcons in the first half at Michigan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
With Kirk Cousins gone, Minnesota has no choice but to draft a quarterback in the first round. Sam Darnold isn’t the long-term option. With the way the Vikings have operated recently, I think they’re planning to trade up to get their guy. All reports indicate that Minnesota is very high on McCarthy. He’s more of a project than a prospect, but he has the traits to be successful in the NFL.
Oregon Ducks quarterback Bo Nix (10) looks to throw during the first half against the Colorado Buffaloes at Autzen Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports
12. Denver Broncos (8-9) — QB Bo Nix, Oregon
Like Minnesota, Denver pretty much has to draft a quarterback in the first round. The Broncos can’t go into the season with Jarrett Stidham and Ben DiNucci as the only options in their quarterback room. I wouldn’t rule out the possibility of Denver trading up, but I think Nix is a great fit with this team. He’s a very accurate passer, which will work well Sean Payton’s offense.
Oregon State Beavers offensive lineman Taliese Fuaga (75) blocks Stanford Cardinal linebacker Levani Damuni (3) during the first quarter at Stanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports
13. Las Vegas Raiders (8-9) — T Taliese Fuaga, Oregon State
Las Vegas could go in a variety of different directions with this pick, but I think it’ll address the offensive line. The Raiders don’t have many difference makers up front besides left tackle Kolton Miller, and there’s a big hole on the right side of their offensive line. I think Fuaga would be a great addition for Las Vegas. He could make an immediate impact at either right tackle or right guard.
Ohio State Buckeyes defensive end JT Tuimoloau (44) goes up against Penn State Nittany Lions offensive lineman Olumuyiwa Fashanu (74) during the third quarter of their game at Ohio Stadium. Mandatory credit: The Columbus Dispatch
14. New Orleans Saints (9-8) — T Olumuyiwa Fashanu, Penn State
New Orleans is more likely to address immediate needs instead of looking to the future at certain positions (i.e. quarterback). The biggest need for the Saints is likely addressing the offensive line, specifically the tackle position. I don’t think New Orleans can go into this season with Trevor Penning as its starting left tackle. That’s why drafting Fashanu makes the most sense for the Saints.
Toledo Rockets cornerback Quinyon Mitchell (27) breaks up a pass intended for Miami (OH) Redhawks wide receiver Gage Larvadain (10) in the third quarter at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports
15. Indianapolis Colts (9-8) — CB Quinyon Mitchell, Toledo
After signing Michael Pittman Jr. to an extension, and with Bowers off the board, I think Indianapolis will add to its secondary with this pick. The Colts haven’t had a great cornerback since Vontae Davis. Mitchell’s stock has skyrocketed after the way he performed at the Senior Bowl and combine. Mitchell would make an immediate impact in Indianapolis.
Washington Huskies offensive lineman Troy Fautanu (55) against the Michigan Wolverines during the 2024 College Football Playoff national championship game at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
16. Seattle Seahawks (9-8) — T Troy Fautanu, Washington
Seattle still has work to do on its offensive line, specifically in the interior. The Seahawks have only five interior offensive linemen currently on their roster, and they have a combined 16 starts between them. They have to improve that area before the season starts. Fautanu is athletic enough to be a tackle in the NFL, but he could also slide inside and make an immediate impact at guard.
Alabama Crimson Tide defensive back Terrion Arnold (3) defends against a pass intended for Texas A&M Aggies wide receiver Ainias Smith (0) during the fourth quarter at Kyle Field. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
After franchise tagging Josh Allen and signing Arik Armstead, Jacksonville now seems to be prioritizing its secondary early in the draft. The Jaguars struggled against the pass and could use a cornerback opposite of Tyson Campbell. Arnold has the skillset to develop into the best cornerback out of this draft class. I think he’d make a great addition to Jacksonville’s secondary.
Alabama Crimson Tide offensive lineman J.C. Latham (65) blocks against the Miami Hurricanes at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
18. Cincinnati Bengals (9-8) — T JC Latham, Alabama
Cincinnati has struggled to keep Joe Burrow upright since he entered the league. It feels like it’s time for the Bengals to use an early draft pick on an offensive lineman, especially after losing right tackle Jonah Williams during free agency. I think Cincinnati would be a great fit for Latham, who played right tackle in college. He could make an immediate impact in the Bengals’ offense.
Washington State Cougars running back Nakia Watson (25) is brought down by UCLA Bruins defensive lineman Carl Jones Jr. (4) and defensive lineman Laiatu Latu (15) during the second half at Rose Bowl. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
19. Los Angeles Rams (10-7) — Edge Laiatu Latu, UCLA
After Aaron Donald’s retirement, I expect the Rams to bolster their defensive front. They already needed to improve their pass rush even before Donald’s retirement, which now only prioritizes that need. If not for his injury history, Latu might be considered the top edge rusher in this draft class. He has a deep set of pass rush moves that should help him make an impact at the next level.
Oregon Ducks offensive lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson (58) against the Arizona State Sun Devils at Mountain America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
20. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7) — IOL Jackson Powers-Johnson, Oregon
Pittsburgh must improve its offensive line, which has been one of the worst in the NFL for the last few seasons. The Steelers drafted a long-term tackle in Broderick Jones last year, so it couldn’t hurt for them to prioritize the interior. Pittsburgh hasn’t had a great center since Maurkice Pouncey. Powers-Johnson could be a long-term center and help pave the way for the Steelers’ run game.
Georgia Bulldogs offensive lineman Amarius Mims (65) against the TCU Horned Frogs during the CFP national championship game at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
21. Miami Dolphins (11-6) — T Amarius Mims, Georgia
Miami dodged a bullet with Terron Armstead electing to return this year. That shouldn’t prevent the Dolphins from looking ahead at the left tackle position, though. Armstead hasn’t exactly been reliable the last few years. Mims might need a “redshirt year” to transition to the NFL, but he’s capable of being a long-term left tackle. I doubt Miami can afford to pass on a player like Mims.
Clemson cornerback Nate Wiggins (2) returns an interception for a touchdown during the first quarter against Florida Atlantic at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ken Ruinard-USA TODAY NETWORK
22. Philadelphia Eagles (11-6) — CB Nate Wiggins, Clemson
Philadelphia’s defensive issues last year mostly came against the pass. Darius Slay and James Bradberry will be a combined 64 years old this season, and no one knows what the Eagles have in Josh Jobe, Eli Ricks, or Kelee Ringo. That’s why I think Philadelphia needs to use a premium pick on a cornerback. Wiggins is undersized (173 pounds), but that hasn’t stopped Howie Roseman in the past.
Florida State Seminoles defensive end Jared Verse (5) against the Syracuse Orange during the first half at Doak S. Campbell Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Melina Myers-USA TODAY Sports
23. Minnesota Vikings (from Cleveland via Houston) — Edge Jared Verse, Florida State
If Minnesota keeps this pick, and the board falls this way, I don’t know if it can pass on Verse. He’s considered one of the top edge rushers in this draft class. I don’t think the Vikings should be done at the position just because they acquired Jonathan Greenard and Andrew Van Ginkel this offseason. Adding Verse would give Minnesota a great pass rush.
Oklahoma Sooners offensive lineman Tyler Guyton (60) at the line of scrimmage against the Kansas Jayhawks during the game at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
24. Dallas Cowboys (12-5) — T Tyler Guyton, Oklahoma
Offensive tackle was a need for Dallas even before it lost Smith this offseason. Finding his replacement becomes the top priority for the Cowboys. Their offensive line doesn’t look great right now. They’ll have a chance to get a good tackle with this pick, too. Like Mims, it might take Guyton some time to adjust to the NFL, but he has the traits to be a long-term left tackle.
Duke offensive lineman Graham Barton gets lined up before a play. Mandatory credit: Duke Athletics
25. Green Bay Packers (9-8) — T Graham Barton, Duke
The closer we get to the draft, the more I think Green Bay will target an offensive lineman with this pick. The Packers might have two solid tackles in Rasheed Walker and Zach Tom, but they need depth at the position after moving on from David Bakhtiari. Barton feels like Green Bay’s type of player. Barton fits the size and athletic thresholds that the Packers value.
Penn State defensive end Chop Robinson (44) celebrates after sacking Massachusetts quarterback Taisun Phommachanh in the first half of a NCAA football game Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in State College, Pa. Mandatory credit: Hanover Evening Sun
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) — Edge Chop Robinson, Penn State
Tampa Bay’s pass rush has declined since 2020, and it got worse after moving on from Shaquil Barrett. Yaya Diaby showed promise as a rookie, but Joe Tryon-Shoyinka hasn’t been the player that the Buccaneers thought they were getting. Tampa Bay could use Robinson. I still think he’ll be a first-round pick after the way Robinson performed at the combine.
Texas Longhorns defensive lineman Byron Murphy II (90) celebrates after a sack against TCU Horned Frogs quarterback Josh Hoover (10) in the second quarter of an NCAA college football game at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ricardo B. Brazziell-USA TODAY Sports
Arizona’s defensive front leaves a lot to be desired, particularly in the interior. The Cardinals don’t have a difference maker, even after signing Justin Jones this offseason. If Murphy is still on the board, I think Arizona would pick him and rush the card in to commissioner Roger Goodell. Murphy is a great fit for the Cardinals’ defense and would likely make an immediate impact.
Texas Longhorns wide receiver Xavier Worthy (1) carries the ball in the first half of the Longhorns’ game against the Iowa State Cyclones at Jack Trice Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sara Diggins-USA TODAY Sports
You can’t teach speed. That’s I’m expecting Worthy to be a first-round pick after breaking the 40-yard dash record at the combine. I think the most likely team to draft him is Buffalo, which needs to revamp its wide receiver room after losing Gabe Davis and the drama surrounding Stefan Diggs. Worthy is a vertical playmaker that would complement Josh Allen’s arm strength very well.
Iowa Hawkeyes defensive back Cooper DeJean (3) returns a punt against the Western Michigan Broncos during the second quarter at Kinnick Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports
29. Detroit Lions (12-5) — CB Cooper DeJean, Iowa
Detroit has done a great job revamping its secondary this offseason after acquiring Carlton Davis and Amik Robertson. There’s still work to do, though. That’s why drafting DeJean makes sense for the Lions. He’s a versatile defensive back that can play either cornerback or safety, and could likely contribute right away. Figure out which position DeJean will play at a later date.
Texas Longhorns wide receiver Adonai Mitchell (5) catches a ball for a touchdown against Alabama at Bryant-Denny Stadium on Saturday, Sep. 9, 2023 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Mandatory Credit: Aaron E. Martinez-USA TODAY NETWORK
After releasing Odell Beckham Jr., Baltimore needs to add another pass catcher to its offense. Nelson Agholor and Rashod Bateman aren’t difference makers. That leaves only Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews. That’s not enough. Mitchell would be a great addition to Baltimore’s offense. Having his size (6-foot-2, 205 pounds) on the perimeter would be beneficial to the Ravens’ passing attack.
Illinois Fighting Illini defensive tackle Jer’Zhan Newton (4) tackles Wisconsin Badgers running back Braelon Allen (0) during the first half at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
31. San Francisco 49ers (12-5) — DL Jer’Zhan Newton, Illinois
San Francisco’s defensive front isn’t as menacing as it used to be. That’s especially true now that the 49ers have moved on from Armstead. They could use help in the interior of their defensive front, which is why Newton would be a great addition. He’s arguably the most complete prospect at the position in this draft class. Newton will make an impact against both the run and pass.
Arizona Wildcats offensive lineman Jordan Morgan (77) against the Arizona State Sun Devils during the Territorial Cup at Mountain America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
32. Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) — T Jordan Morgan, Arizona
Contrary to the pundits, I doubt Kansas City uses this pick on a pass catcher. The Chiefs haven’t used a first-round pick on one since Andy Reid got there in 2013. Instead, I think Kansas City will try to find a left tackle of the future. Morgan might end up at guard one day, but he’s athletic enough to start his career at tackle. Keeping Patrick Mahomes upright should be the top priority.
Georgia Bulldogs wide receiver Ladd McConkey (84) runs against Missouri Tigers defensive back Tre’Vez Johnson (4) after a catch during the second half at Sanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Second round:
Pick
Player
33. Carolina Panthers (2-15)
WR Ladd McConkey, Georgia
34. New England Patriots
IOL Zach Frazier, West Virginia
35. Arizona Cardinals
CB Kool-Aid McKinstry, Alabama
36. Washington Commanders
Edge Darius Robinson, Missouri
37. Los Angeles Chargers
CB TJ Tampa, Iowa State
38. Tennessee Titans
Edge Marshawn Kneeland, Western Michigan
39. Carolina Panthers (from New York Giants)
WR Troy Franklin, Oregon
40. Washington Commanders (from Chicago)
T Patrick Paul, Houston
41. Green Bay Packers (from New York Jets)
LB Edgerrin Cooper, Texas A&M
42. Houston Texans (from Minnesota)
DL Braden Fiske, Florida State
43. Atlanta Falcons
CB Ennis Rakestraw Jr., Missouri
44. Las Vegas Raiders
QB Michael Penix Jr., Washington
45. New Orleans Saints (from Denver)
CB Kamari Lassiter, Georgia
46. Indianapolis Colts
DL T’Vondre Sweat, Texas
47. New York Giants (from Seattle)
S Tyler Nubin, Minnesota
48. Jacksonville Jaguars
WR Ricky Pearsall, Florida
49. Cincinnati Bengals
TE Ja’Tavion Sanders, Texas
50. Philadelphia Eagles (from New Orleans)
T Kingsley Suamataia, BYU
51. Pittsburgh Steelers
CB Mike Sainristil, Michigan
52. Los Angeles Rams
DL Kris Jenkins, Michigan
53. Philadelphia Eagles
WR Keon Coleman, Florida State
54. Cleveland Browns (11-6)
LB Payton Wilson, NC State
55. Miami Dolphins
IOL Christian Haynes, UConn
56. Dallas Cowboys
RB Jonathan Brooks, Texas
57. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
IOL Cooper Beebe, Kansas State
58. Green Bay Packers
S Jaden Hicks, Washington State
59. Houston Texans (10-7)
T Dominick Puni, Kansas
60. Buffalo Bills
S Javon Bullard, Georgia
61. Detroit Lions
WR Roman Wilson, Michigan
62. Baltimore Ravens
LB Junior Colson, Michigan
63. San Francisco 49ers
T Blake Fisher, Notre Dame
64. Kansas City Chiefs
WR Xavier Legette, South Carolina
Alabama Crimson Tide linebacker Chris Braswell (41) pressures Mississippi Rebels quarterback Jaxson Dart (2) during the first half at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary Cosby Jr.-USA TODAY Sports
Third round:
Pick
Player
65. Carolina Panthers
Edge Chris Braswell, Alabama
66. Arizona Cardinals
Edge Jonah Elliss, Utah
67. Washington Commanders
Edge Bralen Trice, Washington
68. New England Patriots
WR Devontez Walker, North Carolina
69. Los Angeles Chargers
DL Michael Hall, Ohio State
70. New York Giants
RB Trey Benson, Florida State
71. Arizona Cardinals (from Tennessee)
LB Jeremiah Trotter Jr., Clemson
72. New York Jets
T Kiran Amegadjie, Yale
73. Detroit Lions (from Minnesota)
IOL Zak Zinter, Michigan
74. Atlanta Falcons
Edge Adisa Isaac, Penn State
75. Chicago Bears
Edge Mo Kamara, Colorado State
76. Denver Broncos
DL Ruke Orhorhoro, Clemson
77. Las Vegas Raiders
CB Max Melton, Rutgers
78. Washington Commanders (from Seattle)
WR Malachi Corley, Western Kentucky
79. Atlanta Falcons (from Jacksonville)
WR Jermaine Burton, Alabama
80. Cincinnati Bengals
DL Maason Smith, LSU
81. Seattle Seahawks (from New Orleans via Denver)
Edge Brandon Dorlus, Oregon
82. Indianapolis Colts
TE Cade Stover, Ohio State
83. Los Angeles Rams
CB Kris Abrams Draine, Missouri
84. Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Javon Baker, UCF
85. Cleveland Browns
WR Jamari Thrash, Louisville
Miami Dolphins
Pick Forfeited
86. Houston Texans (from Philadelphia)
CB DJ James, Auburn
87. Dallas Cowboys
DL DeWayne Carter, Duke
88. Green Bay Packers
CB Cam Hart, Notre Dame
89. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
RB Jaylen Wright, Tennessee
90. Arizona Cardinals (from Houston)
WR Ja’Lynn Polk, Washington
91. Green Bay Packers (from Buffalo)
CB Jarrian Jones, Florida State
92. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (from Detroit)
S Kamren Kinchens, Miami
93. Baltimore Ravens
CB Kamal Hadden, Tennessee
94. San Francisco 49ers
CB Andru Phillips, Kentucky
95. Kansas City Chiefs
CB Khyree Jackson, Oregon
96. Jacksonville Jaguars (compensatory pick)
Edge Austin Booker, Kansas
97. Cincinnati Bengals (compensatory pick)
CB Caelen Carson, Wake Forest
98. Pittsburgh Steelers (compensatory pick; from Philadelphia)
T Roger Rosengarten, Washington
99. Los Angeles Rams (Resolution JC-2A pick)
QB Spencer Rattler, South Carolina
100. Washington Commanders (Resolution JC-2A pick; from San Francisco)
“Don’t you dare badmouth ‘Star Wars!’ That was all accurate!”
— Terry Hoitz, “The Other Guys” (2010)
Power rankings
Biggest riser: Kansas City (+9) Biggest faller: Dallas (-5)
Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid celebrates with the Vince Lombardi Trophy after defeating the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl LVIII at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
1. Kansas City Chiefs (15-6) Postseason result: W, 25-22 vs. San Francisco in Super Bowl LVIII (OT) Previous: 10 (+9)
We’re officially in the middle of the NFL’s next dynasty. Kansas City has now won three Super Bowls in the last five seasons. There’s a great chance that the Chiefs can be the first team to win three-straight Super Bowls.
San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (23) scores a touchdown in the first half of Super Bowl LVIII at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
2. San Francisco 49ers (14-6) Postseason result: L, 22-25 vs. Kansas City in Super Bowl LVIII (OT) Previous: 2
The Super Bowl window is beginning to close in San Francisco. The 49ers have an aging roster and will be cap strapped this year. It’s fair to argue that this was San Francisco’s best chance to win it all with its current core.
Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh (center) questions a call against the Kansas City Chiefs during the second half in the AFC Championship football game at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
3. Baltimore Ravens (14-5) Postseason result: L, 10-17 vs. Kansas City in AFC Championship Previous: 1 (-2)
I still think that Baltimore was the best team in the AFC, maybe even the entire league. I don’t understand why the Ravens didn’t run the ball more against Kansas City. Not having Mike Macdonald will hurt their defense in 2024.
Detroit Lions head coach Dan Campbell high fives center Frank Ragnow (77) after a play against the San Francisco 49ers during the first half of the NFC Championship football game at Levi’s Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
4. Detroit Lions (14-6) Postseason result: L, 31-34 at San Francisco in NFC Championship Previous: 5 (+1)
Detroit has a realistic opportunity to be the top team in the NFC in 2024. The Lions were one half away from playing in their first Super Bowl. Plus, keeping Ben Johnson around for at least one more year was huge for this team.
Buffalo Bills tight end Tre’ McKitty (88) reacts with quarterback Josh Allen (17) down after a touchdown during the first half for the 2024 AFC divisional round game at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
5. Buffalo Bills (12-7) Postseason result: L, 24-27 vs. Kansas City in Divisional Round Previous: 3 (-2)
Another loss to Kansas City in the postseason is deflating for Buffalo. The Bills will be in the mix to win the Super Bowl as long as they have Josh Allen. This team must get younger on the defensive side of the ball, though.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Rachaad White (1) celebrates with wide receiver Deven Thompkins (83) after scoring a touchdown against Detroit Lions linebacker Alex Anzalone (34) during the second half in a 2024 NFC divisional round game at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-9) Postseason result: L, 23-31 at Detroit in Divisional Round Previous: 12 (+6)
I’m not sure if Tampa Bay can retain its success from this past season. The Buccaneers have several key players about to be free agents, including Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans. This team could look much differently in 2024.
Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones (33) celebrates with wide receiver Christian Watson (9) and tight end Tucker Kraft (85) after a two point conversion against the San Francisco 49ers during the third quarter in a 2024 NFC divisional round game at Levi’s Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
7. Green Bay Packers (10-9) Postseason result: L, 21-24 at San Francisco in Divisional Round Previous: 6 (-1)
There aren’t many teams with a better five-year outlook than Green Bay. The Packers made it to the Divisional Round despite having the youngest roster in the NFL. We’ll see if Jeff Hafley can patch things up defensively.
Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) drops back to pass against the Baltimore Ravens in the first half of a 2024 AFC divisional round game at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports
8. Houston Texans (11-8) Postseason result: L, 10-34 at Baltimore in Divisional Round Previous: 11 (+3)
Like Green Bay, Houston has an incredibly bright future. C.J. Stroud already looks like the best quarterback in the AFC South division. The Texans probably need one more good offseason to be a true contender.
Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) drops back to pass against the Green Bay Packers in the first half of the 2024 NFC wild card game at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
9. Dallas Cowboys (12-6) Postseason result: L, 32-48 vs. Green Bay on Super Wild Card Weekend Previous: 4 (-5)
I went into the postseason thinking Dallas was one of the top team in the NFC. My opinion has now changed after the Cowboys were soundly defeated by Green Bay. I think this team has reached its ceiling with its current core.
Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Puka Nacua (17) celebrates with wide receiver Cooper Kupp (10) after a touchdown during the first half of a 2024 NFC wild card game against the Detroit Lions at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports
10. Los Angeles Rams (10-8) Postseason result: L, 23-24 at Detroit on Super Wild Card Weekend Previous: 7 (-3)
While I think the Rams overperformed in 2023, they should always be in the mix as long as they have Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay. The Rams have a lot of work to do, though, when it comes to bolstering their roster.
Cleveland Browns running back Kareem Hunt (27) celebrates touch down during the first quarter in a 2024 AFC wild card game at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
11. Cleveland Browns (11-7) Postseason result: L, 14-45 at Houston on Super Wild Card Weekend Previous: 8 (-3)
It’s great that Cleveland made the playoffs, but I think the clock is ticking on Deshaun Watson. He either has to stay healthy or play at a high level next year for me to think the Browns are trending in the right direction.
Philadelphia Eagles head coach Nick Sirianni reacts on the sideline during the second half of a 2024 NFC wild card game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports
12. Philadelphia Eagles (11-7) Postseason result: L, 9-32 at Tampa Bay on Super Wild Card Weekend Previous: 9 (-3)
This past season was a disaster, but I’m not ready to give up on Philadelphia. I still think the Eagles are closer to the team we saw in 2022. They also hired two great coordinators to try to fix things on both sides of the ball.
Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) moves out to pass against the Kansas City Chiefs during the second half of the 2024 AFC wild card game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
13. Miami Dolphins (11-7) Postseason result: L, 7-26 at Kansas City on Super Wild Card Weekend Previous: 13
Miami is another team that I think has reached its ceiling with its current core. This was likely this team’s best chance to make a run in the AFC. The Dolphins now have several key players about to be free agents.
Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Calvin Austin III (19) celebrates a touchdown in the second half against the Buffalo Bills in a 2024 AFC wild card game at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports
14. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-8) Postseason result: L, 17-31 at Buffalo on Super Wild Card Weekend Previous: 14
I have a difficult time seeing Pittsburgh being better than what it’s been since Ben Roethlisberger retired. The quarterback position is holding the Steelers back. It feels like 2024 could be Mike Tomlin’s last year, too.
Cincinnati Bengals running back Joe Mixon (28) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Houston Texans in the second half at Paycor Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports
15. Cincinnati Bengals (9-8) Previous: 15
Cincinnati should bounce back with a healthy Joe Burrow. However, I expect there to be cap casualties on this team now that Burrow has received a long-term contract. We’ll see how the Bengals handle the offseason.
Baltimore Ravens defensive coordinator Mike Macdonald reacts on the sidelines against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the second quarter at Acrisure Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
16. Seattle Seahawks (9-8) Previous: 16
I wouldn’t rule out Seattle being in the market for a quarterback in the draft. Geno Smith isn’t a long-term solution. I don’t know what the Seahawks plan to do after hiring another defensive-minded head coach, though.
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) calls a play at the line against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the first quarter at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports
17. Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8) Previous: 17
Jacksonville has some serious question marks entering this offseason. The Jaguars played uninspired football the last few weeks of the regular season. I’m no longer convinced this team is heading in the right direction.
New Orleans Saints quarterback Derek Carr (4) reacts to quarterback Taysom Hill (7) making a touchdown against the Chicago Bears during the first half at the Caesars Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports
18. New Orleans Saints (9-8) Previous: 18
New Orleans has been incapable of looking to the future since Drew Brees retired. The Saints still think that they’re in a Super Bowl window when they’re not. I expect more of the same with this team as we head into the offseason.
Indianapolis Colts head coach Shane Steichen walks the sideline during a game against the Houston Texans at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jenna Watson-USA TODAY Sports
19. Indianapolis Colts (9-8) Previous: 19
Indianapolis showed a lot promise this past season. Shane Steichen did an admirable job leading the Colts with a backup quarterback. I look forward to seeing what this team can do with a healthy Anthony Richardson.
Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Fields (1) rushes the ball against the Detroit Lions during the first half at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Mike Dinovo-USA TODAY Sports
20. Chicago Bears (7-10) Previous: 20
This is probably the most important offseason in Chicago’s history. I’m not sure the Bears are off to a great start by retaining Matt Eberflus. I don’t think he’s a bad head coach, but there were much better candidates on the market.
Las Vegas Raiders coach Antionio Pierce (left) talks with defensive end Maxx Crosby (98) n the first half against the Minnesota Vikings at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
21. Las Vegas Raiders (8-9) Previous: 21
It feels like Las Vegas was pressured into hiring Antonio Pierce as its next head coach. I still think the Raiders are a ways from being competitive, so we’ll see if Pierce and this new front office can turn things around quickly.
New York Giants head coach Brian Daboll signals against the San Francisco 49ers during the second quarter at Levi’s Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
22. New York Giants (6-11) Previous: 22
I think the Giants are closer to the team we saw in 2023 as opposed to the team we saw in 2022. I also don’t like the reports regarding Brian Daboll, too. I could be wrong about this team once Daniel Jones gets healthy.
Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray (1) signals to his team against the Chicago Bears during the first half at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports
23. Arizona Cardinals (4-13) Previous: 23
This team actually isn’t far from being competitive. Arizona hung tough with several teams in 2023 despite having a subpar roster. The Cardinals have plenty of draft capital, and should have a healthy Kyler Murray.
Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton watches play against the Kansas City Chiefs during the first half at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
24. Denver Broncos (8-9) Previous: 24
All the talk the last few weeks has been that Sean Payton and Denver want to move on from Russell Wilson. I’ll believe it when I see it. Doing that would set back the Broncos a ways, both competitively and financially.
Minnesota Vikings linebacker D.J. Wonnum (98) celebrates with linebacker Danielle Hunter (99) after a sack in the third quarter at Bank of America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports
25. Minnesota Vikings (7-10) Previous: 25
Whether or not Minnesota is competitive in 2024 comes down to if the team re-signs Kirk Cousins. I’m not convinced if that’ll happen or not. It sure feels like the Vikings want to move on. These next few weeks will be interesting.
Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton (14) talks with offensive coordinator Brian Callahan during training camp practice in 2019. Mandatory credit: Kareem Elgazzar/Imagn Content Services, LLC
26. Tennessee Titans (6-11) Previous: 26
By moving on from Mike Vrabel, it’s clear that Tennessee is entering a rebuild. That means that Ryan Tannehill and Derrick Henry have likely played their last game with the Titans. I doubt this team is competitive in 2024.
USA: Los Angeles Rams defensive coordinator Raheem Morris reacts during training camp at Cal Lutheran University. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
27. Atlanta Falcons (7-10) Previous: 27
Atlanta’s front office is under the impression that it’s a good quarterback away from being competitive. That might be true when it comes to their division, but I think the Falcons are way behind the top teams in the NFC.
Los Angeles Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh speaks at an introductory press conference at YouTube Theater at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
28. Los Angeles Chargers (5-12) Previous: 28
The Chargers made the biggest splash of the offseason by hiring Jim Harbaugh. He’ll bring some much needed toughness to this team. With Harbaugh and a healthy Justin Herbert, I think the Chargers are legitimate contenders.
New York Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers (8) throws a pass against the New York Giants during the first half at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ed Mulholland-USA TODAY Sports
29. New York Jets (7-10) Previous: 29
The Jets are more dysfunctional than usual. A recent article didn’t put Aaron Rodgers, Robert Saleh, or the front office in good light. I just don’t see this team being competitive next year even if they have a healthy Rodgers.
New England Patriots linebackers coach Jerod Mayo against the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
30. New England Patriots (4-13) Previous: 30
I still don’t understand why New England moved on from Bill Belichick only to promote one of his assistants. The Patriots are likely a ways off from being competitive. The good news is that they have a top three pick in the draft.
Dallas Cowboys defensive coordinator Dan Quinn at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
31. Washington Commanders (4-13) Previous: 31
Josh Harris, Washington’s new owner, has done a great job this offseason. Adam Peters might’ve been the best GM hire and I don’t dislike hiring Dan Quinn as head coach. This team is trending in the right direction.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive coordinator Dave Canales during training camp at AdventHealth Training Center. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
32. Carolina Panthers (2-15) Previous: 32
Carolina is a mess. The Panthers don’t have much draft capital after trading for Bryce Young, who was terrible as a rookie. I don’t know where this team goes from here, and I doubt Dave Canales can turn things around.
“I’ve been poor my whole life, like a disease passing from generation to generation. But not my boys, not anymore.”
— Toby Howard, “Hell or High Water” (2016)
With Super Bowl LVIII being played last night, and the 2023 season now in the rearview mirror, it’s time to look ahead to the 2024 season. Every team is focused on the offseason, specifically the NFL draft. This will be the first of three three-round mock drafts that I’ll publish on this blog until the end of April. My readers should know that this has become an annual thing.
This is probably the best draft class since 2020. It’s loaded with offensive talent at the top of the board, especially at the quarterback, wide receiver, and offensive tackle positions. There will be plenty of good offensive players selected in the first two or three rounds. That doesn’t mean that there aren’t good defensive players, either. There will be a run of edge rushers and cornerbacks heading into Day 2. I’m excited about this draft class.
While I’m bummed that we won’t have football games played until August, I can’t help but be excited for the offseason. I might enjoy the process of putting a roster together than I do watching games. I’m looking forward to these next few weeks and seeing how these teams handle the offseason.
First round:
Southern California Trojans quarterback Caleb Williams (13) throws the ball against the Utah Utes in the second half at United Airlines Field at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
1. Chicago Bears (from Carolina) — QB Caleb Williams, USC
This is the most important offseason in franchise history for Chicago. The Bears have the worst quarterback situation in the NFC North division (again), and I think their front office knows it’s time to move on from Justin Fields. Williams is considered the best quarterback prospect since Trevor Lawrence. Williams gives Chicago its best chance to be successful for the next few years.
North Carolina Tar Heels quarterback Drake Maye (10) throws a pass against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in the first half at Bobby Dodd Stadium at Hyundai Field. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports
2. Washington Commanders (4-13) — QB Drake Maye, North Carolina
Washington’s new owner has stripped down the organization, including hiring a new general manager and head coach. I expect the Commanders to target a quarterback early in this draft. With Williams off the board, Maye is considered the second-best prospect at the position. He was inconsistent in college, but he has the physical traits to be successful at the next level.
LSU Tigers quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) looks to pass the ball during the game against the Florida State Seminoles at Camping World Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Melina Myers-USA TODAY Sports
3. New England Patriots (4-13) — QB Jayden Daniels, LSU
New England has to draft a quarterback early in this draft. The Patriots can’t afford to go into next season with Mac Jones or Bailey Zappe starting under center. I think the organization has the same mindset, too. Daniels has emerged as the No. 3 quarterback prospect in this draft class since winning the Heisman Trophy. He’s a dynamic playmaker that could start right away for New England.
Ohio State Buckeyes wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. (18) scores a touchdown against the Penn State Nittany Lions during the fourth quarter at Ohio Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports
4. Arizona Cardinals (4-13) — WR Marvin Harrison Jr., Ohio State
Arizona has more pressing needs than wide receiver, but it can’t afford to pass on Harrison. He’s considered the best player in this draft class by a pretty wide margin, and the best wide receiver prospect since Ja’Marr Chase. The Cardinals could afford to get Kyler Murray more quality pass catchers, too. Harrison would make an immediate impact in Arizona’s passing attack.
Georgia Bulldogs tight end Brock Bowers (19) carries a touchdown reception against the Auburn Tigers during the fourth quarter at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
5. Los Angeles Chargers (5-12) — TE Brock Bowers, Georgia
I think Jim Harbaugh wants to bring physicality to the Chargers, which starts by bolstering the trenches. I’m not convinced that they’ll target pass catchers early in the draft. The Chargers could fill both needs by drafting Bowers, though. He’ll make an impact both as a pass catcher and blocker in the NFL. I also think Bowers is a great fit for Harbaugh’s offense (remember Vernon Davis?).
Washington Huskies wide receiver Rome Odunze (1) signals for a first down after catching a pass against the Stanford Cardinal during the first quarter at Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
6. New York Giants (6-11) — WR Rome Odunze, Washington
I wouldn’t be surprised if the Giants target a quarterback early in the draft. However, I think it’s more likely that they get a pass catcher for Daniel Jones. I expect that to be a top priority this offseason, especially with Parris Campbell and Sterling Shepard about to be free agents. Odunze will bring some much needed size (6-foot-3, 215 pounds) to the Giants’ wide receiver room.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish offensive lineman Joe Alt (76) blocks Stanford Cardinal linebacker Jordan Fox (10) during the fourth quarter at Stanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports
7. Tennessee Titans (6-11) — T Joe Alt, Notre Dame
It’s possible that Tennessee has something in Will Levis, so I doubt it’ll target a quarterback early in the draft. If the Titans think the same way, they need to keep him upright because they have one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL. Alt is considered the top offensive tackle prospect in this draft class. Drafting him will go a long way to bolstering Tennessee’s offensive line.
Florida State Seminoles defensive end Jared Verse (5) against the Syracuse Orange during the first half at Doak S. Campbell Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Melina Myers-USA TODAY Sports
8. Atlanta Falcons (7-10) — Edge Jared Verse, Florida State
I expect Atlanta to address the quarterback position during free agency. The Falcons seem to think they’re a good quarterback away from being competitive. Atlanta will likely draft for need with this pick, and its biggest need is to bolster its pass rush. The Falcons don’t have many quality edge rushers on their roster. I think Verse would be a great fit in Atlanta’s defensive scheme.
LSU Tigers wide receiver Malik Nabers (8) hauls in a 46 yard pass for a touchdown against the Alabama Crimson Tide during the first quarter at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
9. Chicago Bears (7-10) — WR Malik Nabers, LSU
Chicago could go in a variety of ways with this pick after drafting Williams. However, some pundits consider Nabers to be an elite prospect in this draft class. I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s off the board by this point in April. I don’t think the Bears can afford to pass on Nabers. Having him, D.J. Moore, and Cole Kmet in the same offense will help with Williams’ development.
Ohio State Buckeyes defensive end JT Tuimoloau (44) goes up against Penn State Nittany Lions offensive lineman Olumuyiwa Fashanu (74) during the third quarter of their game at Ohio Stadium. Mandatory credit: The Columbus Dispatch
10. New York Jets (7-10) — T Olumuyiwa Fashanu, Penn State
If the board falls this way, I expect the Jets to rush this pick to Roger Goodell. They had one of the worst offensive lines in the league last year, which is part of the reason why Aaron Rodgers got hurt. If the Jets think they’re in a Super Bowl window with Rodgers, they need to keep him upright. Fashanu is considered the best pass-blocking offensive tackle prospect in this draft class.
Oregon Ducks quarterback Bo Nix (10) looks to throw during the first half against the Colorado Buffaloes at Autzen Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports
11. Minnesota Vikings (7-10) — QB Bo Nix, Oregon
Kirk Cousins is about to be a free agent and he’ll also be a 36-year-old coming off an Achilles injury. I’m not convinced that Minnesota will bring him back. If the Vikings move on, they’ll need to draft a quarterback early. The best quarterback prospect on the board is Nix, and he might even be the most pro-ready quarterback in this draft class. He’d be a good fit for Minnesota.
Washington Huskies quarterback Michael Penix Jr. (9) passes against the Stanford Cardinal during the first quarter at Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
12. Denver Broncos (8-9) — QB Michael Penix Jr., Washington
All reports indicate that Denver will move on from Russell Wilson this offseason. If so, the Broncos will be financially strapped and won’t be able to afford free agents. Denver won’t have a choice but to draft a quarterback early. Penix might have the highest ceiling of all the quarterback prospects in this draft class. He has elite physical traits that could translate well to the NFL.
Alabama Crimson Tide defensive back Terrion Arnold (3) defends against a pass intended for Texas A&M Aggies wide receiver Ainias Smith (0) during the fourth quarter at Kyle Field. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
13. Las Vegas Raiders (8-9) — CB Terrion Arnold, Alabama
It seems like Las Vegas will address its need for a quarterback during free agency. Plus, the Raiders might have something in Aidan O’Connell. The most pressing need for Las Vegas is arguably cornerback. The Raiders released Marcus Peters during the season and now don’t have any difference makers at the position. Arnold would make an immediate impact in Las Vegas.
Oregon State Beavers offensive lineman Taliese Fuaga (75) blocks Stanford Cardinal linebacker Levani Damuni (3) during the first quarter at Stanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports
14. New Orleans Saints (9-8) — T Taliese Fuaga, Oregon State
Offensive line will be an area of concern for New Orleans in 2024. The Saints have six offensive linemen slated to be free agents this offseason, including starting left tackle Andrus Peat. If New Orleans allows Peat to leave, I think Fuaga will be an adequate replacement for him. Fuaga has a similar skillset to Peat, with the ability to play tackle or guard, and could contribute right away.
LSU Tigers wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. (11) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against Army Black Knights defensive back Cameron Jones (10) during the first quarter at Tiger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Hinton-USA TODAY Sports
15. Indianapolis Colts (9-8) — WR Brian Thomas Jr., LSU
I expect Indianapolis to re-sign Michael Pittman Jr., but wide receiver should still be a priority for this team. Adding another quality pass catcher would improve the Colts’ passing attack. I also like the idea of Thomas in Indianapolis. Having him, Pittman, and Josh Downs would give Anthony Richardson plenty of options. Thomas also has the potential to be a solid No. 1 wide receiver.
Oregon Ducks offensive lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson (58) against the Arizona State Sun Devils at Mountain America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
16. Seattle Seahawks (9-8) — IOL Jackson Powers-Johnson, Oregon
Seattle will need to beef up the interior of its offensive line this offseason. All three of its starters are slated to be free agents. Powers-Johnson is capable of playing each position in the interior, but he should be on the Seahawks’ radar because he won the Rimington Trophy last year. Powers-Johnson can give Seattle a quality presence at center that it hasn’t had since Max Unger.
Alabama Crimson Tide linebacker Dallas Turner (15) celebrates after a sack against the LSU Tigers during the second half at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Butch Dill-USA TODAY Sports
Part of the reason why Jacksonville struggled defensively in 2023 was because of its mediocre pass rush. I expect this pick to be used on an edge rusher. Travon Walker hasn’t panned out and Josh Allen, who’s the team’s best pass rusher, is about to be a free agent. Turner might be the best edge rusher in this draft class. I also think he’d be a great fit in the Jaguars’ defense.
Alabama Crimson Tide offensive lineman J.C. Latham (65) blocks against the Miami Hurricanes at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
18. Cincinnati Bengals (9-8) — T JC Latham, Alabama
Cincinnati has spent a ton of money the last few years to fix its offensive line. Now that the Bengals have paid Joe Burrow, though, I expect there to be cap casualties along their offensive line. I also doubt they’ll bring back right tackle Jonah Williams, who’s about to be a free agent. Drafting Latham makes the most sense for Cincinnati. He can replace Williams and contribute immediately.
Michigan Wolverines quarterback J.J. McCarthy (9) throws against the Bowling Green Falcons in the first half at Michigan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
19. Los Angeles Rams (10-7) — QB JJ McCarthy, Michigan
I’m still of the opinion that the league is higher on McCarthy than draft analysts. The Rams need to start looking ahead at the quarterback position. Matthew Stafford has shown some signs of decline in recent years. I think this is a great spot for McCarthy, too. He can get the Jordan Love treatment, which means developing for a few years and learning from Stafford and Sean McVay.
Toledo Rockets cornerback Quinyon Mitchell (27) breaks up a pass intended for Miami (OH) Redhawks wide receiver Gage Larvadain (10) in the third quarter at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports
Pittsburgh’s secondary was average in 2023. The Steelers also have three cornerbacks set to be free agents this offseason, and that’s not counting 33-year-old Patrick Peterson. Mitchell has skyrocketed up the draft board since his performance at the Senior Bowl. I think having him and Joey Porter Jr. on opposite ends of the field will drastically improve Pittsburgh’s secondary.
Georgia Bulldogs offensive lineman Amarius Mims (65) against the TCU Horned Frogs during the CFP national championship game at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
21. Miami Dolphins (11-6) — T Amarius Mims, Georgia
Addressing the offensive line should be a priority for Miami this offseason. All three starting interior offensive linemen will be free agents. I also think the Dolphins need to draft a long-term left tackle. Terron Armstead has struggled to stay healthy since arriving in Miami, and could be a free agent next year. Mims is capable of playing left tackle and is one of the best players still on the board.
Oklahoma Sooners offensive lineman Tyler Guyton (60) at the line of scrimmage against the Kansas Jayhawks during the game at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
22. Philadelphia Eagles (11-6) — T Tyler Guyton, Oklahoma
All reports indicate that Philadelphia is looking to draft an offensive tackle early. It makes sense, too, because Lane Johnson will turn 34 this year. The Eagles have also demonstrated in recent years that they want their early draft picks to learn and develop for a few years. That’s why Philadelphia would be a great spot for Guyton, who can develop behind Johnson until he’s ready.
Washington State Cougars running back Nakia Watson (25) is brought down by UCLA Bruins defensive lineman Carl Jones Jr. (4) and defensive lineman Laiatu Latu (15) during the second half at Rose Bowl. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
There’s a gap between Thomas and the next wide receiver prospect on the board. An underrated need for the Texans is to bolster their defensive front, which has three edge rushers about to be free agents. I don’t see DeMeco Ryans passing on Latu, who’s a top edge rusher in this draft class. Having Latu and Will Anderson Jr. coming off the edge will only improve Houston’s defense.
Washington Huskies offensive lineman Troy Fautanu (55) against the Michigan Wolverines during the 2024 College Football Playoff national championship game at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
24. Dallas Cowboys (12-5) — T Troy Fautanu, Washington
Dallas doesn’t have many needs and the board hasn’t fallen its way in this mock draft. Finding a left tackle of the future should be a priority for the Cowboys this offseason, though. Tyron Smith will turn 34 this year and has played in just 30 regular season games since 2020. Fautanu is a versatile offensive lineman, so he can play several positions and make some kind of impact for Dallas.
Iowa Hawkeyes defensive back Cooper DeJean (3) returns a punt against the Western Michigan Broncos during the second quarter at Kinnick Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports
25. Green Bay Packers (9-8) — CB Cooper DeJean, Iowa
I expect Green Bay to revamp its secondary this offseason, especially after hiring Jeff Hafley as its new defensive coordinator. The Packers struggled to defend the pass in 2023, and eight of their defensive backs are set to be free agents. DeJean strikes me as Green Bay’s type of player. He’s versatile enough to play several positions. I also like the idea of DeJean opposite Jaire Alexander.
Washington Huskies defensive lineman Bralen Trice (8) reacts after a sack against the California Golden Bears during the second quarter at FTX Field at California Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) — Edge Bralen Trice, Washington
It sounds like Tampa Bay will give Baker Mayfield an extension, which rules out a need for quarterback. The Buccaneers probably need to add to their pass rush this offseason. Shaquil Barrett isn’t the same player he used to be and Joe Tryon-Shoyinka has collected just 13 sacks in three seasons. I think Trice would be a great addition to Todd Bowles’ defense.
Illinois Fighting Illini defensive tackle Jer’Zhan Newton (4) tackles Wisconsin Badgers running back Braelon Allen (0) during the first half at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Arizona’s top priority this offseason should be to beef up the interior of its defensive front. The Cardinals don’t have any difference makers in that area of their roster. The best interior defensive lineman in this draft class is still on the board in Newton. He’s effective both against the run and as a pass rusher. Newton would also make an immediate impact in Arizona’s defense.
Clemson cornerback Nate Wiggins (2) returns an interception for a touchdown during the first quarter against Florida Atlantic at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ken Ruinard-USA TODAY NETWORK
Buffalo must get younger on the defensive side of the ball, specifically in the secondary. Tre’Davious White has also played in just 21 regular season games since 2020. Even if White gets healthy, the Bills could use a quality cornerback opposite him. Wiggins has the physical traits to have a great NFL career. Buffalo could use him if it wants to remain competitive in the AFC.
Georgia Bulldogs wide receiver Rara Thomas (5) is tackled by Missouri Tigers defensive back Ennis Rakestraw Jr. (2) during the second half at Sanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
29. Detroit Lions (12-5) — CB Ennis Rakestraw Jr., Missouri
Cornerback is easily Detroit’s biggest need entering this offseason. The Lions don’t have any difference makers at the position, and six players slated to be free agents the next two years. They need to address the position if they want to remain one of the top teams in the NFC. Rakestraw has ideal length and plays with toughness. That skillset should translate well to the next level.
Oregon Ducks wide receiver Troy Franklin (11) catches a pass for a touchdown during the first half against the Oregon State Beavers at Autzen Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports
Part of the reason why Lamar Jackson was so effective through the air in 2023 was because Baltimore invested in quality pass catchers. I don’t think its work is done, especially with Odell Beckham Jr., Nelson Agholor, and Devin Duvernay slated to be free agents. Franklin has elite speed, which is why he should hear his name called early. He’d make an impact with Jackson throwing him the ball.
Arizona Wildcats offensive lineman Jordan Morgan (77) against the Arizona State Sun Devils during the Territorial Cup at Mountain America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
31. San Francisco 49ers (12-5) — T Jordan Morgan, Arizona
San Francisco has a lot of work to do in the trenches this offseason, specifically along the offensive line. Trent William will turn 36 this year and the rest of its offensive line leaves a lot to be desired. The 49ers will likely need to revamp the entire unit. I think Morgan is a prospect to watch. He’s very athletic for his size (6-foot-5, 325 pounds) and could contribute right away at right tackle.
Texas Longhorns defensive lineman Byron Murphy II (90) celebrates after a sack against TCU Horned Frogs quarterback Josh Hoover (10) in the second quarter of an NCAA college football game at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ricardo B. Brazziell-USA TODAY Sports
32. Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) — DL Byron Murphy, Texas
Kansas City could use some help in the interior of its defensive front. The Chiefs currently have just one player at the position under contract for 2024. Chris Jones, who’s one of the best defensive players in the NFL, is one of the players slated to be a free agent. Murphy makes too much sense for Kansas City. He’s not only one of the best players still on the board, but he fills a need.
Penn State defensive end Chop Robinson (44) celebrates after sacking Massachusetts quarterback Taisun Phommachanh in the first half of a NCAA football game Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in State College, Pa. Mandatory credit: Hanover Evening Sun
Second round:
Pick
Player
33. Carolina Panthers (2-15)
Edge Chop Robinson, Penn State
34. New England Patriots
WR Devontez Walker, North Carolina
35. Arizona Cardinals
CB Kool-Aid McKinstry, Alabama
36. Washington Commanders
Edge Chris Braswell, Alabama
37. Los Angeles Chargers
CB Kamari Lassiter, Georgia
38. Tennessee Titans
WR Keon Coleman, Florida State
39. New York Giants
DL Darius Robinson, Missouri
40. Washington Commanders (from Chicago)
T Kiran Amegadjie, Yale
41. Green Bay Packers (from New York Jets)
LB Edgerrin Cooper, Texas A&M
42. Minnesota Vikings
IOL Zach Frazier, West Virginia
43. Atlanta Falcons
WR Adonai Mitchell, Texas
44. Las Vegas Raiders
T Graham Barton, Duke
45. New Orleans Saints (from Denver)
DL Kris Jenkins, Michigan
46. Indianapolis Colts
CB TJ Tampa, Iowa State
47. New York Giants (from Seattle)
IOL Christian Haynes, UConn
48. Jacksonville Jaguars
S Tyler Nubin, Minnesota
49. Cincinnati Bengals
TE Ja’Tavion Sanders, Texas
50. Philadelphia Eagles (from New Orleans)
LB Junior Colson, Michigan
51. Pittsburgh Steelers
LB Payton Wilson, NC State
52. Los Angeles Rams
T Patrick Paul, Houston
53. Philadelphia Eagles
WR Ladd McConkey, Georgia
54. Cleveland Browns (11-6)
DL Braden Fiske, Florida State
55. Miami Dolphins
WR Xavier Legette, South Carolina
56. Dallas Cowboys
RB Jonathan Brooks, Texas
57. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
CB Caelen Carson, Wake Forest
58. Green Bay Packers
S Kamren Kinchens, Miami
59. Houston Texans (10-7)
WR Xavier Worthy, Texas
60. Buffalo Bills
DL T’Vondre Sweat, Texas
61. Detroit Lions
Edge Jonah Elliss, Utah
62. Baltimore Ravens
Edge Marshawn Kneeland, Western Michigan
63. San Francisco 49ers
Edge Adisa Isaac, Penn State
64. Kansas City Chiefs
WR Ja’Lynn Polk, Washington
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers wide receiver Malachi Corley (11) runs the ball against Old Dominion Monarchs linebacker Koa Naotala (47) during the first quarter at Charlotte 49ers’ Jerry Richardson Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports
Third round:
Pick
Player
65. Carolina Panthers
WR Malachi Corley, Western Kentucky
66. Arizona Cardinals
T Kingsley Suamataia, BYU
67. Washington Commanders
LB Jeremiah Trotter Jr., Clemson
68. New England Patriots
T Dominick Paul, Kansas
69. Los Angeles Chargers
Edge Austin Booker, Kansas
70. New York Giants
S Calen Bullock, USC
71. Arizona Cardinals (from Tennessee)
DL Brandon Dorlus, Oregon
72. New York Jets
WR Jermaine Burton, Alabama
73. Detroit Lions (from Minnesota)
CB Jarvis Brownlee Jr., Louisville
74. Atlanta Falcons
CB Mike Sainristil, Michigan
75. Chicago Bears
Edge Javon Solomon, Troy
76. Denver Broncos
WR Roman Wilson, Michigan
77. Las Vegas Raiders
DL DeWayne Carter, Duke
78. Seattle Seahawks
QB Michael Pratt, Tulane
79. Jacksonville Jaguars
IOL Christian Mahogany, Boston College
80. Cincinnati Bengals
DL Leonard Taylor III, Miami
81. Seattle Seahawks (from New Orleans via Denver)
“Sanity’s not a choice, Marshal. You can’t just choose to get over it.”
— Dr. John Cawley, “Shutter Island” (2010)
A general overall view of the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
During my days as a newspaper copy editor, I was told that something doesn’t become an annual thing until it’s taken place at least three years in a row. Going by that logic, my Pro Football Hall of Fame ballot has now become an annual thing. I published my personal ballots in 2022 and 2023. I’ve been a fan of the NFL for a long time and I’ve always enjoyed watching players be immortalized in Canton, Ohio.
The Pro Football Hall of Fame voting procedure is pretty different than the National Baseball Hall of Fame. Instead of the writers exclusively controlling the vote, football has a 48-member committee comprised of media representatives for each team/city, along with former players, executives, contributors, etc. The committee determines a list of finalists in three different categories: Modern-Era, Senior, and Coach/Contributor.
The committee must also choose at least four finalists but no more than eight, and no more than five Modern-Era finalists can be chosen. Finalists must receive at least 80% of the vote in order to be enshrined. Unlike baseball, the numbers of players that the committee can vote for isn’t limited. This can be a grueling process, which is why some players have to wait 20 years on the ballot or even slip through the cracks and get in as a Senior finalist.
Remember, this isn’t a prediction of which players I think will get to Canton this year. I’m going to pretend as if I’m a member of the committee and cast my vote for which of the 19 finalists should be enshrined in the Hall of Fame.
Modern-Era Finalists:
Eric Allen spent 14 seasons in the NFL with the Philadelphia Eagles, New Orleans Saints, and Oakland Raiders. He was an All-Pro cornerback and ranks in the top 25 in league history in career interceptions. Mandatory credit: Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images
CB Eric Allen (1988-2001) Stats: 787 tackles, 54 interceptions, 40 passes defended, six forced fumbles, three sacks, eight defensive touchdowns Accolades: First-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 6x Pro Bowl
Allen has been waiting to get in the Hall of Fame for almost 20 years. He deserves to be in Canton, though. Allen was one of the top cornerbacks of his time. He ranks in the top 25 in NFL history in career interceptions. Allen’s career passes defended are low, but you have to remember that that stat wasn’t tracked before 1999. Before this past season, he also shared the record for the most defensive touchdowns by a player in a single season.
Jared Allen retired as a member of the Minnesota Vikings in 2016 (Getty Images).
Edge Jared Allen (2004-15) Stats: 648 tackles, 136 sacks, 58 passes defended, 32 forced fumbles, six interceptions Accolades: 4x first-team All-Pro, 5x Pro Bowl, 2x single-season sacks leader
I don’t remember Allen being as good as his numbers would indicate. Between 2007-13, he was a dominant pass rusher. During that seven-year stretch, Allen collected 101 sacks and almost broke the single-season sacks record in 2011. He also ranks No. 12 in NFL history in career sacks. There are only two players that rank ahead of Allen who aren’t in the Hall of Fame. One isn’t eligible and the other is a finalist for the first time this year.
New Orleans Saints guard Jahri Evans (73) against the Arizona Cardinals at University of Phoenix Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
G Jahri Evans (2006-17) Stats: 183 starts Accolades: Super Bowl champion, 4x first-team All-Pro, second-team All-Pro, 6x Pro Bowl, 2010s All-Decade team
There weren’t many interior offensive linemen better than Evans in the last 15 years. He was consistently one of the best at the position during his career, which is why he was named an All-Pro five times in 12 seasons. Evans played a crucial role in New Orleans winning Super Bowl XLIV by keeping quarterback Drew Brees upright. I doubt it’ll be this year, but I expect Evans to be the first interior offensive lineman to be enshrined since Steve Hutchinson in 2020.
Dwight Freeney played in the NFL for 16 seasons, primarily with the Indianapolis Colts. Freeney helped Indianapolis win Super Bowl XLI. Mandatory credit: Getty Images
In the 2000s, Indianapolis was known for its offensive players: Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, etc. Freeney was often overshadowed during his career, but he was one of the NFL’s best pass rushers for a number of years. That’s why he made the 2000s All-Decade team and ranks in the top 30 in league history in career sacks. Freeney also helped Manning and the Colts get over the hump to win Super Bowl XLI.
Los Angeles Chargers tight end Antonio Gates (85) catches a pass against the Kansas City Chiefs in the first half at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
TE Antonio Gates (2003-18) Stats: 955 receptions, 11,841 yards (12.3 yards per catch), 116 touchdowns Accolades: 4x first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 8x Pro Bowl, 2000s All-Decade team
The Hall of Fame committee typically doesn’t give much credit to pass catchers, but I expect Gates to be enshrined this year. There was about a five-year stretch when he was one of the best tight ends in the game, maybe even the best. Gates ranks third in career yards and first in touchdowns among tight ends, and in the top 35 among all pass catchers in both categories. He should be considered one of the best tight ends to play in the NFL.
New England Patriots safety Rodney Harrison (37) celebrates his late-game interception that sealed the Patriots 24-21 win over the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl XXXIX at Alltel Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Photo by Dilip Vishwanat-USA TODAY Sports
S Rodney Harrison (1994-2008) Stats: 1,206 tackles, 34 interceptions, 78, passes defended, 15 forced fumbles, 30.5 sacks Accolades: 2x Super Bowl champion, 2x first-team All-Pro, second-team All-Pro, 2x Pro Bowl,
There have been a few safeties to be enshrined in the Hall of Fame in recent years, and I think Harrison’s career stacks up with each of them. He ranks in the top 40 in league history in tackles, which is impressive for a defensive back. Harrison’s career interceptions and passes defended are low, but he played closer to the line of scrimmage. Harrison was also one of the defensive leaders of the first phase of New England’s dynasty in the early 2000s.
Torry Holt was a key component to the St. Louis Rams – or “The Greatest Show on Turf” – winning Super Bowl XXXIV, and then retired with the team in 2012 (Getty Images).
Every other key contributor on the “The Greatest Show in Turf” is in the Hall of Fame. It’s time for Holt to join them in Canton. Even though he was overshadowed by Kurt Warner, Marshall Faulk, and Isaac Bruce, Holt was one of the best wide receivers of his time. He even put up good numbers after each of those players left St. Louis. When he retired, he ranked in the top 15 in league history in career receptions and receiving yards.
Andre Johnson played 12 seasons with the Houston Texans, and retired with the team in 2017 (USA TODAY Sports).
WR Andre Johnson (2003-16) Stats: 1,062 receptions, 14,185 yards (13.4 yards per catch), 70 touchdowns Accolades: 3x first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowl, 2x single-season receptions leader, 2x single-season receiving yards leader
I’m very surprised that Johnson hasn’t heard his name called yet. He’s had an incredible career, but it’s even more impressive when you consider Johnson had the likes of David Carr, Matt Schaub, and Ryan Fitzpatrick throwing him the ball. He ranks in the top 12 in NFL history in career receptions and yards. There was also a three- to five-year stretch when Johnson was arguably the best wide receiver in the NFL. He’s waited long enough.
Carolina Panthers defensive end Julius Peppers (90) points against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second half at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Edge Julius Peppers (2002-18) Stats: 719 tackles, 159.5 sacks, 82 passes defended, 11 interceptions, 52 forced fumbles, six defensive touchdowns Accolades: 3x first-team All-Pro, 3x second-team All-Pro, 9x Pro Bowl, 2000s All-Decade team, 2010s All-Decade team
Peppers is a finalist in his first year of eligibility and I expect him to hear his name called. There weren’t many edge rushers, if any, that were more dominant than him during his career. Peppers ranks in the top five in league history in career sacks and has numerous accolades, including being on two different All-Decade teams, which is typically awarded to quarterbacks. I’m not sure there’s been a better player to suit up for Carolina, either.
Jacksonville Jaguars running back Fred Taylor (28) runs with the ball during the first quarter at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
RB Fred Taylor (1998-2010) Stats: 2,534 attempts, 11,695 yards (4.6 yards per carry), 66 touchdowns, 290 receptions, 2,384 yards, eight touchdowns Accolades: Second-team All-Pro, Pro Bowl
Some people might not consider Taylor to be a Hall of Famer because he doesn’t have the accolades, but I think he deserves consideration. Taylor was one of Jacksonville’s first star players. I’m surprised that he never got more credit in his career. Taylor rushed for over 1,000 yards seven times in his first 10 seasons in the NFL. He also ranks in the top 45 in NFL history in rushing yards and touchdowns. I think there’s a spot for him in Canton.
Reggie Wayne played 14 seasons with the Indianapolis Colts and retired in 2016 (AP photo).
WR Reggie Wayne (2001-14) Stats: 1,070 receptions, 14,345 yards (13.4 yards per catch), 82 touchdowns Accolades: Super Bowl champion, first-team All-Pro, 2x second-team All-Pro, 6x Pro Bowl, single-season receiving yards leader
Wayne is one of the reasons why Indianapolis had so much success in the 2000s. He has a strong case to make it to Canton. Wayne ranks in the top 10 in NFL history in both receptions and yards, and in the top 30 in touchdowns. He went on to become the No. 1 wide receiver in the Colts’ offense for years after Marvin Harrison retired. There was also a six-year stretch where Wayne tallied a minimum of 77 receptions and 1,000 yards in a single season.
Patrick Willis was named first-team All-Pro five times in only eight seasons in the NFL, all with the San Francisco 49ers (AP photo).
Willis might’ve been in the conversation as one of the best linebackers in NFL history if he didn’t retire early. It’s pretty astounding that Willis tallied almost 1,000 total tackles and was named an All-Pro seven times in just eight seasons. He has a similar argument as Tony Boselli, who was enshrined to the Hall of Fame in 2022. Willis was also the leader of San Francisco’s defense in the early 2010s, which was one of the best I’ve ever seen.
Darren Woodson played 13 seasons for the Dallas Cowboys and helped them win three Super Bowls in the 1990s. Mandatory credit: Ronald Martinez/Allsport/Getty Images
S Darren Woodson (1992-2004) Stats: 967 tackles, 23 interceptions, 36 passes defended, 12 forced fumbles, 11 sacks Accolades: 3x Super Bowl champion, 4x first-team All-Pro, 5x Pro Bowl
Dallas was so successful in the 1990s mostly because of its star players on the offensive side of the ball, but Woodson was excellent defensively. He was named first-team All-Pro three straight seasons. His career interceptions and passes defended are low, but Woodson played closer to the line of scrimmage like Harrison. Woodson has been on and off the list of Modern-Era Finalists in recent years, but he should hear his name called in the near future.
Senior Finalist(s):
Randy Grandishar spent 10 seasons in the NFL with the Denver Broncos. He was the centerpiece of the infamous “Orange Crush Defense,” winning Defensive Player of the Year in 1978. Mandatory credit: Getty Images
LB Randy Gradishar (1974-83) Stats: 19.5 sacks, 20 interceptions, 13 fumble recoveries Accolades: Defensive Player of the Year, 2x first-team All-Pro, 3x second-team All-Pro, 7x Pro Bowl
Gradishar had quite the career despite only playing 10 seasons. He made seven Pro Bowls, won Defensive Player of the Year in 1978, and was the centerpiece of Denver’s “Orange Crush Defense.” I’m not sure what’s prevented Gradishar from getting enshrined in the Hall of Fame. My guess is because the NFL didn’t officially keep track of tackles until 2001. He’s credited with over 2,000 career tackles, though, which would put him in the top five in NFL history.
Steve McMichael spent 15 seasons in the NFL with the New England Patriots, Chicago Bears, and Green Bay Packers. He helped the Bears win their only Super Bowl in 1985. Mandatory credit: Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images
DL Steve McMichael (1980-94) Stats: 847 tackles, 95 sacks, 13 forced fumbles Accolades: Super Bowl champion, 2x first-team All-Pro, 3x second-team All-Pro, 2x Pro Bowl, Top 100 greatest Bears of All-Time
There have been several interior defensive linemen to be enshrined in the Hall of Fame with worse numbers and fewer accolades than McMichael. He has a pretty strong case to make it to Canton. McMichael was one of the leaders of the infamous 1985 Chicago Bears defense, which led the organization to its only Super Bowl in 1985. He was also named an All-Pro five times, which tells me he was one of the top players of his time.
Art Powell is one of just a few players to play in the Canadian Football League, AFL, and NFL. He primarily played in the AFL, where he led the league in receiving yards and touchdowns twice. Mandatory credit: Las Vegas Raiders
The reason why Powell isn’t in the Hall of Fame might be because he played in the NFL for only two seasons. The bulk of Powell’s career was spent in the AFL, where he led the league in receiving yards and touchdowns twice and was named an All-Pro six times. Powell ranks in the top 35 in football history in touchdowns, so he was one of the most dynamic wide receivers of his time. When you consider the era Powell played in, he was way ahead of his time.
Contributor/Coach:
Buddy Parker was a head coach in the NFL for 15 seasons between 1949-64. He won back-to-back championships with the Detroit Lions in 1952 and 1953. Mandatory credit: George Gelatly/Getty Images
Coach Buddy Parker (1949, 1951-64) Stats: 104-75-9 (3-1 in the postseason) Accolades: 2x NFL champion
If the Hall of Fame is meant to tell the story of football, I’m not sure you can tell it without Parker. He’s arguably Detroit’s most successful head coach. Parker won 47 games in six seasons with the Lions, including three-straight appearances in the NFL championship, and winning it all twice. He’s also one of just 13 head coaches in league history to win back-to-back championships, and eight of them are enshrined in the Hall of Fame.
“C’mon, it’s Czechoslovakia. We zip in, we pick ’em up, we zip right out again. We’re not going to Moscow. It’s Czechoslovakia. It’s like going into Wisconsin.”
— John Winger, “Stripes” (1981)
Vegas Golden Knights forward Jonathan Marchessault (81) hoists the Stanley Cup after defeating the Florida Panthers in game five of the 2023 Stanley Cup Final at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports
This is now the fifth-straight year that I’ve done a blog post devoted to this subject (1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0). I’m not sure anyone cares what the NFL standings would look like if it had the NHL’s point system, but I love both leagues and it’s a chance for me to get a little creative. If the multiverse exists (doubtful), it’s not inconceivable that in one of those universes the NFL’s standings are determined by a point system similarly to the NHL. I highly doubt anyone reading this has thought about that, though.
For those that aren’t familiar, the NHL determines its standings differently than most leagues. Instead of going by win percentage and overall record, the league goes by a point system. The details are below:
Outcome of each game
Points
Win (regulation AND overtime)
2
Loss in overtime/shootout
1
Loss in regulation
0
Explanation of the NHL’s point system
So, the more wins a team has the more points it earns, but teams can also benefit by having losses in overtime or in a shootout.
The way this will work is that I’ll keep the NFL’s postseason structure unchanged — divisional winners are guaranteed the top four seeds and three wild card spots in each conference. I’ll also use the NFL tie-breaker scenarios (head-to-head results, divisional record, conference record, record against common opponents, etc.). The only difference is that a team’s point total trumps win percentage like in the NHL.
Baltimore Ravens running back Melvin Gordon III (33) reacts following his fourth quarter touchdown run against the Miami Dolphins at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports
2023
AFC
Team
Record
Points
1. Baltimore Ravens (AFC North winner)
13-4
27
2. Buffalo Bills (AFC East winner)
11-6
24
3. Kansas City Chiefs (AFC West winner)
11-6
22
4. Houston Texans (AFC South winner)
10-7
20
5. Cleveland Browns (wild card)
11-6
22
6. Miami Dolphins (wild card)
11-6
22
7. Pittsburgh Steelers (wild card)
10-7
20
8. Jacksonville Jaguars
9-8
19
9. Indianapolis Colts
9-8
19
10. Cincinnati Bengals
9-8
18
11. Las Vegas Raiders
8-9
16
12. Denver Broncos
8-9
16
13. New York Jets
7-10
14
14. Tennessee Titans
6-11
14
15. Los Angeles Chargers
5-12
11
16. New England Patriots
4-13
8
AFC standings for the 2023 season going by the NHL’s point system (bold means changes)
NFC
Team
Record
Points
1. Detroit Lions (NFC North winner)
12-5
25
2. San Francisco 49ers (NFC West winner)
12-5
24
3. Dallas Cowboys (NFC East winner)
12-5
24
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFC South winner)
9-8
18
5. Philadelphia Eagles (wild card)
11-6
22
6. Los Angeles Rams (wild card)
10-7
21
7. Green Bay Packers (wild card)
9-8
18
8. Seattle Seahawks
9-8
18
9. New Orleans Saints
9-8
18
10. Minnesota Vikings
7-10
15
11. Chicago Bears
7-10
14
12. Atlanta Falcons
7-10
14
13. New York Giants
6-11
13
14. Washington Commanders
4-13
9
15. Arizona Cardinals
4-13
8
16. Carolina Panthers
2-15
4
NFC standings for the 2023 season going by the NHL’s point system (bold means changes)
I thought last year was a disappointing outcome after calculating the points. It became evident quickly that the same thing might happen this year, at least in the AFC. There was no change to the top seven spots in that conference. The only change came with the group of 9-8 teams in the middle of the AFC standings, so I might as well break it down.
Jacksonville and Indianapolis get the advantage over Cincinnati because they both lost games in overtime, and the Jaguars get the No. 8 spot because they beat the Colts twice. I doubt that would’ve led to any changes to the way those teams handled the last week of the season, though, since both Jacksonville and Indianapolis still had a chance to win the AFC South.
It was a much different story in the NFC, where Detroit ended up with home-field advantage because it had an overtime loss. That might’ve totally changed the NFC’s playoff picture. San Francisco would’ve played its starters in Week 18 in order to get home-field advantage. If the 49ers beat the Rams that week, it would’ve had a trickle-down effect. Detroit likely would’ve been the No. 2 seed and Dallas would’ve been the No. 3 seed. Green Bay and the Rams also would’ve flipped spots.
Even though there weren’t many changes to the standings last year, do you see why I enjoy this exercise? The NFC playoff picture would’ve looked much differently if there was a point system. It’s not the first time something like this has happened since I first kept track of this hypothetical scenario, either. That might be why the Stanley Cup Playoffs can be so unpredictable. There might be some overseeded teams because they caught bad breaks in overtime/shootouts in the regular season and were awarded points anyway.
It’s interesting to think about how differently postseasons would look if every sport had a point system. Although, I’m in no way advocating for that to happen.
All Things Sports from a Millennial 